Kirk Cousins has made the biggest impact on Super Bowl winner odds at the NFL’s trade deadline.
- The Vikings went from as high as +3,000 to +2,200 following the deadline deal.
- The Bills and 49ers didn’t see much shuffling at the top after making trades.
- The Chiefs remained where they were before acquiring a new receiver.
The quarterback’s return to Minnesota, following a Tuesday afternoon deal with the Las Vegas Raiders, shortened the Vikings' odds from +3,000 to +2,200 at FanDuel and BetMGM.
DraftKings also moved Minnesota to +2,200 from +2,400, while Caesars went from +2,800 before Monday night’s loss to the Buffalo Bills to +2,300 after the deadline.
Cousins, who first played in Minnesota from 2018 to 2023, was the biggest name moved on Tuesday. The 6-2 Vikings are in the hunt for the NFC North title, along with the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions, but with quarterback Kyler Murray dealing with a hamstring injury and backup Carson Wentz struggling on Monday, Minnesota felt like it had to improve the key position to compete.
| FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM | |
|---|---|---|---|
Bills  |
+550 | +600 | +550 |
49ers  |
+600 | +540 | +550 |
Jaguars  |
+750 | +750 | +750 |
Bears  |
+800 | +800 | +750 |
Chiefs  |
+1,200 | +1,000 | +1,100 |
Rams  |
+1,400 | +1,300 | +1,800 |
Bengals  |
+1,400 | +1,200 | +1,200 |
Seahawks  |
+1,500 | +1,600 | +1,800 |
Broncos  |
+1,500 | +1,500 | +1,600 |
Lions  |
+1,600 | +1,900 | +1,800 |
The 4-5 Raiders’ odds lengthened from +15,000 early Tuesday to +30,000 after losing Cousins. Francisco Mendoza, the first overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, is now the starting QB.
A look at the top
The Bills and the San Francisco 49ers were the top two teams listed in Super Bowl odds at every major sportsbook, and despite each team making deadline deals, neither team saw much line movement.
The Bills, who acquired safety Amani Hooker from Tennessee to help shore up a struggling secondary, are a +550 favorite at FanDuel. San Francisco is at +600 after getting veteran receiver Keenan Allen from the Colts.
DraftKings didn’t move either Super Bowl contender after the deadline, keeping the 49ers first at +540 and the Bills second at +600. BetMGM listed both at +550 before and after the deadline and reported early Tuesday that the Bills are getting 10.7% of the market’s handle, most of any team.
Jacksonville, which has won five of its last six games, entered Week 9 with odds of +1,000 to win the Super Bowl at BetMGM. That number moved to +750 on Tuesday, the third shortest on the board.
The 6-2 Jaguars made their biggest deadline moves on Monday, trading for defensive tackles Davon Godchaux (Saints) and Jordan Davis (Eagles) and safety Jessie Bates (Falcons).
The Bears, who made a huge move for DT Jeffery Simmons last month, are listed third in BetMGM’s Super Bowl winner market at +800.
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Going nowhere
The Chiefs acquired receiver Josh Downs from the Indianapolis Colts to give Patrick Mahomes a better offensive weapon, but Kansas City’s odds remained at +1,100 at BetMGM after the deal.
.@Chiefs odds to win the Super Bowl at @BetMGM +1100: Before trading for Josh Downs +1100: After
— John Ewing (@johnewing) November 10, 2026
One of the biggest deadline decisions came in Indianapolis, which didn’t move star running back Jonathan Taylor despite rumors of interest from several teams, including the Vikings and New York Giants.
With a depleted roster after trading away four players before Tuesday’s deadline, the 2-7 Colts have +100,000 odds at FanDuel. BetMGM listed Indy at +6,600 entering Week 1 in September.
