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    All Forums | Website Promotions

    *** Start winning today @ http://www.veripicks.com ***

    «First Previous 91011 ... 202122 Next Last»
    SarahJPhilli
    veripicks
    Tad
    Participants:
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    Views: 26114
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    «First Previous 91011 ... 202122 Next Last»
     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 12:09 PM ET #201

    Thanks for your response!

    Is the website currently down? I've been unable to access it this morning.
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    Thanks for your response!

    Is the website currently down? I've been unable to access it this morning.
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 12:23 PM ET #202

    No it's online. https://www.veripicks.com

    We are planning to update our server software this week so you might see some down time one morning. I'll be sure to give you plenty of notice here on Covers and on Veripicks.

    Let me know if you can't access it.
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    No it's online. https://www.veripicks.com

    We are planning to update our server software this week so you might see some down time one morning. I'll be sure to give you plenty of notice here on Covers and on Veripicks.

    Let me know if you can't access it.
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 5:02 PM ET #203

    We will have some maintenance today starting at 5:00 EST that could last for about an hour or so.
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    We will have some maintenance today starting at 5:00 EST that could last for about an hour or so.
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 5:53 PM ET #204

    We are back... preparing for a big night.... Good Luck everyone!
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    We are back... preparing for a big night.... Good Luck everyone!
     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 7:13 PM ET #205

    Veripicks,

    How did Seton Hall go from an 80% PWin to completely off the board of plays?

    Why not reduce the PWin and still play them?

    Thanks!
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    Veripicks,

    How did Seton Hall go from an 80% PWin to completely off the board of plays?

    Why not reduce the PWin and still play them?

    Thanks!
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 9:45 PM ET #206

    Sarah - it saw something in all the information that it had and decided it wasn't a good play. I could look up and details and see if I could figure out what it was - but there was something it didn't like.

    The PWin is a percentage calculated based on historical data for similar picks. So something changed in the pick that made it's percentage of win > 60% hence it taking it off the board. Good thing for us it did! We (developers/mathematicians) cannot alter or lower the PWin only the Veripicks software can do it.

    That's why it's good to wait and let it continue to run until game time and see what it's decided.
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    Sarah - it saw something in all the information that it had and decided it wasn't a good play. I could look up and details and see if I could figure out what it was - but there was something it didn't like.

    The PWin is a percentage calculated based on historical data for similar picks. So something changed in the pick that made it's percentage of win > 60% hence it taking it off the board. Good thing for us it did! We (developers/mathematicians) cannot alter or lower the PWin only the Veripicks software can do it.

    That's why it's good to wait and let it continue to run until game time and see what it's decided.
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2011 - 9:51 PM ET #207

    sorry I just reread what i wrote - the PWin for Seton Hall was < 60% so it took it off the watch list and ended up not playing it. It's been a long day.
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    sorry I just reread what i wrote - the PWin for Seton Hall was < 60% so it took it off the watch list and ended up not playing it. It's been a long day.
     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2011 - 12:35 PM ET #208

    Great job last night by the Veripicks system.

    What is the lowest PWin % to become eligible for a wager?

    SJP
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    Great job last night by the Veripicks system.

    What is the lowest PWin % to become eligible for a wager?

    SJP
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2011 - 5:05 PM ET #209

    SJP - it usually tries to stay above 60% on the PWin. Every once in a while you'll get a game that is lower, it does that because there is something about the game that it really likes.

    Sorry it took so long to answer on here - be sure to send an email to veripicks@gmail.com if you need an answer quickly.

    Good Luck tonight!
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    SJP - it usually tries to stay above 60% on the PWin. Every once in a while you'll get a game that is lower, it does that because there is something about the game that it really likes.

    Sorry it took so long to answer on here - be sure to send an email to veripicks@gmail.com if you need an answer quickly.

    Good Luck tonight!
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 19, 2011 - 5:20 PM ET #210

    Last night we went 4-1 (80%) +$2,552 for January including $1,630 in the last 4 days. Hoping for a solid night tonight. Remember this is a long term investment with Veripicks. You should be playing every game at 2-3% of your bankroll so when the sportsbooks decide to give money back to the public (which they will) our losses will be at a minimum.

    Veripicks is a system - there isn't some broke handicapper chasing his money with yours or doubling down because it has no control. It's a computer that has 0 emotion involved in it's selections, it has no idea if it's winning or losing it just makes good solid plays!

    From all our memberships we've purchased over $15k in servers and upgraded all our OS over the last 2 weeks. We are reinvesting in our code and picks because we make much more money betting these games that off our membership fees. So come join a trusted system (you can see proof on the site) and see what winning is all about!

    If you bought a year long membership 4 days ago - you've already paid for the entire year and that's if your only betting $110 per game.

