It’s a loaded MLB schedule on Tuesday, with 15 games on the board for hungry baseball bettors to sink their teeth into — which means there is plenty of value to find in the MLB prop bets market.
One of our favorite innings eaters is on the mound, as Zack Wheeler takes the ball for the Phillies, while the Rockies continue to provide surprising value for bettors when they play at Coors Field.
We break down and pick those games — and more — with our best free MLB prop bets, picks, and predictions for Tuesday, August 3.
Today’s MLB props and picks
Zack Wheeler Over 19.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Our favorite workhorse is on the mound today as Wheeler takes the ball for the Phillies when they visit the Washington Nationals.
Wheeler is having a fantastic season, pitching to a 2.45 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and striking out nearly 11 batters per nine innings. But most impressive of all is how reliable Wheeler is when he steps on the mound.
The right-hander leads the MLB in innings pitched with 139 2-3 and has pitched at least six innings in 16 of his 21 starts this season. For this bet to cash, we need him to go at least 6 2-3 innings — but we think he can do it tonight against the Nats.
Wheeler has recorded 20 or more outs 12 times in his last 17 starts, which includes him going seven innings last time out against this same Nationals team. Well, they aren't really the same anymore with Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, Yan Gomes, and Josh Harrison all moved at the trade deadline.
Bet on Wheeler to keep rolling up the innings in this one.
Kenta Maeda Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-120)
Minnesota Twins starter Kenta Maeda has warmed up with the summer months.
After a rough start to the season, the righty has looked much more like the guy who finished second in the American League Cy Young voting last season (to be fair, it has been a rough season all around for the Twins). And Maeda will look to stay hot as the Twins visit the Cincinnati Reds.
The veteran chucker is pitching to a 2.15 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, and limiting opponents to a .176 batting average in five starts since the beginning of July. But maybe most impressive is the fact that his strikeouts are way up — Maeda has 36 punchouts in his last 29 1-3 innings and recorded five or more Ks in all five of those July starts, averaging 7.2 per outing.
He’ll get a great chance to keep racking up the strikeouts against Cincy today, as the Reds rank 20th in strikeouts per game and they get punched out the fifth most when playing at home, where they get rung up 9.29 times per contest.
With Maeda going over this number six times in his last nine starts, you have to like the value for him to eclipse his strikeout total in this one as well.
Rockies Five-Inning Moneyline (-110)
The Colorado Rockies home-road splits are, quite frankly, stunning.
When playing at Coors Field, the Rockies have a more than respectable 33-20 record and rank second in scoring, first in batting average, and second in OPS. But on the road? Well, they are just 13-40 and sit dead last in scoring, average, and OPS — and by a fairly wide margin.
Luckily for the Rockies, they open their next series at home Tuesday night against the new-look Chicago Cubs.
The Cubs didn’t just sell at the trade deadline — they had a store-closing inventory blowout. No more Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, or Javier Baez for a team that was already 20-35 on the road this season, ranking 24th in scoring, 28th in average, and 26th in OPS.
To make matter worse for the Cubbies, Colorado starter Kyle Freeland might finally be the good version of himself again. The lefty has pitched to a 1.98 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over his last seven starts.
The Cubs counter with Zach Davies, who is allowing opponents to hit .306 over his last five starts and ranks in the Bottom-11th percentile in the MLB in expected ERA, expected batting average, and strikeout percentage.
With the Rockies also sporting a very profitable 30-13-10 first five moneyline record at home, we like them to improve on that number here.
MLB betting card for August 3
- Zack Wheeler Over 19.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
- Kenta Maeda Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-120)
- Rockies Five-Inning Moneyline (-110)
Picks made on 8/3/2021 at 12:08 p.m. ET
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