Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for NLDS Game 4 — Thursday, October 9

Even if the Dodgers ultimately win and move on, Phillies SP Cristopher Sanchez won't be the one to blame. The lefty carved up the LA lineup in Game 1, and we expect more strikeouts from him tonight.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Oct 9, 2025 • 09:30 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
LAD
59 %
PHI
41 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Cristopher Sanchez o5.5  Total Strikeouts (-115) Cristopher Sanchez o5.5 Total Strikeouts (-115)
Read Analysis
Cristopher Sanchez Philadelphia Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Phillies SP Cristopher Sanchez reacts after striking out Shohei Ohtani in Game 1 of the NLDS.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers clash in Game 4 of the NLDS tonight at Dodger Stadium, with Philly looking to keep its season alive. 

Cristopher Sanchez racked up the Ks in Game 1, and my Phillies vs Dodgers predictions are expecting a lot of the same this evening. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Thursday, October 9. 

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Phillies vs Dodgers Game 4 predictions

Who will win Phillies vs Dodgers Game 4

This won’t be an easy matchup for the Phils. Tyler Glasnow is electric, and this will be his first start of the postseason after pitching out of the bullpen earlier in this series.

Plus, I simply do not see a team as good as Los Angeles losing two games at home when the stakes are this high. It may ultimately be a close contest, but the Dodgers will come out on top and advance to the NLCS. 

Phillies vs Dodgers best bet

Cristopher Sanchez Over 5.5 strikeouts (-112)

Cristopher Sanchez was the Philadelphia Phillies’ best starter in 2025. He went 13-5 with a 2.50 ERA in 32 starts, striking out 212 in 202 innings.

The left-hander has serious swing-and-miss stuff, and it plays against anyone, no matter how good the opposing lineup may be. 

Case in point: the Los Angeles Dodgers. Sanchez sat down eight LA hitters via the K in Game 1, and he’s cashed the Over in punchouts in five consecutive appearances.

He does strike out fewer hitters on the road, but the numbers are still impressive, with 97 Ks in 104 1/3 innings. 

Even if Sanchez does ultimately give up some runs, he’ll still manage to rack up his fair share of strikeouts in Game 4.

Phillies vs Dodgers Game 4 same-game parlay (SGP)

Tommy Edman's 4-for-13 against Sanchez. He’s also batting .251 at home compared to .199 on the road.

Even though they're up 2-1 in the series, the pressure is on for the Dodgers. Going back to Citizens Bank Park for a decisive Game 5 isn’t something any team would want, because the atmosphere in Philadelphia is electric, and it will fuel the Phils, especially after losing Games 1 and 2 at home. 

I do believe the Dodgers will win this one. Tyler Glasnow will give them enough quality innings, while they will chip away and score a couple of runs off Sanchez. Failing that, the Dodgers will once again get to Philly's bullpen, just like in Game 1. 

Phillies vs Dodgers SGP

  • Cristopher Sanchez Over 5.5 strikeouts
  • Tommy Edman Over 0.5 hits
  • Dodgers moneyline

Phillies vs Dodgers home run pick for Game 4

Teoscar Hernandez (+420)

Teoscar Hernandez is 5-for-15 off Sanchez (two home runs), and 16 of his regular-season bombs came at Dodger Stadium.

Phillies vs Dodgers Game 4 odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +110 | Los Angeles -130
  • Run line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-190) | Los Angeles -1.5 (+158)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-120) | Under 7.5 (+100)

Phillies vs Dodgers trend

Cristopher Sanchez has cashed the Over on strikeouts in five straight outings. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Phillies vs Dodgers and Game 4 info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Thursday, October 9, 2025
First pitch 6:08 p.m. ET
TV TBS
Phillies starting pitcher Cristopher Sanchez
(13-5, 2.50 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow
(4-3, 3.19 ERA)

Phillies vs Dodgers latest injuries

Phillies vs Dodgers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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