    Good Luck Everyone!
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    Last night we went 4-1 (80%) +$2,552 for January including $1,630 in the last 4 days. Hoping for a solid night tonight. Remember this is a long term investment with Veripicks. You should be playing every game at 2-3% of your bankroll so when the sportsbooks decide to give money back to the public (which they will) our losses will be at a minimum.

    Veripicks is a system - there isn't some broke handicapper chasing his money with yours or doubling down because it has no control. It's a computer that has 0 emotion involved in it's selections, it has no idea if it's winning or losing it just makes good solid plays!

    From all our memberships we've purchased over $15k in servers and upgraded all our OS over the last 2 weeks. We are reinvesting in our code and picks because we make much more money betting these games that off our membership fees. So come join a trusted system (you can see proof on the site) and see what winning is all about!

    If you bought a year long membership 4 days ago - you've already paid for the entire year and that's if your only betting $110 per game.

    Good Luck Everyone!
     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 12:54 AM ET #211

    Rough night. 5-7.

    Due for a losing night. Better luck tomorrow.


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    Rough night. 5-7.

    Due for a losing night. Better luck tomorrow.


     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 4:45 PM ET #212

    We didn't hit on all cylinders last night going 5-7 (42%) -$260. Nights like that you have to be happy to follow good money management as you would only be down 2.5 bets.

    Looks like there are 3-4 strong plays already brewing tonight so let's hope the system gets back on track and wins BIG!

    Good Luck!
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    We didn't hit on all cylinders last night going 5-7 (42%) -$260. Nights like that you have to be happy to follow good money management as you would only be down 2.5 bets.

    Looks like there are 3-4 strong plays already brewing tonight so let's hope the system gets back on track and wins BIG!

    Good Luck!
     
    Tad
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 5:48 PM ET #213

    why do all the "strong plays" have the exact same Pwin (61-40 ... 60%)?
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    why do all the "strong plays" have the exact same Pwin (61-40 ... 60%)?
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 5:58 PM ET #214

    There have been 101 plays that have been ranked the same as these - 61 have won 40 have lost. It's just happened to rank these 3 in a row exactly the same. That caught my eye too but everything looks correct.
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    There have been 101 plays that have been ranked the same as these - 61 have won 40 have lost. It's just happened to rank these 3 in a row exactly the same. That caught my eye too but everything looks correct.
     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 8:45 PM ET #215

    I noticed Middle Tennessee was heating up on the Watch List, but it didn't make the official plays.

    They are killing Troy! :)


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    I noticed Middle Tennessee was heating up on the Watch List, but it didn't make the official plays.

    They are killing Troy! :)


     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 20, 2011 - 9:50 PM ET #216

    Middle Tenn & Ark Little Rock were the same way. Strong plays until about 20-25 minutes before tipoff. I'm going to look strong at the numbers tomorrow and see what's going on with them. Same thing happened with North Dakota St. just sorta popped up from no where...

    Need the system to be sure to keep the strong ones and throw out all the weak. Hopefully we keep the run going tonight!
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    Middle Tenn & Ark Little Rock were the same way. Strong plays until about 20-25 minutes before tipoff. I'm going to look strong at the numbers tomorrow and see what's going on with them. Same thing happened with North Dakota St. just sorta popped up from no where...

    Need the system to be sure to keep the strong ones and throw out all the weak. Hopefully we keep the run going tonight!
     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 12:45 AM ET #217

    The lines which the system uses at times are very different from what is being offered online. I have 20 accounts and have found that all of the books at times do not offer the lines which the system is using.
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    The lines which the system uses at times are very different from what is being offered online. I have 20 accounts and have found that all of the books at times do not offer the lines which the system is using.
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 9:56 AM ET #218

    Started off hot last night and simmered down going 10-7 (59%) +240. I've always wondered if betting multiple games per night is the right move considering all I'd ever heard was pick 10 games and then narrow down to only 1-2. Until I've seen how Veripicks does with consistent winning and then I watched CBS special on Billy Walters. You need to watch this video if you haven't seen it. He's one of the only people who actually scare Las Vegas sportsbooks. Veripicks is definitely not Billy, but the way it plays multiple games per day is similar. We are basically trying to tail his bets or bets from people like him.

