Hawks vs Knicks Props & NBA Playoffs Game 5 Best Bets

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 28, 2026 , 01:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's prediction: Knicks' stars provide mixed results in pivotal Game 5.

This article contains projections for old games! See our best NBA player props today.

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Karl-Anthony Towns New York Knicks NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Karl-Anthony Towns protects the ball against the Atlanta Hawks in this first-round series.

The Atlanta Hawks and the New York Knicks now find themselves in effectively a best-of-three series, and at that point, one should always take a long look at the superstars.

These Hawks vs. Knicks predictions and NBA picks see two plus-money pieces of value for Game 5 tonight.

Best Hawks vs Knicks props for Game 5

Player Pick bet365
Knicks Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes +120
Hawks Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 rebounds +120
Knicks Jalen Brunson Under 2.5 threes -135

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Game 5 Prop #1: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes

+120 at bet365

The best-shooting center in NBA history has gone 7-for-14 from beyond the arc in this series, impressive even by his lofty standards. Then again, he went 5-for-10 from deep against the Atlanta Hawks in two games in the regular season.

Karl-Anthony Towns is getting enough looks in this series to always justify betting on him to hit multiple 3-pointers, particularly when it is foolishly priced at plus-money. It especially stands out that Towns took nine shots from long range in the two games at MSG, compared to just five down in Atlanta.

Expect Towns to put up at least four or five triples tonight, and at that volume, it is very much more likely than not that he hits multiple 3-pointers.

Game 5 Prop #2: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 rebounds

+120 at bet365

The Most Improved Player winner has played well in this series, but nowhere near as well as he did in the regular season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has not scored more than 17 points in a game, and he's shooting a painful 34.6% from the field.

Alexander-Walker is at least hitting his 3-pointers, going 13-for-30 (43.3%) from deep through these four games.

More than that, he's playing a well-rounded game. He may have scored only nine points in Game 2, but he added three blocks, five rebounds, and six assists.

Alexander-Walker has cleared this rebounding prop only twice in four games, but he has snagged at least three boards in each of the last three games, averaging four per game in those three games.

That may all sound like modest work on the glass, but think about those numbers when enjoying a +120 payout.

Game 5 Prop #3: Jalen Brunson Under 2.5 threes

-135 at bet365

The worry is not that Jalen Brunson is shooting poorly from deep. He isn’t. The New York Knicks star has hit 10 of 26 in this series, good for 38.5%.

The worry is that in two games, if not arguably three, he has not taken a bounty of 3-pointers. Remove Brunson’s 4-for-10 effort in Game 2 and his series rate falls to 6-for-16. That 37.5% would still be plenty quality, but taking only 5.3 long-range looks per game is not enough to justify a prop this high.

Brunson is not finding the space from deep that he prefers. Give some credit to Nickeil Alexander-Walker. Without that space, Brunson should be doubted from beyond the arc.

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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