MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions August 26

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 26, 2026 , 09:31 AM ET • 4 min read

Our experts present their top MLB picks and plays for today's action. See why it will be a good day to be an L.A. baseball fan.

Los Angeles Angels MLB Vaughn Grissom
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Angels third baseman Vaughn Grissom (5) celebrates with teammates.

We've got all 30 MLB teams in action today, spanning the entire afternoon and evening!

See why our MLB expert picks for Wednesday, Aug. 26 are calling for both Los Angeles-based teams to triumph.

MLB expert picks for today

Pick Odds
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis: LAA ML +127
Jon Metler Jon Metler: LAD ML -127
Dustin Saracini Dustin Saracini: CHC ML -104

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Angels moneyline

Price: 44¢ (+127) at Polymarket

Cleveland is riding a six-game winning streak, but this afternoon sets up as a great spot to fade the Guardians.

Cleveland has the starting-pitcher edge with Joey Cantillo, but that’s already priced into the market. Grayson Rodriguez has been good-to-great over his last five starts, and his underlying metrics suggest the results are legitimate.  

The bigger concern for Cleveland is the bullpen. The Guardians have heavily taxed their relief corps over the first two games of this series, and after Cade Smith and several other arms were used Tuesday, their late-inning options are limited. Smith actually recorded the save in Tuesday’s 8-6 extra-inning win, so his availability Wednesday is a key factor.

There’s also a major schedule spot working against Cleveland. They’re wrapping up a long COL/LAA road trip before heading home to open a massive series against Kansas City on Friday. With the Guardians sitting in the AL playoff picture, this is a natural letdown spot after winning six straight.

The Angels are trading around 44 cents, and while they’re still the underdog, I make the fair price closer to 48-49 cents.

  • Time: 4:07 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: CleGuardians.TV, ABTV

Jon Metler's expert pick: Dodgers moneyline

Price: 56¢ (-127) at Polymarket

AJ Smith-Shawver gets the start for Atlanta, and there are plenty of red flags in this matchup against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles is expected to stack seven left-handed bats, including some of the most feared hitters in baseball. One of Smith-Shawver's best off-speed pitches is his curveball, which breaks into the barrels of the Dodgers' left-handed hitters. He also doesn't have a changeup in his arsenal to give those hitters a pitch that moves away from them.

On top of that, Smith-Shawver hasn't shown the ability to work deep into games, topping out around 75 pitches in his first two starts. If he starts nibbling against a patient Dodgers lineup, he could exit early and force Atlanta's middle relief to cover a significant number of outs.

The Dodgers are trading at 56 cents, but I make them closer to a 60-cent favorite, giving us a meaningful edge at the current price.

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: SNLA, BravesVision

Dustin Saracini's expert pick: Cubs moneyline

Price: 51¢ (-104) at Polymarket

Matthew Boyd goes for the Cubbies today, and after Chicago got walked off in the bottom of the ninth on Tuesday, he'll put them in a great spot to bounce back.

The lefty has limited the D-backs to a .209 xBA, .314 xSLG, and .256 xwOBA across 68 at-bats, which is a sample size we can get behind.

Chicago's splits look good against Eduardo Rodriguez, too, owning an .809 OPS against lefties this season. The power surge in August has been palpable, hitting more homers in August (43) than any other month of the season by nearly 10. 

Let's see the best offense in baseball get the job done. I'd play this up to 55 cents at Polymarket

  • Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: MARQ, DBacks.TV

More MLB best bets for today

Pick Odds
TB ML +105
Read analysis in our Rays vs. Tigers predictions
SEA ML +114
Read analysis in our Phillies vs. Mariners predictions
TEX ML +114
Read analysis in our Rangers vs. White Sox predictions

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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