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Posts: 12682

Eryximaque

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 209

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 1:23 PM ET #8101

Hey all

I'm on Nuggets tonight,

0 rest for Clippers, a Nuggets team on fire with 5-1 ATS last 6
I know stats Head to head are not in favor to Nuggets with LA CLIPPERS 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
But i focused on that :
- In a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 : 8-0
- Versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game : 13-5 ATS for Denver
- Versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season : 4-0

108 PPG at home for Denver & 98.1 PPG for Clipp on the road.

Indeed i like the Bench from Nuggets with Chandler & Brewer

Line down to -4,5 from -3,5 despite the 50/50 on these two teams
I think bookies are trying to attract cappers on Clippers.

My play for tonight :

Eryximaque : 13-9

DEN Nuggets -4.5

- I apologize again for my english, i'm from Europe, but the benefit is that i give you a French point of view. (Not the better.

)

KingMidasTouch

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 432

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 1:36 PM ET #8102

Quote Originally Posted by Eryximaque:

Hey all

I'm on Nuggets tonight,

0 rest for Clippers, a Nuggets team on fire with 5-1 ATS last 6
I know stats Head to head are not in favor to Nuggets with LA CLIPPERS 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
But i focused on that :
- In a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 : 8-0
- Versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game : 13-5 ATS for Denver
- Versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season : 4-0

108 PPG at home for Denver & 98.1 PPG for Clipp on the road.

Indeed i like the Bench from Nuggets with Chandler & Brewer

Line down to -4,5 from -3,5 despite the 50/50 on these two teams
I think bookies are trying to attract cappers on Clippers.

My play for tonight :

Eryximaque : 13-9

DEN Nuggets -4.5

- I apologize again for my english, i'm from Europe, but the benefit is that i give you a French point of view. (Not the better.

)

KingMidasTouch

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 432

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 1:40 PM ET #8103

KingMidasTouch 9-4

OKC Thunder -7.5

Under 206.5 NY Knicks - OKC Thunder

Over 214.5 DEN Nuggets - LA Clippers

The Thunder will come to play in MSG as for young players like OKC is very important to show off at the most show off place on the earth

OKC Thunder -7.5 -110

Under 206.5 -110

LA Clippers and Denver won't be able to keep the score down

Over 214.5

phixer

Banned

Joined: Jul, 2012

Posts: 4174

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 1:43 PM ET #8104

denver -4 1.1k

i will format later and give couple words why

meantime before line goes up

Musicmatt1

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 442

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 2:48 PM ET #8105

Musicmatt1 15-17-1

OKC Thunder -7.5

DEN Nuggets -4

Over 215 LA Clippers - DEN Nuggets

Knicks in a bad spot here and Thunder rolling teams as of late. I think that comparing this game to the Knicks/Heat game of this past weekend is not a good comparison. Knicks and Heat play in the same conference creating more of a rivalry. This is the only time the Thunder will play in New York this year, you are telling me Durant and Westbrook are not getting up for this game? Also, showing why trends between the 2 teams could range years.

See a lot of offense in this game. Nuggets can put up points, and the Clippers will need to put up points to compete in this game. I think the fact that the Clippers played last night and this game is in Denver, means that the Clippers run out of gas at the very last moment. Remember, the Clippers are a deep team, so I see them staying in it for long enough to contribute to covering the over. Recent trends for the teams suggest the over.

lrempel

Rookie

Joined: Sep, 2006

Posts: 721

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 3:13 PM ET #8106

Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

denver -4 1.1k

i will format later and give couple words why

meantime before line goes up

GLTY :) Glad to see ya on it :)

Shaywabi

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2013

Posts: 6

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 3:24 PM ET #8107

DEN Nuggets -4

OVER 212.5 LA Clippers - DEN Nuggets

OKC Thunder -7.5

Denver is going to roll, Clippers will try and keep up and fade late. Chris Paul playing limited minutes last night will keep Clippers in game but see him getting into foul trouble tonight keeping him off the floor when Denver goes on its inevitable run.

I thought Thunder was a strong bet at -5 but with the line movement and fellow cappers I decided to it was worth it put a unit on this game.

VyperATS

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 744

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 4:27 PM ET #8108

VyperATS 14-8-1

NY Knicks + 7.5

Den Nuggets - 4.5

NY/OKC

The Knicks are a decent home team with only nine losses on the home court.

I see Knicks loosing game but winning ATS! OKC is 77% public favorite…..I will fade tonight ! Vegas has been beat 2 night in a row!

DEN/LA

I think Denver is well rested Team and will pull away 4th quarter on Clippers.

Denver is smoking Hot and I see them winning this one!

Prediction : Nuggets 115 Clippers 105

VyperATS

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 744

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 4:28 PM ET #8109

Quote Originally Posted by Shaywabi:

DEN Nuggets -4

OVER 212.5 LA Clippers - DEN Nuggets

OKC Thunder -7.5

I thought Thunder was a strong bet at -5 but with the line movement and fellow cappers I decided to it was worth it put a unit on this game.

Good call I agree 100%

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 4:37 PM ET #8110

AshyLarryMP (18-24):

DEN Nuggets -4

not only is everyone on Denver tonight, it just makes sense.. they really are 26-3 at home and the big advantage is Clips on B2b.. it's hard enough to run with denver when your legs are 100%, and phixer..

i love OKC tonight, but i'm never comfortable laying that many points on the road, so just Denver tonight, i'm riding the wave guys let's get this!

