All Forums | Website Promotions

How to hit 70% (or better) in MLB using Teamrankings.com

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 72662
Posts: 1625
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 451
Posted: #601
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Further explanation:

I.E.

TODAY For Instance...

STL ranked 101.8 vs. PHI 100.5     If you go back and look at ever game    every day these numbers will change as NABIL pointed out....    so everyday I have been going and writing the ranks out on every team...     By the end of this series, STL could be ranked lower depending on how it goes...   What I am saying is IF the team ranked low today wins...   the Lowest ranked team (daily basis) wins the series 80% of the time (so far this year)    IF the team that ranks highest wins tonite (ie STL)   the highest (daily ranked team) will win 78% of the time...

On everygame I have tables (NERD ALERT) that rank each team GREATER OR LESS  based on the "unnamed website"      GO AND CHECK!!!   THESE are the results...



You are creating an analog of the system we are trying to execute.

 So, if you hold off on Game 1, to see the results, which of the remaining two games do you wager on...........? Your numbers don't say these teams sweep.
 If your results are as strong as you mention and you have some protocol to use your results, start a new "Nabil analog" system thread, and you could put it in Mains or "Systems & Strategies".................
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 451
Posted: #602
Quote Originally Posted by SixTen:

So 1 of every 5 series, there's a team that wins Game 1 then loses the next 2 (bear in mind I'm just using 3-game series as an example).  4 of 5 times, a team that wins the first game wins another in the series (either Game 2, Game 3, or both).

I'm not sure that's a surprise to anyone.  I'm not trying to argue - the more information, the better - but I'm not sure I see your point.  The only thing I see here is, if teams split the first 2 games of a series, odds are the team that won Game 1 will win Game 3.  Otherwise, you're still speculating on which of the next 2 games the Game 1 winner will take - although I guess if you bet both, worst you can do is break even 80% of the time.

Am I getting this right?


Oh OK.......From the results you can find a team that wins game 1 and loses the next two..........Right........
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 33526
Posted: #603

My play of the day is NYY.To big of a line to play them outright,so i will parlay them with the Red Sox both on the run line.I like SixTens Tor.play,but Cleveland with M.Talbot are going to be tough.Best of luck though SixTen.  BOL TO ALL TONIGHT.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 6418
Posted: #604

hello everybofy

My play for tonight is yankees (-1.5) RunLine

 

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 777
Posted: #605
I am using this same TYPE of system (from the same rankings source).
You can check out how I am doing this here:
Max Power Team Ranking Series System

My Plays for TODAY are:
Game #1 Plays - HOME
NYY Vs BAL = NYY -305 (3.05 Units to Win 1.0 Units)
SDP Vs COL = SDP +128 (1.0 to Win 1.28)

Game #1 Plays - Away
TOR @ CLE = TOR +100 (1.0 to Win 1.0)
LAA @ BOS = LAA +162 (1.0 to Win 1.62)
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 2991
Posted: #606
If I had to pick a system POD, it would be NYY on RL.
But I also think there are a lot of good underdogs tonight.
Good luck to all of us!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #607

Quote Originally Posted by SixTen:

So 1 of every 5 series, there's a team that wins Game 1 then loses the next 2 (bear in mind I'm just using 3-game series as an example).  4 of 5 times, a team that wins the first game wins another in the series (either Game 2, Game 3, or both).

I'm not sure that's a surprise to anyone.  I'm not trying to argue - the more information, the better - but I'm not sure I see your point.  The only thing I see here is, if teams split the first 2 games of a series, odds are the team that won Game 1 will win Game 3.  Otherwise, you're still speculating on which of the next 2 games the Game 1 winner will take - although I guess if you bet both, worst you can do is break even 80% of the time.

Am I getting this right?

I will have to post as we go through this next series...   I am not creating a new system its just something I noticed when trending the rankings on a day to day basis as Nabil suggested.   

I am not saying they sweep...    because in the STL/PHI series for example...   STL may not be the higher ranked team by the end of the series...(in my tables I have been trending...STL may be ranked less than PHI by 5 points in game one...and then STL wins let's say...  Now PHI may be still be ranked higher the next day because despite the loss the previous day but now in game 2 they are only 3 points higher ranked ...    What I have noticed the lesser ranked team (STL) have won the series 80% of the time this year.....    So lets say game 2 STL wins again   Now in game 3 PHI is ranked less than STL because of 2 losses...EVERYDAY THE NUMBER RANKINGS CHANGE, as Nabil suggested...I have just been sitting back and watching the numbers for the past few weeks and I am just stating what I have noticed.....

It may get benefiical betting on dogs (lesser ranked) teams as they usually are...Still watching so I will keep you posted...

Hasnt any one noticed that the team that is usually ranked 5plus points higher has usually lossed in game one???

