Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: May 6, 2026 , 11:51 AM ET • 4 min read

Kazuma Okamoto will stay hot at the dish vs. the Rays today, as our MLB betting picks explain.

MLB

May 06 • 1:10 PM ET
TOR
35 %
TB
65 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5  Total Bases (+140) Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
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Toronto Blue Jays Kazuma Okamoto MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Kazuma Okamoto (7) hits a solo home run.

Kazuma Okamoto is red-hot at the plate, and with another fastball pitcher on the mound, I expect him to continue that trend at the Trop today. 

Read on to see why with my Blue Jays vs. Rays predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, May 6. 

Blue Jays vs Rays predictions

Blue Jays vs Rays best bet: Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 total bases (+140)

Kazuma Okamoto has been the hottest hitter in the Toronto Blue Jays lineup. 

He’s recorded a hit in five straight games, going Over his posted base total four times. Over this stretch, he’s posted a 1.554 OPS, averaging 2.8 bases per game. 

It’s a good matchup for Okamoto, too, with Shane McClanahan on the hill. 

McClanahan has been solid this season, but his bread-and-butter pitch is his fastball, which Okamoto has been pounding this year. 

The Jays slugger owns a .327 batting average and .654 SLG against the pitch

Covers COVERS INTEL: Okamoto owns a 53% hard-hit rate this season.

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Blue Jays vs Rays same-game parlay (SGP)

Myles Straw has been very consistent this year, hitting .291 on the season, grabbing hits in each of his last three starts. He’s also 2-for-5 with a pair of RBI against McClanahan in his career. 
 
For the final leg of the SGP, I’ll take George Springer to record a hit. He’s gone Over this number in three of his last four starts and owns a .278 average against McClanahan with three homers throughout his career.

Blue Jays vs Rays SGP

  • Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 total bases
  • George Springer Over 0.5 hits
  • Myles Straw Over 0.5 hits
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Blue Jays vs Rays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+450)

I’m only betting a half unit on this one, as McClanahan has only given up one home run this season. 

However, Okamoto can’t stop hitting dingers, and I can’t stop backing him. 

He has homered in four of his last five games with five total long balls in that stretch. 

Okamoto has six home runs against the fastball, which is McClanahan's most utilized pitch. 

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 14-21, -3.50 units
  • SGPs: 7-28, -0.20 units
  • HR picks: 8-27, +10.15 units

Blue Jays vs Rays odds

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays +118 | Rays -138 
  • Run line: Blue Jays +1.5 | Rays -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Blue Jays vs Rays trend

The Blue Jays have hit the F5 team total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Rays.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Rays and game info

Location Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Date Wednesday, May 6, 2026
First pitch 1:10 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet, Rays.TV
Blue Jays starting pitcher Patrick Corbin
(1-0, 3.65 ERA)
Rays starting pitcher Shane McClanahan
(3-2, 3.10 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Rays latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Rays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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