It doesn’t get any better than this. Two of the fiercest rivals in baseball will square off Thursday night in a win-or-go-home clash at Yankee Stadium.
With an impressive young pitcher taking the mound, my Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks see the road side hanging tough early — no pun intended — in this do-or-die affair.
Red Sox vs Yankees Game 3 predictions
Who will win Red Sox vs Yankees Game 3
The underdog Boston Red Sox are very live to steal this series. They should have a pitching advantage across the board, with a more in-form starter and bullpen (only the Guardians, Mariners, and Padres had a better bullpen FIP in September).
Red Sox vs Yankees best bet
Red Sox first five innings +0.5 (+125)
Although very inexperienced, the Red Sox should have the early pitching advantage with Connelly Early taking the mound.
He started four games down the stretch and performed well, allowing five earned runs over 19 1/3 innings of work (2.33 ERA) with fantastic underlying metrics across the board.
Early struck out 13.5 batters per nine innings, induced ground balls nearly 50% of the time, and his 22.2% soft contact rate was best among all of today’s starters over the last month. The kid can pitch.
Cam Schlittler’s numbers during that span were solid in their own right; however, there were more red flags. He allowed four runs in two of his past five starts, homers in two of the last three, and posted a walk rate of nearly 10%.
The Red Sox have hit righties very well of late, ranking second in average and ninth in wOBA in September.
Red Sox vs Yankees Game 3 same-game parlay (SGP)
Alex Bregman has a long track record of postseason success, and it's shown in this series. He has three hits through two games and has hit safely in each. He fared very well against fastballs and cutters this year, which is notable as Schlittler throws one of the two nearly 75% of the time vs. righties. Hitting in the 3-hole, he’s in a good spot to cash in a runner.
Giancarlo Stanton has historically performed well in the playoffs. He was very quiet in Game 1 and Game 2, but given the success he’s enjoyed against pitchers of each handedness, he should have a say tonight.
Red Sox vs Yankees SGP
- Red Sox first five innings +0.5
- Alex Bregman Over 0.5 RBI
- Giancarlo Stanton Over 0.5 hits
Red Sox vs Yankees home run pick for Game 3
Giancarlo Stanton (+340)
Stanton has benefitted greatly from the friendly confines of Yankee Stadium, going yard in 33% of home games this season compared to 22% on the road. With a sky-high barrel rate of 28% over his last 25 at-bats against left-handed pitching, he’s a real threat to go.
Red Sox vs Yankees Game 3 odds
- Moneyline: Boston +135 | New York -160
- Run line: Boston +1.5 (-150) | Los Angeles -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8
Red Sox vs Yankees trend
Alex Bregman has recorded multiple bases in five of his past nine road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Yankees.
How to watch Red Sox vs Yankees and Game 3 info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Thursday, October 2, 2025 |
| First pitch | 8:08 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Connell Early (1-2, 2.33 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Cam Schlittler (4-3, 2.96 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Yankees latest injuries
Red Sox vs Yankees weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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