The NASCAR Cup Series is headed back to Atlanta’s EchoPark Speedway for the Quaker State 400.
We’re set for a rare Saturday night shootout, airing live on TNT at 7:00 p.m. ET. If you’re ready for some intense pack racing, you’re in the right spot.
Atlanta’s 1.54-mile quad-oval is a beast — high banks, tight packs, and restarts that’ll have you holding onto your Busch Light for dear life. As we know from earlier this year, some drivers just get it; they know how to dance in the draft, avoid the big one, and put themselves in position when it counts. Others? Well, let’s just say they might be wishing they had a little more luck in their back pocket.
That’s why my NASCAR race picks are putting the chips on top guns like Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott, and the Toyota team. With the prices the bookies are laying, I pretty much have to back them.
So, if you're looking for free betting picks for June 28, stick with me.
NASCAR prop picks for Quaker State 400
- Top 5 Finish: Chase Elliott (+275)
- Winning Manufacturer: Toyota (+350)
- Top 3 Finish: Ryan Blaney (+250)
NASCAR Quaker State 400 props and best bets
Top 5 Finish: Chase Elliott (+275 at bet365)
Not another Hendrick driver. You do this every week.
Maybe I overthink too much, but that's what I imagine you're saying when you see this bet.
Hear me out, though:
Hendrick Motorsports has placed a car in the top 5 in the last 25 consecutive NASCAR Cup Series races
— NASCAR Insights (@NASCARInsights) June 25, 2025
This is the 2nd longest streak of top 5s a team has ever achieved in Cup Series HISTORY:
Joe Gibbs Racing (2015-2016) - 35 races
Hendrick Motorsports (2024-Present) - 25 races pic.twitter.com/LCztu3zv3D
Oh yeah, but how many times have the No. 5 and 24 cars accounted for that?
I asked Perplexity.ai, and the bot says anywhere between 18 and 20 out of 25 times. So, yeah, Elliott isn't a Top 5 beast per se, but he can get up there, especially close to home.
The Georgia boy has made 13 starts at Atlanta, with one win in the 2022 summer race, two Top 5 finishes, and eight Top 10s. He’s led 164 laps and holds an average finish of 12.2 at the track.
Not to mention, he's looked good in his practice sessions this week. The car is running fast, and if his interviews are to be believed, it's handling well. If Elliott can notch a Top 10 qualifying spot, he should be within range.
Given Elliott's recent performances, I have this number closer to +180, so you're getting almost a dollar of value. Yes, I could be overreacting to what he's been doing. That said, Elliott’s adaptability and experience at this track give him an edge, especially in high-pressure situations. You almost have to take the value here.
Winning Manufacturer: Toyota (+350 at bet365)
I understand that the bookies are looking at this race and thinking that it's either Blaney winning or one of the Chevys winning. However, the +350 price seems disrespectful to the Toyota drivers who have competed well at superspeedway tracks similar to EchoPark.
Although I advocate for Chevy cars frequently, Toyota is currently the most successful manufacturer this season with seven wins. Christopher Bell won the spring race, and Chase Briscoe just took home the dub last week in Pocono.
On top of that, Joe Gibbs Racing and 23XI Racing provide a deep roster of contenders, including Bell, Denny Hamlin, Tyler Reddick, and Bubba Wallace. They have all demonstrated speed, adaptability, and top finishes at Atlanta and similar tracks.
Hamlin’s consistent Top 5 performances and Reddick’s aggressive driving style add to Toyota’s arsenal, while Wallace’s superspeedway prowess makes him a wildcard threat.
I have Toyota priced in the higher +200s. If some of the top drivers from Toyota qualify well, the +350 number is likely to decrease. Just for value alone, this number is worth a play.
Top 3 Finish: Ryan Blaney (+250 at bet365)
Blaney’s track record at Atlanta/EchoPark is exceptional. He currently leads all active drivers with the best average finish at Atlanta (9.57 over 14 races), and his performance at the track has been remarkably consistent, even as the racing style has evolved post the 2022 remodel.
In the most recent Atlanta race, the 2025 Ambetter Health 400, Blaney not only won the pole position but also led laps and finished in fourth place. He's been right there.
Pair that with Blaney’s 2025 solid season that's seen him winning in Nashville, finishing in the Top 5 seven times, and grabbing eight Top 10s through 16 races, even while dealing with a few setbacks along the way. His average finish for the season is in the mid-teens, but his superspeedway and drafting track form, especially at Atlanta, remains elite.
In fact, Blaney has finished inside the Top 5 in three of his last four Atlanta starts, including a runner-up and a win in previous seasons.
If he qualifies well, that +250 number will not hold. I'll take another chance on Blaney.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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