After the first two games of this series went down to the wire, the last three have been relative blowouts.
My latest Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions and NBA picks expect Minnesota’s defense to set the terms in Game 6 and keep things tight on Thursday, April 30.
Our best Nuggets vs Timberwolves SGP for Game 6
SGP leg #1: Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points (-112)
If Nikola Jokic is as tired as he has looked in this series, he should hardly be faulted. How much cardio work could the Denver Nuggets’ superstar really have done while sidelined with a knee injury for almost all of January?
When Jokic returned on Jan. 30, Jokic went on to play 33 of Denver’s final 34 games — and now he’s faced an exhausting defense five times in 10 days. That would wear anyone down.
Whatever the reason, Jokic hasn't scored more than 27 points in a game in this series, and with his 3-pointer looking rather broken at the moment — 6-of-31, 19.4%, in this series — expecting a scoring barrage from the three-time MVP would be misguided.
SGP leg #2: Nikola Jokic Under 9.5 assists (+105)
Usually, that would spark expectations of more playmaking, but that requires the Nuggets’ role players to rise to the occasion — and they’ve only done that twice in this series, both times at home.
The road atmosphere alone should lower hopes of Denver’s role players and thus dampen Jokic’s assist numbers.
SGP leg #3: Timberwolves +5.5 (-110)
All of which is to say, the Minnesota Timberwolves have a shot here.
With an extra day between Games 5 and 6, the Timberwolves have more time to adjust to life without Donte DiVincenzo and Anthony Edwards.
Those adjustments and aggressive defense should make Target Center a tense place in Thursday’s closing minutes.
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See our full Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 6 preview
Get Douglas Farmer's full breakdown of this game, including his best bet, plus the latest NBA odds, injuries, and betting trends, in his Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions for Game 6.
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