The New York Mets aim to lock up a rare series win as they host the Milwaukee Brewers tonight at Citi Field.
Both starting pitchers opened the season strong but have struggled in recent outings, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair. In our Brewers vs. Mets betting predictions, we're backing the Over as the top value play for tonight’s matchup.
Let’s take a closer look at my best bet and other predictions in my free MLB picks for Thursday, July 3.
Brewers vs Mets prediction
My Brewers vs Mets best bet: Over 8.5 (-102 at FanDuel)
Both New York Mets starter David Peterson and Milwaukee Brewers counterpart Jose Quintana enjoyed fast starts to the season before seeing their performances fall off in recent weeks.
For Peterson, his early-season success culminated in a six-hit shutout of the Washington Nationals on June 11, but in three starts since then, the otherwise dependable lefty has thrown to a 7.47 ERA over 15.2 innings of work, allowing five runs in each of his last two appearances.
Meanwhile, Quintana won his first four starts for Milwaukee this year, but he has struggled since then, missing time due to left shoulder impingement. Since his return from injury, Quintana is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA over five starts and has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last three outings.
Both lineups showed in one half of yesterday’s doubleheader that they’re capable of producing big innings, and tonight’s matchup features the shakiest pitching duel of the series.
I expect both offenses to have their moments in this one, which is why I’m taking the Over.
Brewers vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 8.5
Mets moneyline
Francisco Lindor 1+ RBI
The Mets' offense finally showed signs of life on Wednesday, and New York looks to have a solid matchup against Quintana. That has me taking the home team to win outright.
I’m also throwing in a bet on Francisco Lindor to pick up at least one RBI as a follow-up to his excellent showing last night.
Brewers vs Mets odds
Brewers vs Mets live odds
Brewers vs Mets opening odds
- Moneyline: Milwaukee +130 | New York -155
- Run line: Milwaukee +1.5 (-150) | New York -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-120) | Under 8 (+100)
Brewers vs Mets trend
New York has hit the moneyline in 30 of its last 43 games at home (+9.70 Units / 13% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Mets.
How to watch Brewers vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Flushing, NY |
| Date | Thursday, 7-3-2025 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | FanDuel Sports Network-Wisconsin, SNY |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Jose Quintana (6-2, 3.30 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | David Peterson (5-4, 3.30 ERA) |
Brewers vs Mets latest injuries
Brewers vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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