Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 10, 2026 , 11:48 AM ET • 4 min read

Two NL All-Stars take the mound, but Shohei Ohtani inspires more belief than Eduardo Rodriguez for our MLB expert.

MLB

Jul 10 • 10:10 PM ET
AZ
43 %
LAD
57 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-112) LA Dodgers -1.5 (-112)
More Picks
Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Shohei Ohtani on the mound.

The Los Angeles Dodgers welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks for a three-game weekend series in Chavez Ravine. 

L.A. has opened up a 14.5-game lead in the NL West and is rightfully a sizable favorite (-233) with Shohei Ohtani starting the opener, while the total is set at 8.5.

See my plays for the side and total with my Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks for Friday, July 10.

Who will win Diamondbacks vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (-112)

Eduardo Rodriguez's 2.25 ERA is a product of smoke and mirrors. His 5.00 xERA indicates immediate regression against a potent Los Angeles Dodgers lineup (128 wRC+ against southpaws over the last 20 days) in hitter-friendly weather. 

Shohei Ohtani's 1.79 ERA, on the other hand, is a product of an elite 114 Stuff+. He should mow down an Arizona Diamondbacks lineup that has been utterly helpless against right-handed pitching (67 wRC+ over the last 14 days).

One of these NL All-Stars is overvalued, while the other is so dominant it's difficult to accurately price. Play L.A. -1.5 up to -120.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Rodriguez rarely makes batters miss (10th percentile whiff rate, 13th percentile K-rate) and won't now against a Dodgers lineup with the second-lowest Swing% (29.5%).

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Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-112)

Ohtani has dominated Arizona's lineup in the past (.170 AVG and .484 OPS across 47 at-bats), and there's no reason to expect any difference on Friday.

He suppresses loud contact (92nd percentile barrel rate, 89th percentile xBA), and Arizona doesn't hit for much power, holding the second-lowest ISO (.137) against RHP. 

L.A. has routinely played in low-scoring games with Ohtani on the bump (3-11 O/U). The bullpen behind him is well-rested after Thursday's day off, and Arizona's pen has a Top-5 FIP (3.35) and SIERA (3.28) in the last 14 days.

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 26-27, -4.93 units
  • Over/Under bets: 35-19, +14.9 units

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers weather

Wind blowing out to center at 8 mph will give the offenses a slight bump on an 81F day in Los Angeles.

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +223 | Dodgers -233
  • Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+104) | Dodgers -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+100) | Under 8.5 (-104)

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers trend

The Diamondbacks have played to the Over just once in Eduardo Rodriguez's last 12 starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Diamondbacks vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Friday, July 10, 2026
First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET
TV Dbacks.TV, SportsNet LA
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez
(7-3, 2.25 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Shohei Ohtani
(8-2, 1.79 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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