Blue Jays Picks, Predictions & Best Bets vs the A's for July 11

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 11, 2025 , 03:51 PM ET • 4 min read

Knapp's prediction: Vladdy set to tee off against Severino in late-night showdown.

MLB

Jul 11 • 10:05 PM ET
TOR
71 %
ATH
29 %
See Today's Picks
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27) reacts after hitting a double.

The Toronto Blue Jays' 11-game winning streak may have come to an end on Wednesday, but Canada’s team has a great chance to start a new one as they begin a series with the Athletics in Sacramento tonight.

My Blue Jays predictions expect Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to lead the charge in a hitter-friendly environment.

Read more in my free MLB picks for Friday, July 11. 

Blue Jays predictions for July 11

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Today’s Blue Jays best bet: Plakata Party!

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 total bases (+165 at BetVictor)

At first glance, backing Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at this moment in time may seem questionable.

The $500-million man’s OPS+ of 127 is a tad disappointing, with his power numbers down across the board.

Luckily, the Toronto Blue Jays’ first baseman is set to thrive against A’s right-hander Luis Severino, who sports a 5.30 ERA, second-worst among qualified starters to only Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz.

Guerrero is 4-for-12 with a home run against the embattled righty, and the Jays slugger still boasts a hard-hit percentage in the 92nd percentile and bat speed in the 98th percentile, signaling positive regression ahead.

I expect that to start tonight at Sutter Health Park, which features favorable power alleys, ranking third in home run factor and second in doubles this season.

Today’s Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 total bases

Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 runs

Blue Jays moneyline

Nathan Lukes has been on fire as the Jays' leadoff man during their recent hot streak, slashing .343/.429/.514 over the last two weeks.

Born and raised in Sacramento, I like Lukes to keep his solid play going at the dish, especially with friends and family likely in attendance.

The Blue Jays will feast on an A’s team that has dropped three of its last five games with a -10 run margin.

Although Max Scherzer is no longer an elite arm, the 41-year-old has reached 70+ pitches in each of his last three starts, and a relatively fresh bullpen will be waiting following yesterday’s day off.

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Live Blue Jays odds for today

How to watch the Blue Jays today

Location Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA
Date Friday, July 11, 2025
First pitch 10:05 p.m. ET
TV Rogers Sportsnet
Blue Jays starting pitcher Max Scherzer
(0-0, 4.76 ERA)
Athletics starting pitcher Luis Severino
(2-10, 5.30 ERA)

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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