Dallas -2.5 and will back the Sun at higher odds for a middle.
Dallas 3 unders in a row and those totals were all not far from 170 lines. This total is 160 and the Sun will be easier to score against that their past 2025 season opponents
over 160.5 both teams over their team totals.
Sun +80.5 +120
Wings team total will be in game in case of a slow start.
Dream vs Sparks
dream total was 158 last and under 140 scored. 3 unders in a row.
Sparks and Dream will score and make this over 165.5 will play it in game if the total drops. Kind of a premium total line for a Dream type team but I see this game as run and gun for them. Sparks, I will have to watch who is sitting out they have not been 100% lately.
Lean sparks as home dog and over but current lines are not exciting.
Sky vs Merc
Sky back to back overs and given opponents each a minimum of 90. Merc not this talented. Total also very low so that does give the Sky a chance if it plays out where Nerc don’t score 80. If a dog can control the opponent they have a chance. Can they?
Sky played Indy, Liberty and Sparks. The Merc offense is less than those.
total is too low for me lean over
Play is Sky but in game I can do better than +7.5
Current bets :
Wings-2.5 but I want out and get a middle.
Lynx-6.5 Seattle is not yet a road team vs elite when their last line was home dog vs team not as good. 20 point win as home dog is beware of bad line on the road.
most unders I bet pregame because the line should be okay and if the first Qtr is high scoring that provides an in game opportunity. the under should be legit in the 2nd quarter.
under 169.5 Liberty valk.
Sun over +80.5 +120
Sun Wings game over 160.5
the late games no pregame bets but I have options and opinions if the opportunity presents itself.
p:HDW and AD and o:ats streak<1 and p:margin>10 and season>2014 and total<170
2-11 ats is the dog smd okay is the Lynx.
when a team is a home dog that lowers their quality. After that 20 point win that lowers the line. Minny last 2 games high lines and Minny is a team that wins but those high lines can be tricky for them. They run a deep team but do t have the MVP elite scoring players.
Lynx difficult home team that plays a team defense game. So the in game watch will be the Storm team total under. That’s how Minny can cover. Don’t let the Storm go crazy.
@Digitalkarma
best bets are :
Lynx and Sky. the current lines on both are very appealing.
I know that I didnt make a listed bet above on the Sky, because I thought the line might move. Also the in game game lines dont move a lot early unless the dog jumps up right off the tip.
The Sparks:
I play ESPN Fantasy to help me sort out the talent. R.Jackson is Probable for Tuesday so that will get them 4 starters with big minutes. Even if she is limited she will improve the bench and limit players that are lesser.
Griner is out for the Dream.
This will also be the Dreams 5th game since playing and including last Tuesday. They had back to back games Saturday and Sunday. So Griner out not a lot of rest + Travel
What I really like is the Sparks lost to the GS Valks 2 games ago and with R Jackson returning this could be a nice spot.
Another negative for the Dream at home they play D but on the road this year thats not the case. Their last 2 opponent were against bottom teams and those lines were only - 7.
Watch out for the Dream when Canada comes back and gets up to speed.
It is not a game in my top 2, but it looks playable. I like both teams, considering the facts. Sparks can win this. With no Griner and not a good rod team and not a lot of rest.
Sparks win and play only the money line because of line move and possible in game opportunities.
@spottie2935
Just some random thoughts. Clark had a preseason quad injury. First regular season game she goes all out mega stats. Since then she has not been right. Missing everything. I think they brought her back to soon and now they pay the price.
Tonight Paige time. She is 15-0 playing in this arena when playing at Uconn. She has played more minutes then most of the sun players have here.
I really like her to put up 20 or more. Her total is 14.5. It is a home game for her. All of her Uconn teammates from last year will be in the stands. You will see more Paige jerseys than sun.
Thank you for your contribution in my thread and it makes a lot of sense. 2 of the most successful WNBA team are the Sun and Lynx because they gave a strong and supportive fan base. As for the Sun I would guess old UConn players that come back into town get their appreciation once again.
I will go place a small bet because of this. Just a question though. Before I ask I don’t know one thing about the female college players or game. Why is Paige different than any other past Alumn? Do you have historical data to the success of these Alumn returning home for the first time? What if not, Maybe keep a record of these with a few notes and significance so you have a record.
I would never criticize or critique a seeming great bet. All I am asking is if you have data or stats to go on. This is more my style.
Like I said I got down because you are so passionate about this to take the time to share so why not. I will say that I am conservative on my bet sizing but the important part is the confidence and the future confidence in these wagers
I don’t have the same feeling as you do because of my lack of knowledge and passion for the women’s college game.
It’s nothing about the sport. All the sports I bet on have past data and past lines and total and scores so I can know who plays who well. Rest, good teams bad teams, cover trends and situations. The women’s college game falls short. For these reasons I’m out.
Lastly I’m going to bet this now so let’s go Paige.
Agunbowale has been a huge fantasy disappointment so far in the young season. I hope that changes tonight. On average last season she only sitting on half her average fantasy points per game, comparing seasons. If the Wings improve, she will be a huge factor. Dallas is one of the worst ATS cover teams from the past 30 games or so. I will middle this game if I get the chance to get a better spread than the current 2 points. If not that’s ok I’ll just take the loss on a good number I was able to get.
I wish I had historical information on this . My only logic for this bet is that she will really want to play well in front of her home fans. Uconn in the last 10 years or so had not had a player of her caliber. She missed time with injuries and percivered to get Uconn that title again. She is still the most popular athlete in the state of CT. I hope I am right tonight!
I wish I had historical information on this . My only logic for this bet is that she will really want to play well in front of her home fans. Uconn in the last 10 years or so had not had a player of her caliber. She missed time with injuries and percivered to get Uconn that title again. She is still the most popular athlete in the state of CT. I hope I am right tonight!
I wish I had historical information on this . My only logic for this bet is that she will really want to play well in front of her home fans. Uconn in the last 10 years or so had not had a player of her caliber. She missed time with injuries and percivered to get Uconn that title again. She is still the most popular athlete in the state of CT. I hope I am right tonight!
@gotime
Let’s win. I followed your passion and maybe since it’s not that difficult to keep track of you could keep some data on these special plays. With the Huskies being so strong year over year there should be more Alum to come home in the future.
some might feel pressure and miss shots some might feel right at home.
we’re gambling now 
let’s win buddy.
It in doing some research can be a tough angle. This is because the best NCAA women's players rarely come back home in the same state they starred in.
WNBA has so few teams but the best players are from Uconn. South Carolina,LSU, Iowa,Ohio State, etc. Paige over 14.5 is my play tonight. Going to do more research to find value to make $. The best angle so far this year was Jones double double. She did it her first 4 games. What a payoff that would have been. Although her last game she did not come close.
To sum it all up it is like betting any sport. Trying to find streaks and angles that win. Time to get paid.
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