Boston @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 6th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Romy Gonzalez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. This season, Romy Gonzalez has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.3 mph compared to last year's 92.7 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Amed Rosario will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph mark.

This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connelly Early in today's game. Anthony Volpe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 17.6%. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.2° mark in the last two weeks.

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. In the last week, Ceddanne Rafaela's 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42%.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trevor Story has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jarren Duran will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.

This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Nick Sogard has put up a .259 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Sogard is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (52.9% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Alex Bregman has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.

This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Carlos Narvaez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Carlos Narvaez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.4-mph over the past two weeks. Carlos Narvaez's launch angle in recent games (20.4° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 13.4° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last year to 16.4% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ben Rice is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connelly Early today. Paul Goldschmidt has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 100.8-mph over the last week. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.5°) is a significant increase over his 16.9° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Aaron Judge will have an edge today. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. This matchup is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan McMahon has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jose Caballero has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.