Nabil is still thinking I am a hater, but Hasnt anyone noticed the spike in rankings between serious, like PITT gets swept be someone and they are ranked 95 or someting and then they are ranked 101 for game 1 of the next series...   Been watching those numbers too...

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 2991
Posted: #608
Quote Originally Posted by Max_Power:

I am using this same TYPE of system (from the same rankings source).
You can check out how I am doing this here:
Max Power Team Ranking Series System

My Plays for TODAY are:
Game #1 Plays - HOME
NYY Vs BAL = NYY -305 (3.05 Units to Win 1.0 Units)
SDP Vs COL = SDP +128 (1.0 to Win 1.28)

Game #1 Plays - Away
TOR @ CLE = TOR +100 (1.0 to Win 1.0)
LAA @ BOS = LAA +162 (1.0 to Win 1.62)


Hi  Max,

I like the LAA play but why would you bet against Colorado with their best pitcher, Jimenez going.  GL!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 153
Posted: #609
I see your points, but we've repeatedly discussed the volatility of the rankings so early in the season.  The more games are played, the less affect they'll have on the rankings - they'll start to level out.

It's interesting that you note though most favorites in the PR system have lost the first game.  I haven't tracked every one so I don't know for sure, but I doubt you're giving misinformation to sabotage.  By the time I jumped on board on April 23rd (a Friday), I'm 2-2 in Game 1's (today's TOR pick will be my 5th Game 1).  That accounts for 2 of my 3 losses, so you might have something there.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 153
Posted: #610
Betting FOR Joe Saunders or AGAINST Ubaldo Jimenez are gutsy moves...good luck, Max!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #611

You are right SixTen...   

To sum it up I am gonna hold off and jump on the 3rd game of the series...    I think that there has been 3 4 game series and 1 or 2 2 game series...    The 2 games series both split and the 4 game series split 2 out of 3....

I agree as the season progresses things always seem to jump to a 50/50 trend and most people lose as they chase it down.   We will see as the season moves on and interleague games start...

If I had the time...maybe...  i will look at last year for a few months and see if this trend continued or faded...

BOL on your pick...Jiminez cant win every game he starts!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #612

wrong game...   Cecil v Talbot...  

Lookin good 4 nil

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 153
Posted: #613
I agree with you on Jimenez - I think he's set up to drop a 3-2 game tonight.  Still, I'm not sure enough to make a play either way.  I'm just on TOR and a TOR/NYY parlay.

I think an interesting amendment to this system is, after Game 1's are played, outline the remaining 2 of the series and focus on the best option for the winner of Game 1 to win again.  That's what the odds are telling us happens 80% of the time, right?  I'm willing to include that into our pick evaluations.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 153
Posted: #614
Jays & Yanks get it done - another good night for me.  Also, the thread is now 10-4.

Considering the Jays win tonight, the "winner of Game 1 wins series 80% of the time" & the fact that they're tossing another strong lefty at CLE tomorrow (Ricky Romero), that game will be at/near the top of my list tomorrow.  Looking forward to the discussion.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 933
Posted: #615
yo sixten nice way to grab the info. n run wit it... keep up the good work my man
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 480
Posted: #616
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 33526
Posted: #617
Yesterday we all made some Lets do it again today.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 1056
Posted: #618
                                                              WHIP/ Strk/ Advantage

TOR: 104.4 (L) Romero (2-1, 2.25 ERA)       0.94  W2     +5.0 
CLE:  99.4 (R) Westbrook (0-2, 5.53 ERA)   1.55   L2

BAL:  96.5 (L) Matusz (2-1, 4.40 ERA)        1.34    L1      
NYY: 104.8 (R) Burnett (3-0, 2.43 ERA)       1.20   W2      +8.3

TAM: 108.5 (R) Shields (3-0, 3.38 ERA)       1.38  W1      +8.2
SEA: 100.3 (L) Vargas (2-1, 3.60 ERA)        1.04   L3



 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 1056
Posted: #619

                                                              WHIP/ Strk/ Advantage

ATL:   97.9 (R) Kawakami (0-4, 5.48 ERA)   1.50    W3
WAS: 99.0 (R) Hernandez (3-1, 0.87 ERA)   0.87    L2      +1.1

STL: 102.6 (R) Wainwright (4-1, 2.13 ERA)  0.89    W3       +2.8
PHI: 99.8 (L) Hamels (2-2, 5.28 ERA)         1.47     L1

LAA: 100.5 (R) Santana (1-2, 4.59 ERA)     1.23     L4      +1.2
BOS: 99.3 (L) Lester (1-2, 4.71 ERA)         1.43     W1

