The Chicago White Sox and New York Yankees meet again following New York's 12-2 whooping of Chicago, and our White Sox vs. Yankees predictions expect a similar outcome.
Find out why in my MLB picks for Wednesday, June 17.
Who will win White Sox vs Yankees today: Yankees -1.5 (+120)
This is one of the bigger ERA-to-expected ERA gaps you'll find this season.
Anthony Kay’s 8.74 expected ERA is concerning, especially paired with a .438 xwOBA allowed and a 58%+ hard-hit rate. Regression is coming, and few teams are better equipped to take advantage of it.
In addition, it's not ideal that a 15% walk rate puts free runners in front of a New York Yankees lineup that I think has found its footing again.
Carlos Rodon counters with a 75th-percentile strikeout rate and 81st-percentile xERA against a Chicago White Sox lineup that strikes out heavily. Play to +100.
COVERS INTEL: Anthony Kay has allowed an average exit velocity of 92.4 mph in 2026, one of the worst marks in baseball
White Sox vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-103)
I like the Over to -130.
Anthony Kay's .594 expected SLG allowed and 10.3% barrel rate is a big story. I mentioned how I expect the Yankees to hit him hard, and there's just loads of evidence to back that up.
On the other side, Carlos Rodon's Bottom 3 percentile walk rate is always a story. It's an issue here because this White Sox team has quietly hung around the top ten of baseball in various hard-hit metrics.
The Yankees will do the heavy lifting, and the White Sox will put up a crooked inning in a hitter-friendly stadium.
- ML/RL bets: 29-26, +5.46 units
- Over/Under bets: 34-22, +15.82 units
White Sox vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Chicago +155 | New York -190
- Run line: Chicago +1.5 | New York -1.5
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
White Sox vs Yankees trend
The New York Yankees have hit the moneyline in seven of their last eight games (+6.10 Units / 63% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for White Sox vs. Yankees.
How to watch White Sox vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Wednesday, June 17, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | CHSN, Amazon Prime Video |
| White Sox starting pitcher | Anthony Kay (6-1, 4.34 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Carlos Rodon (2-2, 3.19 ERA) |
White Sox vs Yankees latest injuries
White Sox vs Yankees weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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