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How to hit 70% (or better) in MLB using Teamrankings.com

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Posted: #1151
I'm leaning SD, BOS, CIN & o8.5, & o9.5 COL vs ARI

SD- Pretty even bats, but SD got pitching and home field advantage.
BOS- Daisuke Matsuzaka has turned himself around the last few games, and Boston seems to be on a hot streak...
CIN- Morton has been struggling this season, and Cueto pitched a shutout 2 weeks ago vs PIT... I don't think much has changed since last time. The o8.5 on the CIN/PIT. I think CIN will win, but not another shutout plus a bit of wind blowing out towards right field.
o9.5-There's a 10+ mph wind blowing out towards left field as well as the fact that its Coors Field and not so great pitchers along with not so great bullpens...
 
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Posted: #1152
? for GMAL. As you have been watching the wind, I was wondering if you have data concerning which winds affect each ballpark in a particular manner, so that us who are new to part of handicapping a gm, can put your info to better use?                           one small matter---- 2.2 belongs to the NYY.    Thanks again your work on this site really helps.
 
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Posted: #1153
Early game i am leaning Cubs.Any thought?
 
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Posted: #1154
Quote Originally Posted by bulichm:

? for GMAL. As you have been watching the wind, I was wondering if you have data concerning which winds affect each ballpark in a particular manner, so that us who are new to part of handicapping a gm, can put your info to better use?                           one small matter---- 2.2 belongs to the NYY.    Thanks again your work on this site really helps.


yea... if you go to covers matchups on the right hand colum where it shows you the current weather. under that a bit, you can hit the stadium button and it will tell you how many home runs are hit out of each side of the park as well as how many times it went over or under on those windy days.... but dont just look at the 2010 #'s, you gotta look at the 2009 and 2008 numbers to be more consistent... any wind info under 10 mph is usually irrelevant, but the 10-20 and 20+ wind is probably the stats we should be looking at. The only major thing i usually look at is whether the wind is blowing in from outfield or out towards outfield.
 
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Posted: #1155
NYY: 98.2 R Vazquez (3-4, 6.69 ERA)     57/1.40 1.26 3.25   L4 4-6
MIN: 100.4 R Blackburn (5-1, 4.50 ERA)56/1.32 1.38 3.01 W4 6-4  +2.2


CORRECTION!!!! 98.2 =wrong #
NYY: 102.6 R Vazquez (3-4, 6.69 ERA)     57/1.40 1.26 3.25   L4 4-6 +2.2
MIN: 100.4 R Blackburn (5-1, 4.50 ERA)56/1.32 1.38 3.01 W4 6-4 

Advantage goes to NYY not MIN

 
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Posted: #1156
GM do you like under 9 NYY/Minn today? Line went from 10 to 9? ugh!
 
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Posted: #1157
Quote Originally Posted by vixen321:

GM do you like under 9 NYY/Minn today? Line went from 10 to 9? ugh!


u9 sounds pretty tempting.... they played a double header yesterday so i'm guessing both teams are a lil tired. Both pitchers have been doing better than their posted ERA's show. The only 2 things that worry me are that last week when blackburn faced NYY, he only gave up 3 runs with 9 hits which could have been more runs, but got out of most jams.  Posada and Teixeira were the only ones with 2 hits that day. I think Posada is on the DL for a week or 2 which is good .Also Vazquez hurt his index finger last friday, but reports say he "should" be fine. NYY o/u is 25-20 vs MIN o/u 17-25. With all that being said, I think u9 is a good play.
 
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Posted: #1158

Cincinatti seems to be a solid play tonight.

 

 
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Posted: #1159
Quote Originally Posted by GrandMasterAL:



u9 sounds pretty tempting.... they played a double header yesterday so i'm guessing both teams are a lil tired. Both pitchers have been doing better than their posted ERA's show. The only 2 things that worry me are that last week when blackburn faced NYY, he only gave up 3 runs with 9 hits which could have been more runs, but got out of most jams.  Posada and Teixeira were the only ones with 2 hits that day. I think Posada is on the DL for a week or 2 which is good .Also Vazquez hurt his index finger last friday, but reports say he "should" be fine. NYY o/u is 25-20 vs MIN o/u 17-25. With all that being said, I think u9 is a good play.

Well thank you for such this thorough evaluation, GM.  The Vasquez finger strain concerns me and I had no idea. The new Minn park is not a hitter's best friend so that's why the number looked good ( especially 10!)

Just another interesting post I saw last night that took Wash with a reverse RL -1.5 runs at +400 and it hit!!  Looks like it's going to be another winner today.  Something to consider for heavy favorite in a slump. Small price for big payoff!

