NBA Summer League Predictions & Parlay for Today, July 16: Warriors' Depth is the Difference

Rob Paul - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rob Paul • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 16, 2026 , 11:09 AM ET • 4 min read

With mismatches across today's slate, the teams with better depth — including the Golden State Warriors — are the focus of our NBA Summer League predictions and best parlay for today's games.

LJ Cryer headlines tonight's NBA Summer League action.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Golden State Warriors guard LJ Cryer (18) dribbles the ball up court.

There's no shortage of NBA Summer League action today, with seven games in Las Vegas, but there might be a lack of competitive matchups due to depth advantages.

Three of the deepest teams in Sin City — including the Golden State Warriors — take the court today and headline our NBA Summer League picks for Thursday, July 16. 

NBA Summer League predictions for July 16

Pick Kalshi
Warriors Warriors moneyline -233
Hawks Hawks moneyline -156
Raptors Raptors moneyline -127
💰 All three parlayed +319
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Today's Summer League picks

Warriors moneyline (-233 at Kalshi)

Backing the Golden State Warriors tonight is as much about believing in their depth as it is about not believing in this New York Knicks NBA Summer League roster. 

The defending champions have been among the worst teams in Vegas, averaging just 66.7 PPG and shooting 32.4% from the floor. With a lineup that has few NBA-rosterable players, New York's lack of offense should continue against Golden State.

The Warriors are putting up 96.7 PPG and shooting 37.6% from behind the arc due in large part to a lineup that includes lottery pick Yaxel Lendeborg (50 points in 81 minutes) and last year's undrafted breakout player, LJ Cryer (42 points in 74 minutes).

Golden State also has depth with players like Graham Ike, Will Richard, Lajae Jones, Chance McMillian, Lachlan Olbrich, and Nick Boyd. 

Hawks moneyline (-156 at Kalshi)

No team has been better than the Atlanta Hawks in Las Vegas. Atlanta is one of two undefeated teams and leads Summer League behind a lineup that includes a mix of rookie talent and players with NBA experience.

Rookie Kingston Flemings, the eighth overall pick, has been a strong facilitator for the offense, averaging the third-most APG (6.5) in Las Vegas and helping Atlanta average the most APG as a team (23.0).

It's not just Flemings, though, with Kobe Johnson (58 points in 61 minutes), Henri Veesaar (40 points in 59 minutes), Zuby Ejiofor (25 points in 51 minutes), and Asa Newell (19 points in 48 minutes) all shining as scorers. 

As for the Memphis Grizzlies, their defense has been iffy, allowing 92.3 PPG to opponents on 47.8% shooting. And it wouldn't be a surprise if Cameron Boozer sees only limited minutes tonight.

Raptors moneyline (-127 at Kalshi)

The Toronto Raptors have lost just once in Las Vegas, and it came in overtime to a strong Boston Celtics Summer League roster. Beyond that, they've looked like one of the best teams because of a deep, well-rounded lineup.

The Raptors are the only team in Summer League averaging at least 42 rebounds and 20 assists per game, and they're one of only five teams averaging at least seven steals and seven blocks per game.

Rookies Allen Graves (44 points, 21 rebounds, 10 combined steals and blocks) and Nate Bittle (26 points, 20 rebounds, eight blocks) have been forces on both ends, while veterans Seth Lundy (61 points in 81 minutes) and Tyreke Key (41 points in 54 minutes) have shot the lights out.

The Miami Heat don't have that same depth and lack rookie talent due in part to the Giannis Antetokounmpo trade.

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Thursday’s NBA Summer League parlay

Kalshi

Warriors moneyline

Hawks moneyline

Raptors moneyline

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rob Paul - Contributor at Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Rob Paul has worked in the sports betting industry for several years, primarily covering collegiate sports with a sprinkle of NFL, NBA, WNBA, and CFL. He uses a combination of advanced stats and film to find betting value, and aims to exploit specific matchups with plus-money player props.

A college sports junky, Rob's betting process tends to revolve around which games he plans on watching on a given day/week. He begins the process by looking at the college football/basketball schedule and making a list of what he plans on watching before diving into advanced numbers to help inform how to bet each matchup.

Typically, Rob bets at FanDuel and bet365, as they tend to offer a wider array of collegiate player props. Rob loves the way sports betting can act as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly Group of Six and FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball.

Before joining Covers, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, building his college football and NFL experience and expertise while working as a full-time local community journalist.

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