CHC: 100.1 (R) Dempster (2-1, 2.78 ERA)   0.98    W3     +2.6
PIT: 97.5 (L) Maholm (1-2, 4.83 ERA)         1.42     L3

KAN: 101.4 (R) Hochevar (2-1, 6.11 ERA)    1.71    L2       +1.0
CHW: 100.4 (R) Floyd (1-2, 6.49 ERA)        1.67    W1
 
NYM: 98.7 (R) Maine (1-1, 7.15 ERA)          1.85    L3      
CIN: 99.7 (R) Arroyo (1-2, 6.37 ERA)           1.38    W1       +1.0


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 153
Posted: #620
Nice, Al - I was just about to do that.  I like that you only took the top 3, too.  Everyone else has an advantage of under 3.  I know we've gone below the +5 bar, but, to me, going below 3 seems to render the advantages of this system useless.

Combining everything we've discussed here, it seems like the plays should be ranked in this order:

TOR - Won first game of series, throwing another strong lefty at a team who just can't hit them.  Also, Westbrook's 5.53 ERA doesn't bode well against a Jays team that's been hitting the ball very well lately.

TB - Rays are hot.  They're near the middle of the pack against lefties (.241) but they're also 3rd overall in runs scored against them - so I don't think Vargas is too much of a threat.  Shields has been awesome of late - 3 straight wins and a career 2.34 ERA/1.02 WHIP/.224 BAA over 6 starts vs SEA.  Mariners have scored 3 runs only once in their past 7 - why would they all of a sudden break out against the best staff ERA in the AL?

NYY - for obvious reasons.  I rank this 3rd mostly because of the line.  There's much more value in the above 2 games, so why take less money if there are other options just as strong (if not better)?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 1056
Posted: #621
                                                              WHIP/ Strk/ Advantage

DET: 100.4 (L) Willis (1-1, 3.75 ERA)         1.54    L1     
MIN: 103.5 (R) Blackburn (1-1, 6.85 ERA)   1.73   W2      +3.1

SFO: 99.3 (R) Lincecum (4-0, 1.27 ERA)    0.82    L1      
FLA: 99.7 (R) Sanchez (1-2, 4.32 ERA)      1.52   W2      +0.4

TEX: 101.8 (R) Feldman (1-2, 4.50 ERA)   1.54    W4       +1.5
OAK: 100.3 (R) Mazzaro (0-0, 0.00 ERA)   0.00    L2

ARI: 98.2 (R) Kennedy (1-1, 4.45 ERA)     1.05     W1      +2.9
HOU: 95.3 (R) Oswalt (2-3, 2.73 ERA)       1.15    L7

COL: 99.9 (L) Smith (1-2, 7.33 ERA)         1.80    W2   
SDG: 102.5 (L) LeBlanc (2-0, 0.52 ERA)    1.27    L1        +2.6

MIL: 99.9 (L) Narveson (1-0, 6.60 ERA)     2.07   L1        
LAD: 101.2 (L) Kershaw (1-1, 3.07 ERA)   1.53   W3        +1.3
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 1056
Posted: #622
NYY is gonna start off cloudy but gonna get rained on after an hour. Seattle will be raining all day long.  Ive learned to stay away from raining games. I think toronto is the the most stable play today.. U never know what crazy shit happens when there's rain involved...

4/25/10 cost me 4 unints... Atl +109
 
123456789 RHE
ATL000000XXX 
NYM10000XXXX 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 153
Posted: #623
I have MIN 102.2 @ home, DET 100.4 on the road which equals +1.8.

All your other numbers are correct.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 153
Posted: #624
SAFECO has a retractable roof though, so rain shouldn't affect the TB/SEA game.
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #625

Just to Document what I noticed on the 80% Trends...WE CAN CALL IT OUR GAME 3 PREDICTOR

Tor/Cle (Tor was the greater ranked team and should win the series)

NYY/Bal (NYY was the greater ranked team and should win the series)

LAA/BOS (Bos was less ranked team but the Rankings are close and cant determine if they win the series or not...wait for game 3 rankings)

KC/CWS (CWS was less ranked team but the Rankings are close and cant determine if they win the series or not...wait for game 3 rankings)

DET/MIN (MIN was greater ranked team but the Rankings are close and but MIN should have the edge to win the series by the ranking numbers)

TX/OAK pending; TB/SEA pending

STL/PHI (STL was greater ranked team but the Rankings are close STL should have enough differential to win the series)

NYM/CIN (CIN was less ranked team but the Rankings are close and cant determine if they win the series or not...wait for game 3 rankings)

AZ/HOU (AZ was greater ranked team but should have enough differential to win series)

COL/SD (COL was less ranked team and should win the series)

MIL/LAD, SF/FLA, CHC/PIT, and ATL/WAS are game 1 pendings

All Forums | Website Promotions
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.