Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Tuesday, September 16

Our Guardians vs. Tigers predictions expect the pitchers to be at their best and runs to be few and far between.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Sep 16, 2025 • 12:54 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Casey Mize Detroit Tigers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Casey Mize during a recent start against the Royals.

The Cleveland Guardians have won nine of their last 10 games as they attempt to chase down the Detroit Tigers in the AL Central.

My Guardians vs. Tigers predictions expect a low-scoring affair to open up the three-game set. Read on for my MLB picks on Tuesday, September 16.

Guardians vs Tigers prediction

Guardians vs Tigers best bet: Under 8 (-105)

We have a pitchers’ duel on tap tonight, with Casey Mize (14-5, 3.83 ERA) set to face off against Joey Cantillo (5-3, 3.36 ERA). 

Mize has been especially strong at home this season, allowing 24 ER in 62 1/3 IP (3.47 ERA) as opposed to 32 ER  in 69 1/3 IP (4.15 ERA) on the road. 

For Cantillo, it hasn’t really mattered where he’s pitched, with a 3.72 ERA at home and 3.02 ERA on the road. The southpaw has been great recently, allowing a total of three earned runs in his last four starts.

The Cleveland Guardians have also been playing several low-scoring games in September. They’ve scored more than four runs in just one of their last nine games, and allowed more than two runs in just one of those nine as well. 

The Detroit Tigers' bats have gone cold, too, with four runs or fewer in four straight games after two blowout wins at Yankee Stadium.

Finally, the Guardians have the fourth-best bullpen ERA (3.53) in the league, with the Tigers not too far behind at 4.04.

Guardians vs Tigers same-game parlay (SGP)

The Tigers are an impressive 46-29 at home this season, while the Guardians are 37-37 on the road. Furthermore, Detroit has won 10 of Mize’s 12 starts at home, including five straight.

Mize has 5+ strikeouts in 12 of 25 starts this season, including a six-strikeout game against the Guardians back in May.

Guardians vs Tigers SGP

  • Under 8
  • Tigers moneyline
  • Casey Mize Over 4.5 strikeouts

Guardians vs Tigers odds

  • Moneyline: Cleveland +120 | Detroit -140
  • Run line: Cleveland +1.5 (-170) | Detroit -1.5 (+153)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Guardians vs Tigers trend

The Guardians have cashed the Under in 34 of their last 53 road games for +14.4 units and a 25% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Tigers.

How to watch Guardians vs Tigers and game info

Location Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Date Tuesday, September 16, 2025
First pitch 6:40 p.m. ET
TV CLEG, FDSN-Detroit
Guardians starting pitcher Joey Cantillo
(5-3, 3.36 ERA)
Tigers starting pitcher Casey Mize
(14-5, 3.83 ERA)

Guardians vs Tigers latest injuries

Guardians vs Tigers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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