Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Even if he hasn't been at his best this season, Aaron Nola's strikeout numbers haven't wavered. Our Diamondbacks vs. Phillies predictions expect both trends to continue tonight.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
May 3, 2025 • 09:52 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Aaron Nola Philadelphia Phillies MLB
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The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to win their third straight series after taking the opener against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday night.

It’ll be Aaron Nola on the mound in Philadelphia on Saturday evening, and I’m looking at his strikeout prop in the best MLB picks on Saturday, May 3.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies prediction

My Diamondbacks vs Phillies best bet: Aaron Nola Over 5.5 strikeouts (-105 at DraftKings)

Aaron Nola has had a rough start to the season. The Philadelphia Phillies righthander started 0-5 in his first five starts before helping his team to a win last time out. He didn't get the win, but his seven innings of one-run ball against the Cubs allowed the Phillies to get the 3-1 win in extras.

Nola is still 0-5 on the season with an unsightly 5.40 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through 35 innings in six starts. However, he hasn't had any trouble missing bats, logging 37 strikeouts in those 35 innings.

The righty has had at least six strikeouts in five of his six starts this season. The only outlier came against a tough Dodgers lineup in his second start of the season. Outside of that, though, Nola had six strikeouts in two games, seven in one, and eight in his other two starts.

We’re getting Nola Over 5.5 strikeouts at essentially a pick'em. He’s hit that in five of six starts this season and finished last season with at least seven strikeouts in his final four outings.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)

Aaron Nola 6+ strikeouts

Aaron Nola 5+ hits allowed

Phillies moneyline

As mentioned above, Nola has been shaky this season. He has as many hits allowed as strikeouts this season. He allowed at least five hits in his first five starts before limiting the Cubs to three last time out. 

The weather is heating up in Philadelphia, and so are the Phillies. They've won five of their last six games and are now 12-5 at home this season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies odds

Diamondbacks vs Phillies live odds

Diamondbacks vs Phillies opening odds

  • Moneyline: Arizona +105 | Philadelphia -125
  • Run line: Arizona +1.5 (-185) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9

Diamondbacks vs Phillies trend

The Phillies have won 12 of their 17 home games this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies.

How to watch Diamondbacks vs Phillies and game info

Location Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Date Saturday, 5-3-2025
First pitch 6:05 p.m. ET
TV Dbacks.TV, NBCS-Philadelphia
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Brandon Pfaadt
(5-1, 2.78 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola
(0-5, 5.40 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs Phillies latest injuries

Diamondbacks vs Phillies weather

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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