Brewers vs Mariners Prediction, Picks & Odds — Wednesday, July 23

Yonke's prediction: With Quinn Priester finding his groove, expect him to present frustrations to the Mariners offense.

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst
Jul 23, 2025 • 11:35 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 33 mins
SEA
43 %
MIL
57 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Quinn Priester o4.5  Total Strikeouts (-125) Quinn Priester o4.5 Total Strikeouts (-125)
Read Analysis
Quinn Priester Milwaukee Brewers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Quinn Priester (46) pitches.

The Milwaukee Brewers (60-41) and Seattle Mariners (54-47) conclude a three-game series on Wednesday after splitting Games 1 and 2.

It’s expected to be a pitchers’ duel with two effective starters, Quinn Priester and Luis Castillo, taking the mound.

See why I’m bullish on Priester’s strikeout prop with my Brewers vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, July 23.

Brewers vs Mariners prediction

My Brewers vs Mariners best betQuinn Priester Over 4.5 strikeouts (-106 at FanDuel)

Quinn Priester has been a revelation for the Milwaukee Brewers this year, spinning a 3.33 ERA across 94 ⅔ IP for a team tied for the most wins in the National League.

I’ve had my doubts at points given the lack of a proven track record at the Big League level, but he’s had two undeniable breakout performances over the last month that indicate he’s truly found a groove.

First came a seven-inning, shutout gem against the Rockies on June 28 in which he notched 11 strikeouts while allowing a single hit.

Impressive — but it’s just lowly Colorado, right?

Not so fast. In his last outing against the Dodgers, Priester hurled another gem: six scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts and three hits allowed.

The Seattle Mariners will be a tough test, especially on the road, but there’s been a lot of swing and miss in this lineup lately. They have the second-highest K rate (25.5%) against right-handed pitching since the start of July.

The 24-year-old isn’t known for his punchout prowess, but he’s changed that narrative lately and has found a groove by averaging 7.5 strikeouts in his last four starts.

Brewers vs Mariners same-game parlay (SGP)

Quinn Priester Over 4.5 strikeouts

Luis Castillo Over 5.5 strikeouts

Under 7.5

Wednesday’s series finale is strength-on-strength as Seattle is 5-0 in Luis Castillo’s last five starts while Milwaukee is 9-0 in Priester’s previous nine starts. With two strong bullpens behind them, the Under is in play.

Castillo has been tremendously effective in the comforts of T-Mobile Park (2.06 ERA and 23.6% K rate) and tends to play his best ball in July (career 2.61 ERA, nearly half a run lower than any other month).

Brewers vs Mariners odds

Brewers vs Mariners live odds

Brewers vs Mariners opening odds

  • Moneyline: Milwaukee +114 | Seattle -134
  • Run line: Milwaukee +1.5 (-196) | Seattle -1.5 (+162)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-106) | Under 7.5 (-114)

Brewers vs Mariners trend

The Mariners are 1-4-1 O/U in Luis Castillo’s last six home starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs Mariners.

How to watch Brewers vs Mariners and game info

Location T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Date Wednesday, 7-23-2025
First pitch 3:40 p.m. ET
TV FDSNWI, RSNW
Brewers starting pitcher Quinn Priester
(8-2, 3.33 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcher Luis Castillo
(7-5, 3.21 ERA)

Brewers vs Mariners latest injuries

Brewers vs Mariners weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo