Quote Originally Posted by uste_13:
I am testing another
theory on today's card. I'll be choosing sides depending on the line movement (if there is) and the public view. The only bet I've made today is on IND and PHI.
Other bets stated here are for the purpose of seeing if this theory is correct (or not). Fingers crossed. If this turns out great, we can definitely increase our chances of beating the books.
This theory is basically going against what the bookies expects us to do.
"REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY APPROACH"
IND@MEM -6
pk - IND
- The public is clearly on the IND side on this one. On the other hand, line moved from -7 to -6. The bookies are baiting us on taking the MEM by decreasing the line, so I did the complete opposite. I did put a unit play on this one. Hopefully it turns out great.
SAC@NOH -6
pk - SAC
- Same thing with the IND-MEM matchup. Line moved in favor of NOH so I picked SAC. That simple.
HOU@CHA +7
pk - HOU
- Line moved in favor of CHA. Picked HOU.
MIN@ATL
pk - ATL
- There is a slight movement in favor of MIN. Picked ATL.
BRK@NYK -3.5
pk - NYK
- There is a very slight increase in the line in favor of BRK. Picked NYK.
SAS@PHIL +6 (POD)
pk - PHIL
- Line movement favors SAS. Picked PHIL in this matchup with 1unit wagered.
- Line moved for SAS in spite of the public betting on SAS. PHI enjoys the home court advantage, PLUS a revenge factor angle. This also has the FATIQUE FACTOR THEORY, SAS playing 3rd game in 4 outings.
I was not able to read the other games so i'll stick with this.
AGAIN, this is only for the sole purpose of testing if this trend is applicable or not. The picks I have made does not take into account other factors so as to make this experiment a control of other settings to come. It is also a MONDAY, and last week I observed that FAVORITES won and covered most of the card.
PS. Hopefully, no one ends up bashing me for this. LOL
Once again, whatever ur picks are, BEST OF LUCK.

So far, 6 games have been played and 3 more to go. The tally shows the following:
MARTIN LUTHER KING DAY - Monday/Holiday
RP Approach
1win-3loss-1push (sas@phil still ongoing)
- this approach is not that useful as I thought...
Dogs to Faves ratio
4dogs-1fave-1push
Consesnsus
4faders-1public-1push
standing today:
IND@MEM - won 1u
SAS@PHIL - won 1u
2-0 today