NASCAR Coca-Cola 600 Predictions, Odds & Picks — Charlotte Motor Speedway

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: May 23, 2026 , 06:06 AM ET • 4 min read

Robert Criscola presents his top Coca-Cola 600 picks and props!

NASCAR Cup Series Chase Elliott
Photo By - Reuters Connect. NASCAR Cup Series driver Chase Elliott.

🏁Coca-Cola 600: Key takeaways

  • Best pre-qualifying bet: Chase Elliott (+1100) — No. 9 pilot quietly having a solid season.
  • Best pre-qualifying value: Ty Gibbs (+1600) — Bad luck has contributed to recent poor form, don't dismiss.
  • Best pre-qualifying prop bet: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Top 10 (+900) — His solid Charlotte form is getting overlooked.
  • Track: The lone 600-mile race of the season rewards the endurance and adaptability of both drivers and pit crews.
  • Weather: Watch out for rain.

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Coca-Cola 600 odds: Favorites & full field

The Coca-Cola 600 runs at 6 p.m. ET on Prime Video. Below are the latest outright odds, followed by the picks and market-by-market best bets we like this week.

Driver DraftKings
Denny Hamlin +500
Tyler Reddick +650
Kyle Larson +750
Christopher Bell +850
William Byron +850
Ryan Blaney +850
Chase Elliott +1100
Chase Briscoe +1100
Carson Hocevar +1500
Ty Gibbs +1600
Joey Logano +2200
Chris Buescher +2200
Bubba Wallace +2500
Brad Keselowski +2500
Ross Chastain +2800
Alex Bowman +4000
Connor Zilisch +4000
Austin Dillon +6500
Austin Cindric +6500
Ryan Preece +6500

Odds as of 5-23.

Check out the full Coca-Cola 600 field here.


Best bets card (updated Saturday)

  • Outright: Chase Elliott (+1100)
  • Outright: Ty Gibbs (+1600)
  • Top 10: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+900)
  • Matchup: William Byron (+100) over Tyler Reddick

Who's hot? Who's not?

  • 🔥 Denny Hamlin — No worse than fourth in nine straight starts at intermediate ovals.
  • ❄️ Christopher Bell — 17th or worse in five straight starts.

Track breakdown: What wins at Charlotte Motor Speedway?

  • As a 1 1/2-mile oval, Charlotte profiles similarly to Las Vegas and Kansas.
  • Drivers and pit crews will be forced to make strategy changes as day progresses into night and ambient temperature drops. 

Key stats & driver profiles to target

  • Charlotte has produced nine different winners in the last nine races.
  • Drivers in the Top 5 starting positions have accounted for 55.56% of all Cup Series wins here.

Drivers to watch

  • Brad Keselowski is the only active multiple-race winner at Charlotte in the field. 
  • William Byron leads all active drivers in average starting position at Charlotte (5.3). 

Odds movement & market notes

  • Carson Hocevar has gone from +2500 to +1800 to +1500 from Tuesday to Friday. A solid qualifying effort could drive his price down even further, as I explain in my Coca-Cola 600 sleeper picks.
  • Ty Gibbs has also taken mid-week action, falling from +2200 to +1600.

Outright picks: Winners to bet

Pick 1: Chase Elliott to win (+1100)

Former Charlotte winner knows how to find the front here.

  • Track Fit: Led laps in nine straight at Charlotte.
  • Recent Form: String of three Top 10s interrupted in last points-paying race.
  • Market Value: Draw the line at +750.

Risk: Will have fierce competition from teammates Byron, Larson.

Pick made on 5-23.

Pick 2: Ty Gibbs to win (+1600)

Gibbs has stepped up his game in 2026.

  • Track Fit: Has a solid sixth from 2024 (74 laps led) to run back to.
  • Recent Form: Back-to-back accidents and a suspension issue last out cloud otherwise solid form.
  • Market Value: Playable down to +1200.

Risk: Outside the Top 10 in recent intermediate track form.

Pick made on 5-23.


Best top finish bets

Pick: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. to finish Top 10 (+900)

Superspeedway specialist actually boasts strong numbers at Charlotte.

  • Track Fit: 12.6 average finish last eight races here with four Top 10s.
  • Recent Form: Not much to endorse here, hence the price.
  • Market Value: Playable down to +800, lower if he qualifies inside Top 15.

Risk: Just two Top 10s all year, one at Daytona and one at Talladega.

Pick made on 5-23.


Best matchup & head-to-head bets

Pick: William Byron (+100) over Tyler Reddick

This price is too tempting to resist.

  • Matchup Advantage: Byron has hit the Top 3 in three straight here.
  • Key Stat: Byron has won the H2H with Reddick in five of the last seven races at Charlotte.

Risk: Reddick is No. 1 in the points standings this year.

Pick made on 5-23.


How to watch the Coca-Cola 600

Location: Charlotte Motor Speedway, Charlotte, NC
Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
Start time: 6 p.m. ET
TV: Prime Video

Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 Coca-Cola 600.


Charlotte Motor Speedway weather

Unfortunately, there is a 70% chance of light rain in Charlotte, NC on Sunday night. NASCAR has Memorial Day to play with on Monday, so the potential for a postponement is high, but there's still a 45% chance of precipitation on that day.


Previous Coca-Cola 600 winners

Year Winner Manufacturer
2025 Ross Chastain Chevrolet
2024 Christopher Bell Toyota
2023 Ryan Blaney Ford
2022 Denny Hamlin Toyota
2021 Kyle Larson Chevrolet

Coca-Cola 600 betting FAQ

When is the 2026 Coca-Cola 600?

The 2026 Coca-Cola 600 will be held at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 24 Prime Video.

Where will the 2026 Coca-Cola 600 be held?

Charlotte Motor Speedway in Charlotte, NC is the site for the Coca-Cola 600.

Who is the 2026 Coca-Cola 600 favorite?

Denny Hamlin is favored to win the Coca-Cola 600.

Who won the Coca-Cola 600 last year?

Ross Chastain won the 2025 Coca-Cola 600.

How do Coca-Cola 600 prop bets work?

Top 3s, Top 5s, Top 10s, and head-to-head bets are just some of the many available prop wagers ahead of the Coke 600.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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