Wednesday’s NBA slate has just two games, but they’re big ones! Road teams can clinch their respective series tonight, and I’m looking at NBA player props from both matchups.
The Warriors are up 3-1 on the Rockets, and the Timberwolves have the same lead over the Lakers. Here are my favorite NBA picks from both games combined into a three-leg NBA parlay for April 30.
Today's best NBA Playoff parlay: April 30
Anthony Edwards 25+ points
Julius Randle Over 1.5 threes
Alperen Sengun 13+ rebounds
Pick #1: Anthony Edwards 25+ points
Anthony Edwards’ points prop is set at 28.5, and while he averaged 29 points per game on the road this season, I’m far more apt to bet his alt line and roll it into this parlay.
He's been a dominant force on offense through four games of this first-round series against the Los Angeles Lakers, averaging 29.8 points and scoring at least 25 three times. In six meetings (including the regular season) in which he played at least 30 minutes, Edwards averaged 28.2 and went for 25 four times.
Ant-Man reached this scoring milestone in 51 of 83 total games played this season, including 29 of 42 games on the road. He’s been the catalyst for Minnesota’s postseason success, and I expect another strong showing from him as he looks to close out the Lakers tonight.
Pick #2: Julius Randle Over 1.5 threes
Julius Randle doesn’t have a long track record of postseason success; just the opposite, in fact. Randle entered these playoffs with career postseason averages of 34.4% shooting from the field and 28.3% shooting from beyond the arc.
He's shooting a playoff career-best 47.6% from the field and 45.5% from beyond the arc. The Lakers’ horrendous defense has surely contributed to Randle’s newfound success. Only the Heat (who lost their first-round matchup to the Cavaliers by a historic margin) sport a worse defensive rating in these playoffs.
Randle has knocked down 2.5 triples through Games 1-4 of this series, and he’s hit multiple treys three times. Expect another solid performance from downtown tonight.
Pick #3: Alperen Sengun 13+ rebounds
Alperen Sengun’s rebound line is set at 10.5, but we can do better than that for plus-money odds and a nice boost to our parlay. The big man leads all rebounders in this series at 11.5, and he pulled down 16 in Game 2.
He's averaged 10.8 rebounds in four road matchups with Golden State and 11.8 rebounds in five home matchups this season. He corralled at least 13 boards three times, including twice at home.
Sengun has reached this rebound total in 15 of 42 home games this season, and I expect him to crash the glass aggressively as his team fights to keep its season alive.
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