    SJP
    - you just have to find somewhere to get close to the line. We always try to buy up to a point that would at least set us push with the same number that Veripicks uses. We've looked at it trying to find the best line and then pointing our users to that sportsbook to make the bet. The problem is this takes too long to process in the system and we only have about 30 seconds to make our selections and get them out to everyone. So the line it uses is just a pointer to where it noted a good move vs all the other data it uses to judge it. I didnt' see any game that has been affected by this in the last 5-6 days. I think the last one was the Oregon game where Veripicks had +2.5 and the line was available for +3.5 at multiple sportsbooks - we took the loss that night so sometimes it doesn't help how it handles these moves.
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    Started off hot last night and simmered down going 10-7 (59%) +240. I've always wondered if betting multiple games per night is the right move considering all I'd ever heard was pick 10 games and then narrow down to only 1-2. Until I've seen how Veripicks does with consistent winning and then I watched CBS special on Billy Walters. You need to watch this video if you haven't seen it. He's one of the only people who actually scare Las Vegas sportsbooks. Veripicks is definitely not Billy, but the way it plays multiple games per day is similar. We are basically trying to tail his bets or bets from people like him.

    SJP
    - you just have to find somewhere to get close to the line. We always try to buy up to a point that would at least set us push with the same number that Veripicks uses. We've looked at it trying to find the best line and then pointing our users to that sportsbook to make the bet. The problem is this takes too long to process in the system and we only have about 30 seconds to make our selections and get them out to everyone. So the line it uses is just a pointer to where it noted a good move vs all the other data it uses to judge it. I didnt' see any game that has been affected by this in the last 5-6 days. I think the last one was the Oregon game where Veripicks had +2.5 and the line was available for +3.5 at multiple sportsbooks - we took the loss that night so sometimes it doesn't help how it handles these moves.
     
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 1:27 PM ET #219

    Each win is counted towards your income, so the more games you play and win regardless of net dollars, the more tax liability you have unless you do not live in a State with income tax.
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    Each win is counted towards your income, so the more games you play and win regardless of net dollars, the more tax liability you have unless you do not live in a State with income tax.
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 1:34 PM ET #220

    SJP - I'm sure most people who are recreational gamblers do not take into account their win/loss ratio vs tax liability. But your right, unfortunately I don't live in one of those states!

    Anyway, good luck tonight and let's hope Veripicks keeps rollin'!
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    SJP - I'm sure most people who are recreational gamblers do not take into account their win/loss ratio vs tax liability. But your right, unfortunately I don't live in one of those states!

    Anyway, good luck tonight and let's hope Veripicks keeps rollin'!
     
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 7:02 PM ET #221

    The Phoenix Suns/Washington Wizards line is way off.
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    The Phoenix Suns/Washington Wizards line is way off.
     
    veripicks
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 9:56 PM ET #222

    SJP - Veripicks had under 214 and Bodog's closing line for example was 213. Either way the UNDER hit by at least 13 points. Was this the line that was way off? I would expect you meant 5-6 points if you posted something in this thread about it. If you have any problems with the software or questions on lines why not just email us at veripicks@gmail.com. Instead we've got to monitor this thread to see what you are posting and be sure we respond.

    Now if you want to post how you lost or won money with Veripicks I'm all for that - some nights you will want to come in here and voice your frustration - and some nights I hope we are CELEBRATING!!

    Good Luck!

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    SJP - Veripicks had under 214 and Bodog's closing line for example was 213. Either way the UNDER hit by at least 13 points. Was this the line that was way off? I would expect you meant 5-6 points if you posted something in this thread about it. If you have any problems with the software or questions on lines why not just email us at veripicks@gmail.com. Instead we've got to monitor this thread to see what you are posting and be sure we respond.

    Now if you want to post how you lost or won money with Veripicks I'm all for that - some nights you will want to come in here and voice your frustration - and some nights I hope we are CELEBRATING!!

    Good Luck!

     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 10:20 PM ET #223

    I'm not really for or against your website. I'm just here to give facts of what I'm seeing.

    The winning percentage is currently 56%, which is very good.

    I wish the lines posted for the overall record were more on par with the majority of sportsbooks, or that the juice surrendered on losses included a higher amount if the line was off.

    214 and 213 (or 212.5 and 212) are very different.

    Thanks!
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    I'm not really for or against your website. I'm just here to give facts of what I'm seeing.

    The winning percentage is currently 56%, which is very good.

    I wish the lines posted for the overall record were more on par with the majority of sportsbooks, or that the juice surrendered on losses included a higher amount if the line was off.

    214 and 213 (or 212.5 and 212) are very different.

    Thanks!
     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posts: 10104
    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 10:27 PM ET #224

    I'm recording all wagers as -115 instead of -110 in order to account for line adjustments which need to be purchased over the course of time. I'm sure this adjustment will factor in these disparities over time.

    Thanks Veripicks!
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    I'm recording all wagers as -115 instead of -110 in order to account for line adjustments which need to be purchased over the course of time. I'm sure this adjustment will factor in these disparities over time.

    Thanks Veripicks!
     
     
    SarahJPhilli
    SarahJPhilli
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    Posted: Jan. 21, 2011 - 10:30 PM ET #225

    Lakers/Nuggets total was 4 points off from the average line.
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    Lakers/Nuggets total was 4 points off from the average line.
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