MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Sunday, September 14

Cal Raleigh paces the league in long balls, and he'll add another homer to his tally this afternoon.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Sep 14, 2025 • 08:56 ET • 4 min read
Cal Raleigh Seattle Mariners MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Cal Raleigh lines up at the plate.

There is a full 15-game MLB slate on Sunday, with plenty of MLB player props to choose from.

My three favorite home run picks for September include the league leader and a pair of Yankees bats.

Best MLB home run props today

  • TEAM Raleigh (+219)
  • TEAM Judge (+315)
  • TEAM Bellinger (+800)
  • 💲 +10427 parlay💲

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HR Prop #1: Cal Raleigh

+219 at DraftKings

The Seattle Mariners host the Los Angeles Angels to kick off the late window of Sunday’s MLB slate. Seattle’s Cal Raleigh looks to continue his home run dominance in 2025.

He leads the league with 53 home runs and is likely to keep it going against right-hander Kyle Hendricks. Through five plate appearances against Hendricks, Raleigh boasts a 1.000 slugging percentage (SLG) and 1.028 expected slugging (xSLG).

One of his two hits across that stretch was a home run.

HR Prop #2: Aaron Judge

+315 at DraftKings

Sunday’s final game features the Boston Red Sox hosting the New York Yankees. Left-hander Garrett Crochet takes the mound for Boston, and while he’s a true ace, he has struggled with the long ball.

Crochet has surrendered eight home runs over his past six starts, and if anyone on New York is likely to take advantage, it’s Aaron Judge. Right behind Raleigh in the AL home run race, Judge has homered 47 times this season.

He enters this game in particularly good form, having gone yard four times over his past five games.

HR Prop #3: Cody Bellinger

+800 at DraftKings

Another Yankees hitter to consider Sunday is Cody Bellinger. Through 11 plate appearances against Crochet, Bellinger boasts a .727 SLG and .528 xSLG.

One of his five hits over that stretch was a home run. Bellinger also enters this game in good form, posting a .565 SLG and .950 OPS over his past six games.

Today’s HR parlay

Cal Raleigh

Aaron Judge

Cody Bellinger

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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