Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 3, 2025 , 09:52 AM ET • 4 min read

Even if he hasn't been at his best this season, Aaron Nola's strikeout numbers haven't wavered. Our Diamondbacks vs. Phillies predictions expect both trends to continue tonight.

mlb

May 03 • 3:05 PM ET
Aaron Nola Philadelphia Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to win their third straight series after taking the opener against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday night.

It’ll be Aaron Nola on the mound in Philadelphia on Saturday evening, and I’m looking at his strikeout prop in the best MLB picks on Saturday, May 3.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies prediction

My Diamondbacks vs Phillies best bet: Aaron Nola Over 5.5 strikeouts (-105 at DraftKings)

Aaron Nola has had a rough start to the season. The Philadelphia Phillies righthander started 0-5 in his first five starts before helping his team to a win last time out. He didn't get the win, but his seven innings of one-run ball against the Cubs allowed the Phillies to get the 3-1 win in extras.

Nola is still 0-5 on the season with an unsightly 5.40 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through 35 innings in six starts. However, he hasn't had any trouble missing bats, logging 37 strikeouts in those 35 innings.

The righty has had at least six strikeouts in five of his six starts this season. The only outlier came against a tough Dodgers lineup in his second start of the season. Outside of that, though, Nola had six strikeouts in two games, seven in one, and eight in his other two starts.

We’re getting Nola Over 5.5 strikeouts at essentially a pick'em. He’s hit that in five of six starts this season and finished last season with at least seven strikeouts in his final four outings.

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Diamondbacks vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)

Aaron Nola 6+ strikeouts

Aaron Nola 5+ hits allowed

Phillies moneyline

As mentioned above, Nola has been shaky this season. He has as many hits allowed as strikeouts this season. He allowed at least five hits in his first five starts before limiting the Cubs to three last time out. 

The weather is heating up in Philadelphia, and so are the Phillies. They've won five of their last six games and are now 12-5 at home this season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies odds

Diamondbacks vs Phillies live odds

Diamondbacks vs Phillies opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arizona +105 | Philadelphia -125
  • Run line: Arizona +1.5 (-185) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9

Diamondbacks vs Phillies trend

The Phillies have won 12 of their 17 home games this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies.

How to watch Diamondbacks vs Phillies and game info

Location Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Date Saturday, 5-3-2025
First pitch 6:05 p.m. ET
TV Dbacks.TV, NBCS-Philadelphia
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Brandon Pfaadt
(5-1, 2.78 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola
(0-5, 5.40 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs Phillies latest injuries

Diamondbacks vs Phillies weather

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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