Dodgers vs Nationals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 3, 2026 , 10:38 AM ET • 4 min read

Scimia's prediction: The Dodgers haven't looked quite as dangerous to kick off the season in terms of running up scores. They should win, but they won't score enough to cover the run line or the Over.

MLB

Apr 03 • 1:05 PM ET
LAD
59 %
WAS
41 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
Washington +1.5 (+143) Washington +1.5 (+143)
See Today's Picks
Miles Mikolas Washington Nationals MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Washington Nationals pitcher Miles Mikolas (36) pitches against the Chicago Cubs.

The Washington Nationals will celebrate their home opener as they host the Los Angeles Dodgers for the start of a weekend series this afternoon.

Los Angeles hasn’t gotten off to a quick start offensively, and that has me targeting the Under in my Dodgers vs. Nationals predictions below.

Read on to see my full analysis and free MLB picks for Friday, April 3.

Who will win Dodgers vs Nationals today: Nationals +1.5 (+150)

The Los Angeles Dodgers offense is off to a surprisingly slow start this year. After an eight-run outburst in its opener against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles has seen its production slow down, averaging 3.83 runs over its ensuing five games

While the Washington Nationals lost two of three in Philadelphia this week, both were by just one run apiece.

Washington’s offense is averaging 6.33 runs per game on a .773 OPS so far this season, and should get to Emmet Sheehan, who was shaky in his first start, allowing four runs on five hits and two walks in just 3 1/3 innings.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Dodgers played to totals of nine runs or less in each of Sheehan’s last five starts in 2025, as well as in his first start this season.

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Dodgers vs Nationals Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (+100)

Coinciding with their offensive struggles, the Dodgers have hit the Under in four straight and have only gone Over 9.5 runs once this season. In fact, each of their last four games has finished with six runs or fewer.

Veteran Miles Mikolas has now allowed four earned runs or less in each of his last 10 starts dating back to last season, so while he may seem like a shaky option, he rarely gets hit hard enough to justify a big total. With the total this high, I’m playing the Under.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-1, +1.97 units
  • Over/Under bets: 0-2, -2 units

Dodgers vs Nationals odds

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles -290 | Washington +235
  • Run line: Los Angeles -1.5 (-166) | Washington +1.5 (+138)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-112) | Under 9.5 (-108)

Dodgers vs Nationals trend

The Under is 4-0 in Los Angeles’ last four games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Nationals.

How to watch Dodgers vs Nationals and game info

Location Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Date Friday, April 3, 2026
First pitch 1:05 p.m. ET
TV SportsNet LA, Nationals TV
Dodgers starting pitcher Emmet Sheehan
(0-0, 10.80 ERA)
Nationals starting pitcher Miles Mikolas
(0-1, 7.20 ERA)

Dodgers vs Nationals latest injuries

Dodgers vs Nationals weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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