This evening, we’re looking to back steady, consistent arms while fading a few of the game’s more vulnerable starters.
Headlined by another strong outing from veteran right-hander Zack Wheeler, here are my favorite MLB player props and MLB picks for Wednesday, July 1.
Best MLB strikeout props and starting pitcher picks today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Zack Wheeler |
Over 7.5 strikeouts | +114 |
 Zac Gallen |
Under 3.5 strikeouts | -103 |
 J.T. Ginn |
Over 3.5 earned runs | +122 |
Strikeout Prop: Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 strikeouts (+114)
One of the most reliable strikeout pitchers in all of baseball is Zack Wheeler. The Philadelphia Phillies right-hander enters Wednesday with an elite pitcher and strikeout rating on Batters-Box.
In 34 elite-rated starts, the veteran has reached at least six strikeouts in 88.24% of games, seven strikeouts in 70.59%, and eight strikeouts in 50%.
Overall this season, the Phillies starter has carried a 29% K rate at home. Tonight, he draws a Pittsburgh Pirates lineup that has been extremely swing-happy. Over their last six games, they have a 30.6% strikeout rate.
Getting plus money in this spot offers a strong opportunity to back eight Ks from one of the most consistent pitchers in the game.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSP, SNP
Strikeout Prop: Zac Gallen Under 3.5 strikeouts (-103)
Despite not being the flashiest offense in baseball, the San Francisco Giants do one thing well: they don't strike out.
In their last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, only three bats sit above a 26% strikeout rate. Six are under 20%, and four are under 13.3%.
Luis Arraez in that stretch? 0%.
On the other side, Zac Gallen has struggled all season, posting a 5.27 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP at home. Over his last three starts, the Arizona Diamondbacks right-hander owns a 9.18 ERA, 7.82 xERA, and 1.68 WHIP. In his last five outings, his strikeout rate sits at 7.75%.
Snagging nearly even money on a pitcher who has struggled this much all season long is a strong look, even playable down to -110 if needed.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ARID, NBCSBA
Pitcher Prop: J.T. Ginn Over 3.5 earned runs (+122)
The level of heat the Los Angeles Dodgers are bringing right now is reason enough to take a look at them scoring 4+ runs against J.T. Ginn this evening. If you're worried about an error or any shenanigans, the F5 team total Over is the cleaner angle.
The Dodgers enter today with four elite-rated hitters and the highest-rated offense in Batters-Box default ratings. Over their last six games, they're posting a 153 wRC+, .388 wOBA, and .890 OPS.
Ginn owns a 4.32 xERA and a 1.62 WHIP at home with the Athletics this season. With how hot the Dodgers have been, asking them to clear just above their first five-inning run average at plus money is a risk worth taking.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSCA, SNLA
- Prop picks: 248-477, -21.3 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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