The Philadelphia Phillies will try to complete a series sweep as they host the Athletics on Thursday night.
Philadelphia has been on fire under interim manager Don Mattingly, and my A's vs. Phillies predictions are backing that streak to continue.
Read on for more analysis of tonight’s matchup in my free MLB picks for Thursday, May 7.
Who will win A's vs Phillies today: Phillies moneyline (-130)
The Philadelphia Phillies are riding a four-game winning streak, outscoring their opponents 23-6 in that span.
FanGraphs still gives the Phillies a 57.6% chance of making the playoffs despite the rough start to the season, a reflection of the talent level on the Philadelphia roster.
Phillies starter Andrew Painter hasn’t yet gotten the results he wants in his rookie season, but he has an elite 36.3% chase rate. His FIP of 3.59 suggests his raw numbers will improve naturally moving forward.
With the Athletics losing four of five and Philadelphia in form, I like the Phillies to win tonight.
COVERS INTEL: The A’s have a 15.4% pull rate on balls hit in the air against Painter’s arsenal, which ranks 24th in MLB this year.
A's vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (+100)
Runs haven’t been scarce between these two teams, with Over 9.5 runs per contest across the first two games of the series. Both teams have trended towards the Over lately, which has hit in each of Philadelphia’s last four games, and four of the last five for the A’s.
Athletics starter J.T. Ginn is walking more batters and striking out fewer than at any time in his career, posting a 1.64 strikeout-to-walk ratio on the season. The Phillies offense has averaged 5.0 runs per game under Mattingly, showing dramatic improvement since he took over the team.
With the A’s being no slouches at the plate themselves — they have a .322 wOBA on the year — I’m expecting enough runs to hit the Over.
- ML/RL bets: 6-11, -5.31 units
- Over/Under bets: 5-10, -5.43 units
A's vs Phillies odds
- Moneyline: A's +110 | Phillies -130
- Run line: A's +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5
A's vs Phillies trend
The Phillies are 5-0 straight-up in their last five home games. Find more MLB betting trends for A's vs. Phillies.
How to watch A's vs Phillies and game info
| Location | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Thursday, May 7, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports California, NBC Sports Philadelphia |
| A's starting pitcher | J.T. Ginn (0-1, 4.30 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Andrew Painter (1-3, 5.28 ERA) |
A's vs Phillies latest injuries
A's vs Phillies weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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