The Coca-Cola 600 was proof that you never know what to expect in the NASCAR Cup Series odds, as Daniel Suarez sprung a massive upset in a rain-shortened race.
I can't promise a triple-digit upset winner pick, but I'll do my best to find the drivers getting overlooked in my Cracker Barrel 400 long-shot predictions and sleeper picks for May 31.
See why Chase Elliott tops my free betting picks for Sunday's race at Nashville Superspeedway.
NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400 sleeper picks
- Chase Elliott (+1200)
- Austin Cindric (+6500)
- Erik Jones (+9000)
Picks made on 5-30.
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NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400 long-shot predictions
Sleeper pick to win: Chase Elliott
+1200 at DraftKings
Chase Elliott is looking to bounce back after wrecking in the Coke 600, and there's a case to be made he bounces into the winner's circle on Sunday.
Elliott won here in 2022 and ran fourth in 2023, before missing the Top 10 each of the last two years. He did bring competitive cars to the track in 2024 and 2025, however, picking up stage points twice.
Nashville Superspeedway is said to be like a bigger version of Dover Motor Speedway, given they're both concrete ovals, and Elliott is a two-time winner at "The Monster Mile" with a sixth in 2025 after leading 238 laps.
The No. 9 pilot is third among active drivers in average rating at intermediate ovals (93.0). He's playable even if he drops to +900.
Sleeper pick to win: Austin Cindric
+6500 at DraftKings
Austin Cindric's best finish here is a seventh from 2022, but his best rating of 88.6 occurred last year, when he led two laps and placed sixth in Stage 2 despite an 18th-place result.
Cindric ran sixth in the All-Star Race at Dover, part of a decent run of form for the No. 2 driver that was ruined by a wreck at Charlotte last week.
Cindric hit the Top 10 in four of his last seven points-paying races prior to the Coke 600, finishing no worse than 16th in that span.
Anything above +5000 represents value here.
Sleeper pick to win: Erik Jones
+9000 at DraftKings
Erik Jones has sandwiched a 34th here in 2024 due to a suspension issue with two Top 10s, each of which featured a stage placing. His 105.7 rating at Nashville last season was eclipsed only by the 109.5 he earned at Darlington.
Jones was third in the All-Star Race earlier this month, and his intermediate track form is on the improve with a 13th at Charlotte and a 12th at Texas.
You could do a lot worse when searching for drivers to bet at this price. I'd still bet him at +7500.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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