If I don't pick individual games I am booking this by 5pm also
$50 to win $2,333 (may double this to $100 to win $4,666 but may just save that for a bet on the spreads and overs on Sunday NFL games- pending the juice on the last two open spots. This is bet is mostly based for my picks for the NFL this sunday which are almost fully hedge by my futures bet on a potential bal - niners or bal atl or pats niners Super Bowl. you can read my write up on that on the thread of that game.
PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
01/20/2013 @ 03:00 PMNFL
[301] SAN FRANCISCO -205
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[303] TOTAL o49-150 (B+2)
(BALTIMORE vrs NEW ENGLAND)
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[304] NEW ENGLAND -400
01/16/2013 @ 08:05 PMNBA
[710] OKLAHOMA CITY -410
01/16/2013 @ 08:35 PMNBA
[714] SAN ANTONIO -235
01/16/2013 @ 10:05 PMNBA
[716] PORTLAND -290
01/16/2013 @ 10:35 PMNBA
[719] MIAMI -130
01/16/2013 @ 01:31 PM
OPEN PLAY
01/16/2013 @ 01:31 PM
OPEN PLAY
Furthermore I have 3 bets with open spots which will be used to hedge this parlay assuming I get through the first couple NBA games.
If I don't pick individual games I am booking this by 5pm also
$50 to win $2,333 (may double this to $100 to win $4,666 but may just save that for a bet on the spreads and overs on Sunday NFL games- pending the juice on the last two open spots. This is bet is mostly based for my picks for the NFL this sunday which are almost fully hedge by my futures bet on a potential bal - niners or bal atl or pats niners Super Bowl. you can read my write up on that on the thread of that game.
PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
01/20/2013 @ 03:00 PMNFL
[301] SAN FRANCISCO -205
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[303] TOTAL o49-150 (B+2)
(BALTIMORE vrs NEW ENGLAND)
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[304] NEW ENGLAND -400
01/16/2013 @ 08:05 PMNBA
[710] OKLAHOMA CITY -410
01/16/2013 @ 08:35 PMNBA
[714] SAN ANTONIO -235
01/16/2013 @ 10:05 PMNBA
[716] PORTLAND -290
01/16/2013 @ 10:35 PMNBA
[719] MIAMI -130
01/16/2013 @ 01:31 PM
OPEN PLAY
01/16/2013 @ 01:31 PM
OPEN PLAY
Furthermore I have 3 bets with open spots which will be used to hedge this parlay assuming I get through the first couple NBA games.
If I don't pick individual games I am booking this by 5pm also
$50 to win $2,333 (may double this to $100 to win $4,666 but may just save that for a bet on the spreads and overs on Sunday NFL games- pending the juice on the last two open spots. This is bet is mostly based for my picks for the NFL this sunday which are almost fully hedge by my futures bet on a potential bal - niners or bal atl or pats niners Super Bowl. you can read my write up on that on the thread of that game.
PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
01/20/2013 @ 03:00 PMNFL
[301] SAN FRANCISCO -205
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[303] TOTAL o49-150 (B+2)
(BALTIMORE vrs NEW ENGLAND)
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[304] NEW ENGLAND -400
01/16/2013 @ 08:05 PMNBA
[710] OKLAHOMA CITY -410
01/16/2013 @ 08:35 PMNBA
[714] SAN ANTONIO -235
01/16/2013 @ 10:05 PMNBA
[716] PORTLAND -290
01/16/2013 @ 10:35 PMNBA
[719] MIAMI -130
01/16/2013 @ 01:31 PM
OPEN PLAY
01/16/2013 @ 01:31 PM
OPEN PLAY
Furthermore I have 3 bets with open spots which will be used to hedge this parlay assuming I get through the first couple NBA games.
Booked.
Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:
If I don't pick individual games I am booking this by 5pm also
$50 to win $2,333 (may double this to $100 to win $4,666 but may just save that for a bet on the spreads and overs on Sunday NFL games- pending the juice on the last two open spots. This is bet is mostly based for my picks for the NFL this sunday which are almost fully hedge by my futures bet on a potential bal - niners or bal atl or pats niners Super Bowl. you can read my write up on that on the thread of that game.
PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
01/20/2013 @ 03:00 PMNFL
[301] SAN FRANCISCO -205
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[303] TOTAL o49-150 (B+2)
(BALTIMORE vrs NEW ENGLAND)
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[304] NEW ENGLAND -400
01/16/2013 @ 08:05 PMNBA
[710] OKLAHOMA CITY -410
01/16/2013 @ 08:35 PMNBA
[714] SAN ANTONIO -235
01/16/2013 @ 10:05 PMNBA
[716] PORTLAND -290
01/16/2013 @ 10:35 PMNBA
[719] MIAMI -130
01/16/2013 @ 01:31 PM
OPEN PLAY
01/16/2013 @ 01:31 PM
OPEN PLAY
Furthermore I have 3 bets with open spots which will be used to hedge this parlay assuming I get through the first couple NBA games.
I had a couple of people point out that rebounds could have an effect on my three point angle. So, I have expanded the search to include teams that also win the rebound battle. There were no options yesterday.
CHI -4.5. They hit all the criteria. 1) They attempt far less 3's. 2) They are below the league average, Tor is above. 3) Their success rate is higher than the opponent. 4) They have more off rebounds than Tor has def. 5) They have more def rebound than Tor has off. 6) They are a dog or a fav of less than -6.
6-6, a true measure of my distaste for the three pointer.
I had a couple of people point out that rebounds could have an effect on my three point angle. So, I have expanded the search to include teams that also win the rebound battle. There were no options yesterday.
CHI -4.5. They hit all the criteria. 1) They attempt far less 3's. 2) They are below the league average, Tor is above. 3) Their success rate is higher than the opponent. 4) They have more off rebounds than Tor has def. 5) They have more def rebound than Tor has off. 6) They are a dog or a fav of less than -6.
6-6, a true measure of my distaste for the three pointer.
-wizards are 5-1 ATS in last 6 meetings in sacramento
-underdog in this matchup is 7-1 ATS in last 8
-When looking at team stats for the past 5 games washington has a better FG%, better 3pt% and also more rebounds than sacramento.
-RLM
-Dallas -4
-rockets are 1-8 SU and 2-6-1 on road vs. western conference teams
-rockets 3-6 ATS within the division
-dallas has covered 6 in a row ATS and won 8 in a row SU
-houston is 1-5 SU and ATS on 0 days rest facing a team on 1 day rest
-dallas is 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS on 1 day rest facing a team on 0 days rest
-Atlanta -3
-BK 3-6 ATS on 0 days rest
-BK 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS on o days rest facing a team on 1 day rest
-BK 1-6 ATS last 7 in atlanta
-home team 10-3 ATS in last 13
-atlanta 4-1 ATS following loss of more than 10pts
-as I mentioned before this situation looks similar to the clippers/grizzlies game on monday: first we have RLM in the morning, then news comes out that key player is out, line moves in opposite direction baiting us to take the side of the team that does not have key player out. this time i'm staying on the side of key player being out, the play today is ATL, while the play on monday should have been the clippers and not the grizz.we shall see tonight if this makes sense, only hypothetical now.
record to date in thread 10-11-2
Best of luck to all!
final card today:
-Washington +4
-6-3 ATS vs. non confrence teams
-4-3 ATS vs. sub .500 teams
-4-1-1 ATS after SU win
-wizards are 5-1 ATS in last 6 meetings in sacramento
-underdog in this matchup is 7-1 ATS in last 8
-When looking at team stats for the past 5 games washington has a better FG%, better 3pt% and also more rebounds than sacramento.
