Rockies vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 1, 2026 , 11:47 AM ET • 4 min read

Kevin Gausman is back on the mound for Toronto, and our Rockies vs. Blue Jays predictions expect him to be on his A-game again.

MLB

Apr 01 • 1:07 PM ET
COL
29 %
TOR
71 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kevin Gausman o6.5  Strikeouts Thrown (-145) Kevin Gausman o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-145)
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Kevin Gausman Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kevin Gausman on the mound during his Opening Day start.

Kevin Gausman’s splitter was too hard to handle for the A’s on opening night, and I expect similar struggles from the Colorado Rockies this afternoon.

Find out why with my Rockies vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for today's game.

Rockies vs Blue Jays predictions

Rockies vs Blue Jays best bet: Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 strikeouts (-145)

When Kevin Gausman is locating his split-finger fastball, he's one of the most unhittable pitchers in all of baseball. 

This was the case last week when he rang up 11 A’s batters on Opening Night, and I’m expecting a similar outcome this afternoon against the Colorado Rockies

The Rockies batted just .133 against the splitter last season with a MLB-worst 41.5% strikeout rate, including striking out eight times against Gausman in his lone start against them.

Gausman had a 34% K-rate with his splitter last season and a 72.7% rate in his last outing vs the A’s.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Kevin Gausman is averaging 7.8 strikeouts per game over his last five starts.

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Rockies vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

The Toronto Blue Jays are averaging 5.2 runs per game this season, going Over the 4.5-run mark in four out of their five games this year. With Freeland and his career 9.31 ERA when facing Toronto on the mound, I think they'll eclipse that mark again.

I’ll also add Kazuma Okamoto to go Over his hits prop. He’s logged a hit in every game this season, including two dingers, and will have the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland.

Rockies vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 strikeouts
  • Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 hits
  • Jays team total Over 4.5
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Rockies vs Blue Jays home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+285)

I’m only making this a half-unit wager. Freeland is a line-drive contact pitcher who gets hit hard by righties, and the best line drive right-handed power hitter on the Jays is Vladdy, who's certainly primed to hit his first homer of the season.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 1-3, -1.65 units
  • SGPs: 1-3, +0.5 units
  • HR picks: 1-3, +0.05 units

Rockies vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Colorado +240 | Toronto -290
  • Run line: Colorado +1.5 (+115) | Toronto -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Rockies vs Blue Jays trend

The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 games between these teams. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Rockies vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Center, Toronto, ON
Date Wednesday, April 1, 2026
First pitch 1:07 p.m. ET
TV Rockies.TV, SN
Rockies starting pitcher Kyle Freeland
(0-1, 4.15 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman
(0-0, 1.50 ERA)

Rockies vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Rockies vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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