Today's Best NRFI/YRFI Bets for Friday, May 30

Last year’s World Series rematch takes center stage tonight at Dodger Stadium, and we expect early fireworks in this heavyweight showdown.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
May 30, 2025 • 13:26 ET • 4 min read
Aaron Judge New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99).

The two scariest lineups in baseball face off at Chavez Ravine tonight when the Los Angeles Dodgers host the New York Yankees.

My MLB picks are betting on a run to be scored in the first inning of this evening's series opener. 

Check out my other best YRFI and NRFI bets for Friday, May 30.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

  • White Sox @ Orioles Run in the first inning – YES
  • Pirates @ Padres Run in the first inning – NO
  • Yankees @ Dodgers Run in the first inning – YES

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NRFI/YRFI bets for May 30

White Sox at Orioles: YRFI  (-111 at ProphetX)

The Chicago White Sox score a run in the first inning in 35.7% of their games — the fifth-highest number in the majors.

They should get on the board early tonight against Zach Eflin and the Baltimore Orioles. Eflin has a 6.14 FIP through six starts and has pitched to an ugly 7.50 ERA in the opening frame. 

Baltimore's lineup should also have success against right-hander Sean Burke. The Orioles have struggled against strikeout artists, but when they make contact, they crush the ball. Burke is in the bottom 15th percentile in strikeout rate while sitting in the bottom 10th percentile in expected ERA (5.91). 

Pirates at Padres: NRFI  (-124 at ProphetX)

The San Diego Padres began the season mashing the ball, but they have really fallen off lately. Over the last 15 days, they rank 28th in the majors with an OPS of .633.

They'll be at pitcher-friendly Petco Park tonight to host Mitch Keller and the Pittsburgh Pirates. Keller has looked sharp down the stretch, pitching to a 2.98 ERA with a 3.08 FIP over his last nine starts.

The Friars respond with Nick Pivetta, who sports a 2.72 ERA with an OBA of .192 through 10 starts. He'll stymie a Pirates lineup that is 27th in OPS (.644), with that number dipping to .610 on the road.

Yankees at Dodgers: YRFI  (-117 at ProphetX)

The two best offenses in baseball face off at Dodger Stadium tonight, with the wind blowing towards the outfield at 10 mph. 

The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS (.809) and run first-inning rate (38.2%). The Los Angeles Dodgers are just behind the Yankees in both categories, boasting an OPS of .800 and plating a first-inning run in 37.5% of their games.

L.A. will send struggling righty Tony Gonsolin to the hill. He has an xERA of 4.74 through five starts and has pitched to a 5.40 ERA in the first frame.

Yankees starter Max Fried has been dominant this season, pitching to a 1.29 ERA. However, his expected ERA is significantly worse at 3.35, and the Dodgers do a great job of hitting lefties.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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