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    NHL Home Chase and Over/Under system

    «First Previous 345 ... 91011 Next Last»
    pistol589
    Riceboi
    SHIFTYbook9
    triplee2385
    ChaseWill
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    «First Previous 345 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    pistol589
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2011 - 10:15 AM ET #51

    Plays for 1217

    Home Stand - No plays unless Toronto closes at -120 or better (not likely)

    YTD - +10 units

    Over/Under - Philadelphia 1 under,
    Tampa Bay 1 under,

    YTD - +44.1 units
    Reply
    Plays for 1217

    Home Stand - No plays unless Toronto closes at -120 or better (not likely)

    YTD - +10 units

    Over/Under - Philadelphia 1 under,
    Tampa Bay 1 under,

    YTD - +44.1 units
     
    pistol589
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 17, 2011 - 10:29 AM ET #52

    Burly your response was correct except for that the first game of the home stand just has to be -120 or higher.

    Dimascio I have not looked into anything related to two nights in row

    SnakeEyes when opposing bets run into each other I still typically bet both sides as one side is usually getting plus odds, and not playing would only truly be an offset if the line for both the over and the under was -110. 

    Triple The over/under only relates to one team, which is how you could/will occasionally have games where you end up betting both sides.
    Reply
    Burly your response was correct except for that the first game of the home stand just has to be -120 or higher.

    Dimascio I have not looked into anything related to two nights in row

    SnakeEyes when opposing bets run into each other I still typically bet both sides as one side is usually getting plus odds, and not playing would only truly be an offset if the line for both the over and the under was -110. 

    Triple The over/under only relates to one team, which is how you could/will occasionally have games where you end up betting both sides.
     
    pistol589
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2011 - 12:53 AM ET #53

    No plays for 12/18

    Home Stand +10 units

    Over/Under - +44 units
    Reply
    No plays for 12/18

    Home Stand +10 units

    Over/Under - +44 units
     
    Riceboi
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2011 - 12:59 AM ET #54

    +55 units so far? wow that's great
    Reply
    +55 units so far? wow that's great
     
    pistol589
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 12:36 AM ET #55

    Plays for 12/19

    Home Stand - Dallas A & Vancouver A if ML closes @ -120 or higher

    Over/Under - Montreal 1 under,
    Philadelphia 2.03 under
    Reply
    Plays for 12/19

    Home Stand - Dallas A & Vancouver A if ML closes @ -120 or higher

    Over/Under - Montreal 1 under,
    Philadelphia 2.03 under
     
    SHIFTYbook9
    SHIFTYbook9
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 12:39 AM ET #56

    pistol.. a little confused, so your betting 2 units on phila under?
    Reply
    pistol.. a little confused, so your betting 2 units on phila under?
     
    Riceboi
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 12:43 AM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by SHIFTYbook9:

    pistol.. a little confused, so your betting 2 units on phila under?


    yeah because he's chasing it.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by SHIFTYbook9:

    pistol.. a little confused, so your betting 2 units on phila under?


    yeah because he's chasing it.
     
    SHIFTYbook9
    SHIFTYbook9
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 12:50 AM ET #58

    oh ok i get it so he raises a unit until he gets it? smart
    Reply
    oh ok i get it so he raises a unit until he gets it? smart
     
    Riceboi
    Riceboi
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 1:00 AM ET #59

    Quote Originally Posted by SHIFTYbook9:

    oh ok i get it so he raises a unit until he gets it? smart


    yeah he does

    1 unit
    2.03 units
    4.13 units
    8.39 units
    17.06 units
    34.6 units
     60 units
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by SHIFTYbook9:

    oh ok i get it so he raises a unit until he gets it? smart


    yeah he does

    1 unit
    2.03 units
    4.13 units
    8.39 units
    17.06 units
    34.6 units
     60 units
     
    SHIFTYbook9
    SHIFTYbook9
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 1:01 AM ET #60

    advanced martingale
    Reply
    advanced martingale
     
    triplee2385
    triplee2385
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 11:08 AM ET #61

    So how much do you lay on an A bet?
    Reply
    So how much do you lay on an A bet?
     
    pistol589
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 1:26 PM ET #62

    Triple - It depends on the money management system that you employ.  I use a labourchere system, but typically you are going to try and NET 1 unit on a a game, and then recover some or all of your losses on the next two games if needed.
    Reply
    Triple - It depends on the money management system that you employ.  I use a labourchere system, but typically you are going to try and NET 1 unit on a a game, and then recover some or all of your losses on the next two games if needed.
     
    triplee2385
    triplee2385
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 1:47 PM ET #63

    could the leafs be a play in the first system or no because even though it was a three game home stand the line was at +138 so they wouldnt count?
    Reply
    could the leafs be a play in the first system or no because even though it was a three game home stand the line was at +138 so they wouldnt count?
     
