Braves vs Phillies Prediction, Picks & Odds — Friday, August 29

Cordell's prediction: Turner sets the tone in tonight's NL East showdown.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Aug 29, 2025 • 11:28 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
PHI
76 %
ATL
24 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Trea Turner o1.5  Total Bases (-110) Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
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Trea Turner Philadelphia Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Trea Turner (7) reacts after hitting a triple.

Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies steamrolled the Atlanta Braves in their series opener, plating 19 runs in a blowout victory.

My Braves vs. Phillies predictions expect Philadelphia’s leadoff hitter to enjoy plenty more success in Game 2.

Let’s take a closer look at my MLB picks for Friday, August 29.

Braves vs Phillies prediction

Braves vs Phillies best bet: Trea Turner Over 1.5 total bases (-110)

Trea Turner piled up three bases in the Philadelphia Phillies series-opening win, and he’s in a great spot to do it again Friday against Bryce Elder.

The Atlanta Braves right-hander is in the midst of another miserable season, with his ERA sitting well above 6.00 for the second year in a row.

Elder throws a boatload of sinkers and sliders, utilizing one of the two pitches more than 90% of the time when facing right-handed batters like Turner.

That plays right into the hands of Turner. He owns a sparkling .337 average against the sinker, while hitting .288 — with an ISO near .300, I might add — against sliders from right-handed pitchers.

Unsurprisingly, Turner has a strong track record against Elder. He has hit safely in three of seven at-bats, picking up a double and a homer along the way.

Turner has averaged 2.2 bases per game in wins this season, and with a massive pitching advantage, the Phillies are approaching -200 favorites in this spot.

Look for Turner’s bat to do plenty of damage once again.

Braves vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)

J.T. Realmuto is a singles machine. He has recorded at least one in 57% of his games this season and 61% when facing off against a right-handed starter. 

Win or lose, I like Ronald Acuna Jr.’s chances of making noise for the Braves. He’s hitting .281 against left-handed pitching this season and has excelled against sinkers thrown by lefties, which is Ranger Suarez’s most-used pitch.

Braves vs Phillies odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +150 | Philadelphia -190
  • Run line: Atlanta +1.5 (-135) | Philadelphia -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-120)

Braves vs Phillies trend

Trea Turner has averaged 2.5 total bases over his last 20 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Phillies.

How to watch Braves vs Phillies and game info

Location Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Date Friday, August 29, 2025
First pitch 6:45 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV+
Braves starting pitcher Bryce Elder
(5-9, 6.12 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcher Ranger Suarez
(10-6, 3.07 ERA)

Braves vs Phillies latest injuries

Braves vs Phillies weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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