MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Saturday, September 20

Ketel Marte continues to swing a hot stick, and the Diamondbacks IF will have a great matchup against Phillies RHP Aaron Nola, who has seemingly aged 10 years over the last 12 months.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Sep 20, 2025 • 10:31 ET • 4 min read
Ketel Marte Arizona Diamondbacks MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Diamondbacks IF Ketel Marte celebrates a hit.

With 16 games on the MLB schedule for Saturday, September 20, there is no shortage of options to pore over when deciding which power strokes to target.

My MLB player props analysis has narrowed it down to three: Aaron Judge, Ketel Marte, and Jorge Polanco.

Best MLB home run props today

  • Yankees Judge (+176)
  • Diamondbacks Marte (+403)
  • Mariners Polanco (+630)
  • 💲 +10034 parlay💲

Make your HR plays at DraftKings

Bet on your favorite home run props every day at DK, offering competitive odds and multi-HR props as well!

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

HR Prop #1: Aaron Judge

+176 at DraftKings

New York Yankees star Aaron Judge has raked against Baltimore Orioles SP Tomoyuki Sugano, going 4-for-5 with a home run. He’s also gone deep 48 times this season, and could reach 50 for the fourth time in his career sooner rather than later. 

He’s also having a great September, hitting .358 with five round-trippers and seven RBI. The slugger has cracked four long balls in his last nine contests, and he’s batting .444 this year against the Orioles, with three home runs in 27 at-bats. 

Judge has also had huge success against right-handed hurlers, taking them deep 34 times.

HR Prop #2: Ketel Marte

+403 at DraftKings

The Arizona Diamondbacks take on the Philadelphia Phillies this evening, and Ketel Marte, in particular, will be excited to face the struggling Aaron Nola

The veteran infielder is batting .279 with 26 home runs, and he’s 5-for-15 lifetime against Nola with a pair of long balls. Marte just went deep on Friday, and he’s clubbed three bombs so far in September. 

In 15 starts this year, Nola has allowed 17 home runs, and Marte does most of his damage against right-handed pitchers, smacking 18 round-trippers.

HR Prop #3: Jorge Polanco

+630 at DraftKings

Seattle Mariners infielder Jorge Polanco has been hot, and he’s swung it well against Houston Astros lefty Framber Valdez in the past, going 12-for-25 with a home run. 

Polanco has just two homers in September, but he is batting .339 for the month. Polanco has gone deep 11 times on the road, and Valdez has given up six of his homers at home. 

Today’s HR parlay

Aaron Judge

Ketel Marte

Jorge Polanco

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Aaron Judge, Yankees
  2. Cal Raleigh, Mariners
  3. Juan Soto, Mets

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo