MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, May 10

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: May 10, 2026 , 07:59 AM ET • 4 min read

Our MLB expert Phil Naessens has three plus-money MLB player props, including a big night at the dish for Tigers outfielder Riley Greene.

Riley Greene of the Detroit Tigers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Riley Greene of the Detroit Tigers MLB

We’ve been blessed with a 15-game Mother’s Day MLB Sunday schedule, which means plenty of plus-money opportunities to be had.

I’ve scoured the MLB odds and have found three hitters in solid matchups, including Detroit Tigers OF Riley Greene facing Kansas City Royals lefty Noah Cameron. 

Read on for my MLB player props and MLB picks for Sunday, May 10.

Best MLB player props today

Player  Pick Odds
Athletics Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 total bases +110
Yankees Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases +105
Tigers Riley Greene Over 1.5 total bases +140
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Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 total bases (+110)

Athletics OF Tyler Soderstrom is in a strong spot against Baltimore Orioles starter Chris Bassitt, whose underlying numbers have been shaky. 

Soderstrom has a couple of hits off Bassit in seven at-bats, and that should give him confidence to break his current 0-9 series mark. 

Bassitt is allowing more hard contact and not missing many bats, and the Orioles bullpen is surrendering a 4.07 xERA across their last 44 frames.

Soderstrom’s power profile stands out with a 51% hard-hit rate and 13.5% barrel rate, and is a good play at plus-money. 

  • Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Mid-Atlantic Sports Network, NBC Sports California

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases (+105)

New York Yankees slugger Aaron Judge gets a favorable matchup against Milwaukee Brewers starter Logan Henderson, who throws his four-seam fastball nearly half the time. 

That is dangerous against Judge, who is slugging .692 against four-seamers this season while continuing to produce elite hard-contact numbers. 

Henderson also mixes in cutters and sinkers, two more pitch types Judge has handled extremely well throughout his career. 

Judge saw his six-game hitting streak snapped last night, but has strong value at plus money to record two total bases.

  • Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Brewers.TV, YES Network

Riley Greene Over 1.5 total bases (+140)


Detroit Tigers OF Riley Greene has been crushing left-handed pitching this season, posting a .368 batting average and 1.053 OPS in the split. 

He also draws a favorable matchup against Kansas City Royals starter Noah Cameron, who has struggled badly against left-handed hitters, allowing a .677 slugging percentage and .430 wOBA

Greene continues to produce elite hard-contact numbers with a 52.1% hard-hit rate and strong barrel metrics. 

At plus money, this is an appealing spot for Detroit’s best hitter to deliver extra-base damage.

  • Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Peacock
Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 3-2, +6.30 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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