The Baltimore Orioles are -125 favorites at home against the Chicago Cubs tonight.
Taking on a struggling Colin Rea, my Cubs vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks see value in backing the Baltimore offense to lead the charge in a high-scoring win.
Who will win Cubs vs Orioles today: Orioles moneyline (-125)
Colin Rea owns a poor 4.74 ERA and looks even worse by xERA, coming in at 5.50.
He has not had a good season, and it’s likely going to get worse against the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles hit righties well, especially at home. They rank sixth in OPS, fifth in wOBA, and second in hard-hit rate in Baltimore.
Isolating 10 matchups against Top-15 offenses in OPS vs. righties, Rea’s ERA has soared to 6.39.
The Orioles should score in bulk, propping up Dean Kremer as he works his way back into the rotation. Bet this to -135.
COVERS INTEL: Colin Rea ranks in the 12th percentile in barrel rate, making him highly vulnerable against Baltimore's power.
Cubs vs Orioles Over/Under pick: Over 10 (-110)
Rea limited homers effectively over his first handful of starts, but that ability has slipped over the last couple of months.
He's allowed 1.60 homers per nine innings over the last two months — hardly ideal when walking batters at a high clip and going up against a powerful Orioles lineup on a warm day.
Kremer has struggled with the long ball as well, allowing five homers over just 17 innings of work.
We’re likely to see a power surge from the Chicago Cubs, setting up for a high-scoring affair. Bet the Over to -115.
- ML/RL bets: 53-41, +1.85 units
- Over/Under bets: 51-40-4, +6.19 units
Cubs vs Orioles weather
Temperatures in the mid-80s are expected with slight winds blowing out. Boost to the bats.
Cubs vs Orioles odds
- Moneyline: Cubs +105 | Orioles -125
- Run line: Cubs +1.5 (-175) | Orioles -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: Over 10 (-110) | Under 10 (-110)
Cubs vs Orioles trend
The Orioles have cashed the Over in 10 of the last 17 home games for +3.60 units and a 20% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Orioles.
How to watch Cubs vs Orioles and game info
| Location | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD |
| Date | Wednesday, July 8, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | Marquee, MASN |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Colin Rea (6-5, 4.74 ERA) |
| Orioles starting pitcher | Dean Kremer (1-1, 3.18 ERA) |
Cubs vs Orioles latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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