SoFreshSoClean

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 8

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 5:04 PM ET #8111

Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

Yes. We're having fun here but at the same time treat it with a military discipline. If you can handle it - youre welcome. But beforehand I;d suggest you read the thread or at the least its beginning (like first 100 pages)

i have and will stick to your format

SoFreshSoClean

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 8

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 5:12 PM ET #8112

SoFreshSoClean: (0-0):

DEN Nuggets -4

OKC Thunder -7.5

sarG

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 44

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 5:20 PM ET #8113

sarG 5-4

L.A. Clippers +4

L.A. Clippers ML +155

Under 215 L.A Clippers - DEN Nuggets

Being 20-12 on the road is proof that he Clippers game travels.

Being the 2nd night of a B2B especially in Denver, I see the Clippers trying to slow the pace and milk the shot clock on offense. They also have depth and players that can match up well in transition defense. Bledsoe can keep up with Lawson's speed. Chris Paul has the track record of playing great in prime time games. This one will be close to the end, and I'm betting on the Clippers star to carry them to victory.

greengiants

Rookie

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 526

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:05 PM ET #8114

greengiants 13-18

Under 205 OKC Thunder - NY Knick

With a majority of bettors betting the over the line has moved in an opposite direction, I will follow the line here and go with the under.I believe that the thunder might be a little tired from all the travel they have had this week and that might affect their efficiency shooting negating a huge blowout win, also I believe that if the knicks are going to want to win they can't afford to start runnning with the thunder and will try and slow their pace, especially if Anthony is out.

Good luck everyone!

jpaco

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 282

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:18 PM ET #8115

Jpaco 10-11

Final:

Under 205 OKC Thunders - NY Knicks

like GG said is most of my reasoning and going on thurs under on this game.

Over 214 LAC Clippers - DEN Nuggets

still the best on over for totals are DEN specially at home knowing lac top team on the west theres no way lac all of a sudden will slow down the phase as den will make them run the whole time

BOL EVERYONE

jpaco

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 282

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:20 PM ET #8116

add this one Mavin

LAC Clippers +4

dog day on thurs and leaning on Lac to be the dog today that can cover!

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:22 PM ET #8117

Wednesday 31-17

3100-1870=1230 +1230$

TOTAL 336-290-6 +1,765 $

skaka

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 365

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:35 PM ET #8118

Melo out...

SportsMavin

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 5295

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:35 PM ET #8119

BigUnit 15-7

Turbovtk 16-8-1

Phixer 8-1

Lank66 22-15

VyperATS 14-8-1

Lopelpickscom 16-10-1

KJacobs203 9-4

KingMidasTouch 9-4

KrishBreezy 16-11

lrempel 7-3

Heads2134 11-7

Eryximaque 13-9

CP74 18-15

Creep609 4-1

HarveySpecter 2-0

czaqtorres 11-9

Eaglequill 4-3

sarG 5-4

ashylarrymp

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 515

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:47 PM ET #8120

AshyLarryMP(18-24):

DEN Nuggets -4

UNDER 205 OKC Thunder - NY Knicks

following my boys GG and Jpaco on the under, plus Reverse Line Movement at it's finest there. just reposted whole thing so mavin can copy and paste it easier.. thanks guys!

greengiants

Rookie

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 526

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:51 PM ET #8121

Quote Originally Posted by greengiants:

greengiants 13-18

Under 205 OKC Thunder - NY Knick

Good luck everyone!

oh for the love of ......forgot my "s" on the knicks

greengiants 13-18

Under 205 OKC Thunder - NY Knicks

greengiants

Rookie

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 526

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 6:53 PM ET #8122

Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

AshyLarryMP(18-24):

DEN Nuggets -4

UNDER 205 OKC Thunder - NY Knicks

following my boys GG and Jpaco on the under, plus Reverse Line Movement at it's finest there. just reposted whole thing so mavin can copy and paste it easier.. thanks guys!

Good luck bro! hope we hit!

Fuzzrod

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 2595

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 7:08 PM ET #8123

Hey guys... First off I want to apologize for being so cockey last night... I really felt my pick was on the money... But I broke an unspoken code of gambling... (Don't be cockey unless its 100%)

But hey, we're all learning and growing here... So I offer my apologies for the trash I spewed in here last night...

Today I hope I can offer some better advice...

Fuzzrod (5-5)

OKC Thunder -8

I actually hit this earlier for a -7 today but since I'm late to posting I'll roll with the current line- for the contests sake...

But c'mon NEW YORK IS PLAYING THEIR 5TH GAME IN 6 NIGHTS... AGAINST THE THUNDER

Any sane person would tell you this is money in the bag....

The only thing that worries me is: That we as talented handicappers know that these TNT games can often times be played by the athletes as entertainment spectacles... I.E. They know its a prime time game so they try and ham it up for entertainment purposes...

How often have we seen the Heat look pathetic and be trailing lousy teams only to turn it on with 5 minutes left and win by 10 points? Thats no accident... They know they're entertainers...

Even so... OKC should win by 15 points or more even if they do ham it up for 3+ quarters

urbanwoodpusher

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 71

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 7:09 PM ET #8124

Wow, my book's line moved down to 203.5 for the OKC/NY game. There must be heavy money coming in on the under. That's a 3 point total swing from the opening line of 206.5.

urbanwoodpusher

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 71

Posted: Mar. 7, 2013 - 7:12 PM ET #8125

Wow, my book's line moved down to 203.5 for the OKC/NY game. There must be heavy money coming in on the under. That's a 3 point total swing from the opening line of 206.5.

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