MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money October 25

Oct 25, 2020 |
MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money October 25
Justin Turner and the Dodgers are back at it Sunday night for World Series Game 5 against the Rays. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles -160/Tampa Bay +150.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Justin Turner and the Dodgers are back at it Sunday night for World Series Game 5 against the Rays. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles -160/Tampa Bay +150.
Photo By - USA Today Sports

MLB betting odds are on the board and already getting action for Sunday night’s Game 5 of the World Series in Arlington, Texas. After a wild Game 4 that knotted this matchup, the Tampa Bay Rays and Los Angeles Dodgers aim to take one more step toward a title.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s Game 5 and the updated World Series odds. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement through game time.

MLB line movement 

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With first pitch approaching, Los Angeles is up to -166 at FanDuel, with Tampa Bay +144, and the total is stable at 8.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The SuperBook opened the Dodgers -160 and dipped to -155 early today, then got to -165, and the moneyline is currently Dodgers -163/Rays +153. The total is steady at 8, though the Over was even money for a few hours and is now -105.

UPDATE 5:15 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Just shy of three hours from first pitch, FanDuel has Game 5 at Los Angeles -160/Tampa Bay +138, up a few cents from the opener of -154/+134. The total opened at 7.5 and went to 8 overnight.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings opened the Dodgers -152 and got to -162 overnight, then ticked back to -159 this morning, with the Rays +135. The total opened at 7.5 and went to 8 overnight.

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Tampa Bay and Los Angeles battled back and forth throughout Game 4 Saturday night. In the bottom of the ninth inning, the Rays got a Brett Phillips RBI single with an error that allowed a second run to score, securing an 8-7 victory. The best-of-seven World Series is now tied at two games apiece.

The SuperBook at Westgate opened Game 5 at Dodgers -160/Rays +150, with a total of 8, and there was no movement late Saturday night for this 8:08 p.m. ET Sunday start.

 

MLB sharp money

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: "It looks like the majority of the public and sharps are taking Tampa," SuperBook manager Reyna Hernandez said. "We also got some sharp action on Under 8."

MLB public betting

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Although their price has gone up a few cents, the Dodgers' betting-split percentages have actually ticked down at FanDuel as game time approaches. Ticket count is dead even, split 50/50, and money is running 2/1 on the Dodgers. There's consensus on the total of 8, with tickets and money both at about 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: "We've got some public play on the Dodgers and Over 8," The SuperBook's Hernandez said, noting there's also parlay liability on the Dodgers, per usual.

UPDATE 5:15 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Moneyline ticket count is close to even at FanDuel, with Los Angeles nabbing 53 percent of tickets, and the Dodgers are taking 72 percent of cash so far. The public is also on the Over, which is attracting 84 percent of bets/78 percent of money.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles is taking 62 percent of early tickets and money at FanDuel, and the public likes the Dodgers -1.5 on the runline, as well, with L.A. landing 74 percent of bets/90 percent of cash. Bettors are also on the Over early, with tickets and money both running about 4/1.

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Covers Consensus, often indicative of where the public stands, showed two-way play late Saturday night. In a limited sample, the Rays were landing 53 percent of early picks.

Odds to win the World Series

Much like the game results, the World Series price keeps bouncing around. Prior to Game 4, the Dodgers were -500 and the Rays +400 at The SuperBook. Following Tampa Bay’s win, the price shifted to Los Angeles -200/Tampa +175, ostensibly right where it was before Game 1.

The house continues to root hard for the Rays.

“The Rays are awesome for us,” SuperBook executive director John Murray said prior to Game 1. “We’re a small loser to the Dodgers.”

Where can I bet MLB odds?

Many online books and casinos offer bets on baseball odds and props. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live.

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