-RLM
-Dallas -4
-rockets are 1-8 SU and 2-6-1 on road vs. western conference teams
-rockets 3-6 ATS within the division
-dallas has covered 6 in a row ATS and won 8 in a row SU
-houston is 1-5 SU and ATS on 0 days rest facing a team on 1 day rest
-dallas is 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS on 1 day rest facing a team on 0 days rest
-Atlanta -3
-BK 3-6 ATS on 0 days rest
-BK 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS on o days rest facing a team on 1 day rest
-BK 1-6 ATS last 7 in atlanta
-home team 10-3 ATS in last 13
-atlanta 4-1 ATS following loss of more than 10pts
-as I mentioned before this situation looks similar to the clippers/grizzlies game on monday: first we have RLM in the morning, then news comes out that key player is out, line moves in opposite direction baiting us to take the side of the team that does not have key player out. this time i'm staying on the side of key player being out, the play today is ATL, while the play on monday should have been the clippers and not the grizz.we shall see tonight if this makes sense, only hypothetical now.
Turbo, lay us out a 20 team parlay, not a bad deal for a buck.
All sarcasm aside I can go past 15 and I have hit up to 13 in the past and my parlay from Monday went with only one loss (miami which almost came back) and the NFL was pending- research it- before that I have already hit two 7 team teasers in the last week or so and 4 total 7 team teasers in the last two months off the top of my head, also have hit 10, 12, 13 in november.
It's not the best sound strategy and it is not intended as such- it is intended to create a homerun play out of which I pick out a few games to try and hit singles or doubles. This was also stated on the post.
If you were not being sarcastic then sorry can't help you.
Here are some pending parlays from this week ...
PARLAY (6 TEAMS) RR (1P-6T)
01/20/2013 @ 03:00 PMNFL
[301] SAN FRANCISCO -3-145 (B+1)
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[304] NEW ENGLAND -6½-160 (B+2)
01/14/2013 @ 10:25 PMNBA
[2711] 2H MIAMI -6-110
01/14/2013 @ 10:25 PMNBA
[2711] TOTAL o98-110
(2H MIAMI vrs 2H UTAH)
01/14/2013 @ 10:27 PMNBA
[2713] 2H OKLAHOMA CITY -1½-105
01/14/2013 @ 10:27 PMNBA
[2714] TOTAL u98-110
(2H OKLAHOMA CITY vrs 2H PHOENIX)
$10 for $362 2/3 of the way there with 3 wins and one push- two pending.
Quote Originally Posted by oreooreo1:
Turbo, lay us out a 20 team parlay, not a bad deal for a buck.
All sarcasm aside I can go past 15 and I have hit up to 13 in the past and my parlay from Monday went with only one loss (miami which almost came back) and the NFL was pending- research it- before that I have already hit two 7 team teasers in the last week or so and 4 total 7 team teasers in the last two months off the top of my head, also have hit 10, 12, 13 in november.
It's not the best sound strategy and it is not intended as such- it is intended to create a homerun play out of which I pick out a few games to try and hit singles or doubles. This was also stated on the post.
If you were not being sarcastic then sorry can't help you.
Here are some pending parlays from this week ...
PARLAY (6 TEAMS) RR (1P-6T)
01/20/2013 @ 03:00 PMNFL
[301] SAN FRANCISCO -3-145 (B+1)
01/20/2013 @ 06:30 PMNFL
[304] NEW ENGLAND -6½-160 (B+2)
01/14/2013 @ 10:25 PMNBA
[2711] 2H MIAMI -6-110
01/14/2013 @ 10:25 PMNBA
[2711] TOTAL o98-110
(2H MIAMI vrs 2H UTAH)
01/14/2013 @ 10:27 PMNBA
[2713] 2H OKLAHOMA CITY -1½-105
01/14/2013 @ 10:27 PMNBA
[2714] TOTAL u98-110
(2H OKLAHOMA CITY vrs 2H PHOENIX)
$10 for $362 2/3 of the way there with 3 wins and one push- two pending.
Rough night again last night for myself 1-3. Will update money later, but record is 7-9 since tracking. Three for tonight and then I am going to move my picking tracking to it's own thread. I do not want to keep jamming this up when I do not always have time to post reasons.
