Mets vs Dodgers Picks and Predictions: Strong Pitching in Dodger Stadium Finale

After sweeping the Mets last week, the Dodgers are looking to do it again to run their winning streak to 10 games. We're expecting another low-scoring contest after three straight Unders to start the series. Find out more in our Mets vs. Dodgers picks.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst
Aug 22, 2021 • 10:15 ET • 4 min read
David Price Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers have taken the first three games of their series versus the New York Mets and will be looking for their 10th straight win Sunday at Dodger Stadium.

The Dodgers are still 1.5 games behind the Giants for the top spot in the NL West while the Mets are watching their season slip away, as they have gone 2-8 SU in their last 10 and sit seven games back from the Braves in the NL East.

Los Angeles opened as -200 favorites but the line has fallen as low as -174. This is in stark contrast to yesterday where the home side closed at -256. The total is set at 9 and is trending downward.

Here are our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Mets vs, Dodgers on August 22.

Mets vs Dodgers game info

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Sunday, August 22, 2021
Time: 4:10 p.m. ET

Mets vs Dodgers odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Mets vs Dodgers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Marcus Stroman (8-12, 2.84 ERA): The wins haven’t been there for the Mets' right-hander, but Stroman has been one of the steadier arms on the roster this year. He has allowed three or fewer runs in eight of his last night starts and is coming off a seven-inning, nine-strikeout outing versus the Giants. The Mets are 11-14 SU in Stroman’s starts this year. The HDMH pitcher has never pitched at Dodger Stadium.

David Price (4-1, 3.62 ERA): Price has made 10 starts this year and holds a respectable 3.62 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in those games. The veteran left-hander carried a shutout into the fourth inning in his last start and should be good for another four to five innings versus the light-hitting Mets. L.A. is 4-6 SU in Price’s starts.


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Mets: Drew Smith RP (Out), Javier Baez SS (Questionable), Francisco Lindor SS (Questionable).
Dodgers: Mookie Betts OF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Mets are 17-44 in the last 61 meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Dodgers.

Moneyline pick

The wins keep on coming for the Dodgers, who have shown they can win close games as they took another one-run contest versus the Mets last night. The 4-3 Saturday win marked the sixth straight victory over New York in the last eight days and helped push the Dodgers’ win streak to nine games. 

The Dodgers just have so many weapons at every point of attack. Closer Kenley Jansen has tossed four innings against the Mets over the last week and has yielded no hits or earned runs. Newcomer Trea Turner has been showcasing his skills and is slashing .352/.390/.519 over 54 at-bats since joining the Dodgers from Washington via trade. This is one of the best-constructed rosters in baseball.

New York will get arguably the worst L.A. starter in Price Sunday but the veteran still boasts a 1.14 WHIP across his 10 starts and hasn’t allowed more than two runs over his last three outings. It is a favorable matchup for the lefty as the Mets are hitting .200 in the series and have scored just six runs across three games with just five extra-base hits.

As good and consistent as Stroman has been this year, it hasn’t equated to victories for the Mets. The offense has scored just nine runs over his last five starts which is, frankly, embarrassing. No matter what the Mets get on the mound, it seems like they get no support with an average of 3.76 runs per game (the second-worst mark in baseball).

The Mets’ only chance to hit the postseason is to win the NL East and but they sit seven games back heading into Sunday. Their season is pretty much over as FanGraphs has them at 4.8 percent to make the postseason. Entering the month they had a 67 percent chance to get in. It’s been a rough month and it doesn’t look to be getting any better with eight losses in their last nine.

It’s a double-unit wage on the LAD moneyline for us as the close games have us wary of the runline. 

PREDICTION: Los Angeles (-174)

Over/Under pick

The Under is 4-2 over the six games these two teams have played over the last week, including 3-0 in this series alone. Four of the games have been decided by one run and both teams’ bullpens are legit and have been impressive this week. This total opened at 9 and has hit 8.5 on some of the more reputable books which means the others are sure to follow. 

Is the Mets’ offense even struggling at this point of the season or is it just flat-out bad? Yes, Pete Alonso is heating up, but there isn't much pop in this lineup outside of the first baseman.

The real threat to the Over is the LAD offense but Stroman has seen some of the league’s best teams of late and has held them at bay. He has 17 strikeouts over his last two starts and the Under is 13-1 in his last 14 games. The Dodgers are also 23-30 O/U at home this year.

Weather shouldn’t be a big factor in today’s total as the wind is slight (5 mph) and the temperature and humidity are neutral. Ball Park Pal has Dodger Stadium as a -0.58 XBH rate which is the lowest number out of any stadium on today’s slate.

We’re digging in and hitting the Under for the second day in a row. We’re getting on the 9 before it slips to 8.5 across the board.

PREDICTION: Under 9.0 (-115)

Mets vs Dodgers betting card

  • Los Angeles (-174)
  • Under 9 (-115)

Picks made on 8/22/2021 at 9:16 a.m. ET

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