A brand new week is here! Let's kick it off with three of my favorite home run props and predictions for tonight's MLB slate, highlighted by Munetaka Murakami and Kyle Schwarber
Here are my favorite MLB picks for Monday, Aug. 24.
Best MLB home run props today
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Munetaka Murakami
Kyle Schwarber
Home run pick: Munetaka Murakami (+325)
"This guy writes up Munetaka Murakami every single day!"
Correct.
The No. 1 hitter on Batters-Box today is the South Side slugger, and he draws a heavy fly-ball pitcher in Texas Rangers right-hander Kumar Rocker, who has struggled against left-handed hitters all season long.
The last 60 left-handed hitters Rocker has faced have generated a 71.1% elevation rate, while owning a .367 xBA, .625 xSLG, and .383 xwOBA against him.
The Chicago White Sox rookie has the team's highest barrel rate over the last 10 games, while posting a .263 ISO and .457 xSLG.
Through 56 elite ratings this season, he has left the yard nearly 34% of the time. He also covers almost 80% of Rocker’s pitch mix.
Take this down to +300.
- Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CHSN, RSN
Home run pick: Kyle Schwarber (+307)
Philadelphia Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber is coming off a monster weekend at the dish, looking to keep that momentum rolling into the new week.
Schwarber draws Seattle Mariners right-hander Logan Gilbert, who has allowed the last 30 left-handed hitters he has faced to produce a 43% line-drive rate, while owning a .331 xBA and .476 xSLG.
Schwarber owns a .549 xSLG, .302 ISO, 45.5% hard-hit rate, and 18.2% barrel rate over his last 10 games. Across his last 30 at-bats against right-handed pitching, the big fella is generating a 52.4% hard-hit rate and 28.6% barrel rate.
Hard to pass up this price for KYLE SCHWARBER to go yard while he is on this type of heater.
Play to +275.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SEAM, NBCSP
- HR picks: 108-378, +16.5 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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