We kick off the first full week of MLB action with all 30 teams in action today, and prediction markets like Kalshi allow baseball bettors in every state (excluding Nevada) a chance to lock in their favorite MLB best bets.
To help you find some winners among today's late, we've asked our baseball experts for their favorite MLB picks today — as well as offering extra MLB expert picks from the rest of the Covers staff for Monday, March 30.
- UPDATE: Added five more best bets
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: Yankees ML |
-104 |
 Jon Metler: Red Sox ML |
-113 |
 Joe Osborne: TB/MIL o7.5 |
-117 |
Prices courtesy of Kalshi.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS' and get a $10 trading bonus after you trade $10 on any other event contracts — including MLB expert picks!
*Eligible to ALL states + DC, (excluding Nevada)
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Yankees moneyline
Price: 51¢ (-104) at Kalshi
The New York Yankees come in well-rested after a sweep of the Giants, allowing just one total run in that series. They stay on the West Coast to face the Seattle Mariners, and there won’t be many spots this season where they’re priced this cheaply. THE BAT projects a fair price closer to -120, creating value at the current number. New York also holds edges offensively and in the later innings, with a bullpen that has thrown 11 scoreless innings and enters fully rested.
Jon Metler's expert pick: Red Sox moneyline
Price: 53¢ (-113) at Kalshi
Kalshi has the Red Sox priced at 53%, but I make them closer to a 56% favorite, so there’s value on this number. The matchup sets up well for Boston: Lance McCullers Jr. is on the mound for the Astros, and command has always been an issue for him. Against a lineup with Roman Anthony and Jarren Duran at the top — both capable of working deep counts and drawing walks — that lack of control could quickly turn into traffic on the bases. There’s some natural concern with Daikin Park’s short porch in left field, especially with a left-handed pitcher facing a righty-heavy Astros lineup, but Ranger Suárez profiles well here as a ground-ball pitcher, which helps neutralize that ballpark factor and limit the damage.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Rays/Brewers Over 7.5
Price: 54¢ (-117) at Kalshi
Both offenses have come out flying to start the season, combining to score 52 runs while ranking first and fourth in wRC+. That has resulted in a combined 5-1 record to the Over, and I like the high-scoring pattern to continue with an unimpressive starting pitching matchup highlighted by Nick Martinez, who got destroyed in three appearances vs. the Brewers last season. Throw in a Rays bullpen that's been obliterated so far, and we've got a great recipe for a high-scoring game.
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| NYY/SEA u7.5 | -110 |
| Read analysis in our Yankees vs. Mariners predictions | |
| Mets -1.5 | +114 |
| Read analysis in our Mets vs. Cardinals predictions | |
| Guerrero Jr. 2+ TB | -105 |
| Read analysis in our Rockies vs. Blue Jays predictions | |
| Cubs -1.5 | +104 |
| Read analysis in our Angels vs. Cubs predictions | |
| McCullers 5+ strikeouts | -130 |
| Read analysis in our Red Sox vs. Astros predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