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 1:51 PM ET #64

    It's a no go. First game needs to be -120 or higher.  If there are still 3 games left, and a game gets to -140 or higher it becomes a play.
    Reply
    It's a no go. First game needs to be -120 or higher.  If there are still 3 games left, and a game gets to -140 or higher it becomes a play.
     
    triplee2385
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 1:52 PM ET #65

    good deal thanks.
    Reply
    good deal thanks.
     
    ChaseWill
    ChaseWill
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 3:03 PM ET #66

    so for the over/under your betting  Montreal u2½ -140 (1 unit) and Philadelphia  u2½ +145 (2.03 units)??
    Reply
    so for the over/under your betting  Montreal u2½ -140 (1 unit) and Philadelphia  u2½ +145 (2.03 units)??
     
    cmwnow
    cmwnow
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 3:47 PM ET #67

    Pistol: Great NHL system.  Been following it and like it.  You said you work a similar system in NBA.  Can you tell us what that is?  
    Reply
    Pistol: Great NHL system.  Been following it and like it.  You said you work a similar system in NBA.  Can you tell us what that is?  
     
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 4:14 PM ET #68

    Not the individual team, but the game total - 5 1/2, but yes for those amounts
    Reply
    Not the individual team, but the game total - 5 1/2, but yes for those amounts
     
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2011 - 4:20 PM ET #69

    The NBA system works the same as the NHL, but starts at 4 for both overs and unders and uses a slightly different Martindale to account for a consistent -110 line. Average over the past 5 years has been +80 units.
    Reply
    The NBA system works the same as the NHL, but starts at 4 for both overs and unders and uses a slightly different Martindale to account for a consistent -110 line. Average over the past 5 years has been +80 units.
     
    Shibs
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 12:31 AM ET #70

    Sorry do u have the record breakdown for NBA as well with the a, b, c, etc for both the over and under plays?
    Reply
    Sorry do u have the record breakdown for NBA as well with the a, b, c, etc for both the over and under plays?
     
    2020dr
    2020dr
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 1:18 AM ET #71

    GREAT INFORMATIONS. WON tonight. Thank-you

    Reply

    GREAT INFORMATIONS. WON tonight. Thank-you

     
    Sarkhan
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 1:56 AM ET #72

    Thank You so much pistol. Since I followed your picks, starting from tampa  on saturday night. I have been 5-0 with your picks. I love the Over/Under system, makes sense. Keep it going

    Reply

    Thank You so much pistol. Since I followed your picks, starting from tampa  on saturday night. I have been 5-0 with your picks. I love the Over/Under system, makes sense. Keep it going

     
    NYBartender
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 2:45 AM ET #73

    How many units are you betting to start? 1?


    Reply
    How many units are you betting to start? 1?


     
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 8:38 AM ET #74

    Plays for 12/20

    Home Stand - Winnipeg A if ML stays above -140

    YTD  +12 units

    Over/Under - New Jersey 1 under

    YTD  +47 units
    Reply
    Plays for 12/20

    Home Stand - Winnipeg A if ML stays above -140

    YTD  +12 units

    Over/Under - New Jersey 1 under

    YTD  +47 units
     
     
    pistol589
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 8:43 AM ET #75

    Shibs I don't have that info on the NBA readily available, but there has not been a streak of more than 10 since the 06-07 season.  The main filter I use is to not bet on the bottom five teams according to the espn.com power rankings.
    Reply
    Shibs I don't have that info on the NBA readily available, but there has not been a streak of more than 10 since the 06-07 season.  The main filter I use is to not bet on the bottom five teams according to the espn.com power rankings.
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