Netflix MVP MMA Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's Main Card

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: May 16, 2026 , 11:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Get expert predictions and best bets for every fight on the main card, including the blockbuster main event between Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano. Break down each matchup with sharp insights from Covers’ top analysts.

Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano pose after the press conference for the Most Valuable Promotions MMA card at Palladium Theater.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano pose after the press conference for the Most Valuable Promotions MMA card at Palladium Theater.

MVP Promotions launches its MMA debut tonight with a stacked fight card set at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood.

A massive showdown between Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano tops the card LIVE on Netflix, and our betting experts have analyzed the latest Netflix MVP MMA odds to deliver their top predictions and picks for Saturday, May 16.

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Netflix MVP MMA best bets

Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano

Best pick: Rousey by submission (63%/-170)

"Rousey’s clearest path to victory is a familiar one: immediate pressure, clinch entries, and fast submissions.

Carano’s long inactivity and likely diminished footwork make it difficult to imagine her consistently defending takedowns or surviving prolonged grappling exchanges.

Unless Rousey uncharacteristically elects to strike instead of grapple, she should be able to rush Carano down, secure top position, and finish the fight quickly with a submission."

Read Danny Howard's full Rousey vs. Carano predictions.


Nate Diaz vs Mike Perry

Best pick: Perry by decision (29%/+245)

"The toughness and durability Diaz is known for isn’t something he can fall back on this late in his career against a sharper, mobile striker.

Perry’s pressure and speed will quickly make their mark on the plodding Diaz, who will be marked up in short order. Ironically, Diaz’s best chance to win is if Perry treats this as an MMA fight and tries to shoot for takedowns, which won’t be necessary."

Read Danny Howard's full Diaz vs. Perry predictions.


Francis Ngannou vs Philipe Lins

Best pick: Under 1.5 rounds (57%/-133)

"It’s no secret what Francis Ngannou’s approach in MMA is; he is a tremendous puncher who has finished his last 10 wins by knockout, including nine inside the first round.

He doesn't just like to separate his opponents from consciousness, but he likes to do it as quickly as possible. 

This approach doesn’t bode well for opponent Philipe Lins, who has been finished inside the distance in four of his five career losses, including three knockouts or TKOs in the very first round. 

You could play it safe and take Ngannou anytime knockout, but given the history of both fighters, it’s safe to say this fight doesn’t get over the 1.5 rounds mark."

Read Cody Saftic's full Ngannou vs. Lins predictions.

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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