The Chicago Cubs are the hottest team in baseball, having won 10 consecutive games.
They are favored to extend their winning streak in Texas, but my Cubs vs. Rangers predictions see the home team keeping it close.
Let's dive deeper into my MLB picks for Saturday, May 9.
Who will win Cubs vs Rangers today: Rangers +1.5 (-135)
Jack Leiter has posted an xFIP of 3.44 and SIERA of 3.52, putting him in company with Joe Ryan, Landon Roupp, and Braxton Ashcraft among today's starters. Those arms have ERAs comfortably in the threes, yet Leiter sits at 5.44.
It's almost the opposite story for Chicago Cubs pitcher Edward Cabrera. His ERA sits at 3.27 despite a 4.21 xERA. He has allowed plenty of hard contact and ranks in the 11th percentile in barrel rate.
With both starters showing misleading surface stats — and the Cubs riding a 10-game winning streak — there is value in backing the Texas Rangers to keep it close.
COVERS INTEL: Cabrera ranks in the 37th percentile in expected batting average allowed.
Cubs vs Rangers Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-105)
Leiter has allowed 20 runs over his last five starts. While I expect him to earn better results moving forward than he has thus far, it's a stretch to suggest he'll completely slow a Cubs offense that leads the league in runs per game and on base percentage.
The Rangers are also a threat to score several runs in this game. Their offense has posted some respectable numbers beneath the surface, ranking seventh in hard hit rate, 10th in fly ball rate, and 13th in wOBA against right-handed pitching over the last month.
They should cause problems for Cabrera.
- ML/RL bets: 15-6, +6.53 units
- Over/Under bets: 9-11-1, -3.06 units
Cubs vs Rangers odds
- Moneyline: Cubs -140 | Rangers +120
- Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+115) | Rangers +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)
Cubs vs Rangers trend
The Cubs have hit the game total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.05 units, 30% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Rangers.
How to watch Cubs vs Rangers and game info
| Location | Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX |
| Date | Saturday, May 9, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Edward Cabrera (3-0, 3.27 ERA) |
| Rangers starting pitcher | Jack Leiter (1-3, 5.45 ERA) |
Cubs vs Rangers latest injuries
Cubs vs Rangers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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