I think TB's bats come alive tonight against KC. Their pitcher has been playing well of late. So looking at TB RL and also considering Boston RL as well.
BOL to all
Enjoy your time off, GM!
 
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Posted: #1160
Well my day got ahead of me. It's to late to look over anything closely. Late thought for capskip on CHC - don't do it - but I see you did and won , good call. Meanwhile I've been playing STL/SD all week on un tm totals will play STL only tonight. Leanig towards TB BOS CIN SD NYM MIN on the rest of todays card. With Vix on the rl with TB BOS thought. My POD is  CIN.
 
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Posted: #1161
Hey what do you know.I hit 2 early games.My plays tonight are both on the RL.Tampa Bay & Cinn.Bol to all
 
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Posted: #1162
Thanks for everyone's input and GL to all!

GM- I tailed your Col over! Thanks!!!!

I didn't get STL in time but I like the pick. 

PS just learned of a source for weather conditions at sports stadiums https://www.weather.com/outlook/events/mlb/gameforecast/60613?eventid=326446
They even show the vector over the diamond!! Don't you just love it!!
 
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Posted: #1163
Quote Originally Posted by vixen321:

Thanks for everyone's input and GL to all!

GM- I tailed your Col over! Thanks!!!!

I didn't get STL in time but I like the pick. 

PS just learned of a source for weather conditions at sports stadiums https://www.weather.com/outlook/events/mlb/gameforecast/60613?eventid=326446
They even show the vector over the diamond!! Don't you just love it!!

Sweet!! That website will cut my research time by at least 20 mins!
 
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Posted: #1164
[Quote: Originally Posted by GrandMasterAL]
Sweet!! That website will cut my research time by at least 20 mins!
[/Quote]

.....The LEAST I can do... so you go to SPORTS: MLB; click on option 3 (View this week's MLB schedule) "go" then see "detailed forecast" for each game. 


 
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Posted: #1165
Vixen321 Iwanted to thank you as well on the weather site. I'm glad I found this site,and GMAL's weather input, PIT/PHI game showed me after his warning about the weather, which I did not heed that day, about it's importance. Maybe it will lead to backing off of some "for sure" bets and save a few bucks.      On the other fronts glad my day got bogged down a little and caused me to miss the STL/SD gm. but I did lay some on the TB BOS & CIN gms all rl, then NYM & MIN ml. Thanks for everyone's input.
 
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Posted: #1166
Quote Originally Posted by bulichm:

Vixen321 Iwanted to thank you as well on the weather site. I'm glad I found this site,and GMAL's weather input, PIT/PHI game showed me after his warning about the weather, which I did not heed that day, about it's importance. Maybe it will lead to backing off of some "for sure" bets and save a few bucks.      On the other fronts glad my day got bogged down a little and caused me to miss the STL/SD gm. but I did lay some on the TB BOS & CIN gms all rl, then NYM & MIN ml. Thanks for everyone's input.


My pleasure, Bulichm.

So I talked myself into Boston RL too and then realized it violated the "1 st game of extended road game return rule" ( which typically results in a loss for the home team especially after a winning road record)  That always seems to bite me unexpectedly.  Hopefully Bosox can still pull it off.  

Thanks for your input and to all the rest that contribute to this thread as well.
 
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Posted: #1167
Great night overall. A little mad at the Red Sox for blowing my 14:1 parlay. Had Houston under, Reds over and ML, Rockies over and Red Sox ML.

Like I said, still made a ton of money though.
 
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Posted: #1168
Goin on vacation till sunday... good luck with the post fellas...  i wont have todays post, but i'll see if i can find some time for saturday's.
 
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Posted: #1169
Have a great weekend GMAL
 
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Posted: #1170
Have fun, GM.
 
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Posted: #1171
My POD is Tampa Bay.Had a good day yesterday 4-0.Feels good being on the plus side.Any thoughts from anyone on my pick.TB is also on RL.Thanks Cap
 
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Posted: #1172
Quote Originally Posted by capskip:

My POD is Tampa Bay.Had a good day yesterday 4-0.Feels good being on the plus side.Any thoughts from anyone on my pick.TB is also on RL.Thanks Cap


Like it, Cap  TB has to make up for recent  lost games and they should be hitting pretty well.

 
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Posted: #1173

is possible to have Power ratings for the tonight's game ?

i mean the stats

 
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Posted: #1174
Just home from a job. Not enough time to check pitchers over again real close. Looks like schd makers lined up all kinds of home fav action for weekend (good for product sells).  I was up early capping (got my priorites straight) and without being able to check weather yet rl leans are NYY TOR BOS TB ATL , on the fence is MIN, ml  COL SD SF.     
 
 
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Posted: #1175
Hey bulichm hope you have the weekend off.I went with TB as Pod rl.Might be raining in NE.Let us know what your going with.Bol
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