Best NBA Player Props Today for January 22: Jazz Surrender to Castle

A Jazz squad that struggles to defend the three combined with a red-hot Stephon Castle is a perfect recipe for the Spurs, as he headlines our top NBA player props for Thursday.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 22, 2026 • 12:22 ET • 4 min read
Stephon Castle San Antonio Spurs NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. San Antonio Spurs guard Stephon Castle (5) drives against Utah Jazz.

With eight games on the NBA schedule, there is no shortage of options in the player prop market.

I’ve dug through the league's odds and found my three favorites for today, which include a bounce back for LaMelo Ball and a solid shooting night for Stephon Castle.

Check out those and more NBA picks for Thursday, January 22 below.

Best NBA player props today

Player Pick bet365
Hornets LaMelo Ball Over 16.5 points -125
Rockets Jabari Smith Jr. Over 6.5 rebounds +102
Spurs Stephon Castle Over 1.5 threes +160

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Prop #1: LaMelo Ball Over 16.5 points

-125 at bet365

LaMelo Ball is in a bit of a slump, but that’s creating some value in tonight’s game against the Orlando Magic.

Ball has scored just 27 points over his last three games, including just two in a 1-of-15 shooting night last time out against the Cavaliers. 

That is resulting in a low 16.5-point total tonight. Ball is still averaging 19.4 points and went over 16.5 points in 10 of his previous 13 games, including putting up 22 vs. this same Magic team on Dec. 26.

Orlando’s best perimeter defender, Jalen Suggs, is also banged up and is questionable to play.

  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network SE-Charlotte, FanDuel Sports Network-Florida

Prop #2: Jabari Smith Jr. Over 6.5 rebounds

+102 at bet365

The Houston Rockets are a team built with great length and athleticism, and it’s why they are arguably the best rebounding team in the NBA. 

They lead the NBA in rebounding late while allowing the fewest opponent rebounds per game.

That could spell trouble for the Philadelphia 76ers. Philly is one of the least efficient shooting teams in the NBA, with the third-worst eFG%.

Mix in ranking 18th in rebounding rate, and I’m looking at Jabari Smith Jr. to have a big night on the boards.

Smith has topped 6.5 rebounds in 10 of his last 14 games.

  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SCHN, NBCSP

Prop #3: Stephon Castle Over 1.5 threes

+160 at bet365

Stephon Castle has been shooting the ball well lately, and he’ll look to stay hot when the San Antonio Spurs visit the Utah Jazz.

Castle is shooting 39.1% from three-point range over the last five games, and now he faces the team with the worst perimeter defense in the NBA.

The Jazz enter this matchup, surrendering the most three-point attempts per game while allowing opponents to shoot the third-highest percentage from downtown (37.6%).

Castle has hit two or more threes in three of his last five games, and at this price, I love backing him to drain a couple more here.

  • Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network-SW, KJZZ

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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