The New York Giants were one of the most popular NFL teams to bet on. Now, with Jaxson Dart set for season-ending knee surgery, their odds are plummeting.
Key Takeaways
- The Giants went from +165 to +650 to make the playoffs in one week.
- Jameis Winston went 11-for-27 for 111 yards and an interception in Dart’s absence last week.
- BetMGM now believes the Giants have an implied 0.7% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
Living rooms across the Tri-State area were subjected to painful groans Monday night when Dart, the team’s second-year quarterback, went down clutching his knee.
Initial reporting suggested he had avoided major damage and may have sprained his MCL. However, NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reported Wednesday that Dart is expected to undergo season-ending knee surgery despite his ACL being intact.
The implications for betting markets have been profound. BetMGM shared Wednesday morning that the Giants received the third-most bets to exceed their projected win total (8.5) among all teams. Seventy-one percent of all over/under bets involving the G-Men were on the over.
Updated NFL win total betting at @BetMGM
— BetMGM News (@BetMGMNews) September 23, 2026
Most bet OVERs 🎟️
1. Broncos 9.5
2. Vikings 10.5
3. Giants 8.5
Most bet OVERs 💰
1. Cardinals 5.5
2. Jaguars 9.5
3. Vikings 10.5
Most bet UNDERs 🎟️
1. Browns 5.5
2. Dolphins 3.5
3. Commanders 5.5
Most bet UNDERs 💰
1. Browns 5.5
2.… pic.twitter.com/VyQ45ifJus
New York was also responsible for the most tickets and fifth-most money wagered at BetMGM in its “Team to Make the Playoffs” market.
The Giants’ playoff odds took a substantial hit once the news of Dart’s surgery plans were revealed. After opening at +310 and shortening to +165 after their Week 1 prime-time victory over the Dallas Cowboys, they have lengthened to +650 (15.4% implied chance).
Ninety-seven percent of playoff futures bets involving the Giants were on New York to make the postseason.
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Giants' Super Bowl odds plummet
The Giants have only made the playoffs once since 2016. They beat the Minnesota Vikings in the wild-card round in 2022 before losing to the Philadelphia Eagles in the divisional round.
Their 2026 campaign got off to a bright start in their 28-20 win over the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, a game they entered as 3.5-point underdogs. Dart finished 23-for-29 with 230 yards and three touchdowns.
Dreams of competing for a Super Bowl for the first time in 15 years with a new coaching staff and improved roster seemed feasible. But with Dart out of the picture, BetMGM has the Giants at +15,000 Super Bowl odds (0.7% implied chance).
Veteran Jameis Winston is expected to take the snaps in Dart’s absence. The 32-year-old went 11-for-27 for 111 yards and an interception in relief of his teammate against the Los Angeles Rams. The Giants were outscored 28-6, the full scoreline, after he entered the action.
NFL futures odds
Dart was not the only NFC East quarterback to sustain an early-season injury. The Washington Commanders also lost Jayden Daniels to a dislocated left elbow during their Week 2 matchup against the Cowboys. Daniels will be out for anywhere from a few weeks to the entire year.
The Eagles (-160) and Cowboys (+260) are now locked in a two-horse betting race to finish in first in the division.
The Rams (+375), Seattle Seahawks (+500), and San Francisco 49ers (+500) are the favorites in the broader NFC. Meanwhile, the Rams (+600), Buffalo Bills (+750), and Baltimore Ravens (+1,000) top the list in Super Bowl odds.
