Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 28, 2026 , 12:35 PM ET • 4 min read

Cease is rocking the highest strikeout percentage of his career (an astronomical 36.1%), and has dominated the Mariners throughout his career, rocking a .162 xBA while striking them out at a 30% clip across 82 at-bats.

mlb

Match starts: 1 hrs
Dylan Cease Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Dylan Cease (84) reacts during the sixth inning against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

Toronto needs a huge bounce-back game after a double-digit loss last night, so we're riding with Dylan Cease as part of my Mariners vs. Blue Jays prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays walk into this one as -155 betting favorites at BET99, and will need a vintage performance from their Cy Young candidate as they're 3.5 games back of a Wild Card spot.

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Friday, Aug. 28, and fatten that wallet before the weekend.

Mariners vs Blue Jays predictions

Mariners vs Blue Jays best bet: Dylan Cease Over 7.5 strikeouts (-135)

Not only has Dylan Cease gone over this number in four of his last six starts, but he's facing a Seattle Mariners team that has been punched out 1,159 times this season — good for eighth-most in baseball.

Cease is rocking the highest strikeout percentage of his career (an astronomical 36.1%) for the Toronto Blue Jays, and has dominated the Mariners throughout his career, rocking a .162 xBA while striking them out at a 30% clip across 82 at-bats — a sample size we can get behind. Look for him to continue his Cy Young campaign tonight.

If you're a Jays fan clinging to something to watch, Cease should be who you hold on to. I'd bet this up to -140.

Covers COVERS INTEL: It's a year of career highs for Cease, who's .184 xBA, .274 xSLG, .255 xwOBA, and 2.68 xERA are all the best marks of his career. He'll need a big night tonight in order to shrink the gap between him and Cam Schlittler.

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Mariners vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

The answer is simple here: if the Jays want the playoffs, they'll have to go on a run, and Ernie Clement, who's had some success against Emerson Hancock (3-for-8, .750 OPS), will be at the center of that tonight. Look for Cease to continue his dominance over the Mariners, and for Toronto to squeak out a low-scoring affair.

Mariners vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Dylan Cease Over 7.5 strikeouts
  • Toronto Blue Jays moneyline
  • Ernie Clement 2+ H/R/RBI

Covers Alberta: Sports betting is now live!

Regulated Alberta sports betting has officially launched, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

You can sign up and join BET99 — one of the best Alberta betting apps — now to get in on the Blue Jays action!

Mariners vs Blue Jays home run pick: George Springer (+475)

Can we squeeze the life force out of George Springer and get him to hit one more over the wall in back-to-back nights? He's 2-for-3 against Hancock with an extra-base hit, and coming off a "garbage time" homer just last night. He'll sit on the four-seamer that Hancock has given up nine homers on this season. His shoulder issue looks to be in the past; let's rock with the veteran down the stretch.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 6-9, -1.31 units 
  • SGPs: 2-13, -1.7 units

Mariners vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Seattle (+135) | Toronto (-155)
  • Run line: Seattle +1.5 (-155) | Toronto -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: Over 7 (-115) | Under 7 (-105)

Mariners vs Blue Jays trend

The Blue Jays are 8-0 in their last eight after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Mariners vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Date Friday, August 28, 2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV
Mariners starting pitcher Emerson Hancock
(7-7, 3.37 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Dylan Cease
(8-5, 2.37 ERA)

Mariners vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Mariners vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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