Brooklyn +3 -110
Bulls ML -190
Spurs ML -230
I like these Money Lines as plays laying the points, but I am playing out of a bad stretch and am essentially buying the points. In my money management, I have lowered my plays until I get back on a winning streak.
Looking at a possible play on Wizards later. Good luck.
Rough night again last night for myself 1-3. Will update money later, but record is 7-9 since tracking. Three for tonight and then I am going to move my picking tracking to it's own thread. I do not want to keep jamming this up when I do not always have time to post reasons.
Brooklyn +3 -110
Bulls ML -190
Spurs ML -230
I like these Money Lines as plays laying the points, but I am playing out of a bad stretch and am essentially buying the points. In my money management, I have lowered my plays until I get back on a winning streak.
Looking at a possible play on Wizards later. Good luck.
2 out of 3 ref have a lot more overs than unders in his games.
Pacers -2/Nuggets -2
Pacers are 11-4 ATS after a loss, and against the bobcats they should win the game without a problem.
Nuggets-Blazers series, the home team wins every game in the series, plus the home team have like 70% of ATS wins with 2 ref in this game.
Yesterday 2-0
YTD 14-9 +1.5 units
Todays picks
Heat -2 1.1 unit
I like the Heat after the loss at Utah, and the posibility that Curry won´t play today, I read that he hurts his ankle again this morning.
Nets +3 1.1 unit
Simply two teams in diferent directions
Last 10 games Nets 9-1 SU and Hawks 3-7, plus Hawks without Josh Smith
Nuggets +4.5 1h 1.1 unit
Just because as Mavin said before, Thunder is a bad 1h team, maybe without Ibaka, i dont think they can cover against Denver, Denver should crahs the boards againts the Thunder in the first half.
Rockets O 213.5 1.1 unit
Quote Originally Posted by Heads2134:
So yesterday i went 2-2 but -2.5 units
YTD my record is 12-9 with -0.5 units
My picks for today are
O 76ers 182.5 1.1 unit
Hornets on the road 11-7 o/u
76ers at home 14-4 o/u record
2 out of 3 ref have a lot more overs than unders in his games.
Pacers -2/Nuggets -2
Pacers are 11-4 ATS after a loss, and against the bobcats they should win the game without a problem.
Nuggets-Blazers series, the home team wins every game in the series, plus the home team have like 70% of ATS wins with 2 ref in this game.
Yesterday 2-0
YTD 14-9 +1.5 units
Todays picks
Heat -2 1.1 unit
I like the Heat after the loss at Utah, and the posibility that Curry won´t play today, I read that he hurts his ankle again this morning.
Nets +3 1.1 unit
Simply two teams in diferent directions
Last 10 games Nets 9-1 SU and Hawks 3-7, plus Hawks without Josh Smith
Nuggets +4.5 1h 1.1 unit
Just because as Mavin said before, Thunder is a bad 1h team, maybe without Ibaka, i dont think they can cover against Denver, Denver should crahs the boards againts the Thunder in the first half.
2 out of 3 ref have a lot more overs than unders in his games.
Pacers -2/Nuggets -2
Pacers are 11-4 ATS after a loss, and against the bobcats they should win the game without a problem.
Nuggets-Blazers series, the home team wins every game in the series, plus the home team have like 70% of ATS wins with 2 ref in this game.
Yesterday 2-0
YTD 14-9 +1.5 units
Todays picks
Heat -2 1.1 unit
I like the Heat after the loss at Utah, and the posibility that Curry won´t play today, I read that he hurts his ankle again this morning.
Nets +3 1.1 unit
Simply two teams in diferent directions
Last 10 games Nets 9-1 SU and Hawks 3-7, plus Hawks without Josh Smith
Nuggets +4.5 1h 1.1 unit
Just because as Mavin said before, Thunder is a bad 1h team, maybe without Ibaka, i dont think they can cover against Denver, Denver should crahs the boards againts the Thunder in the first half.
Rockets O 213.5 1.1 unit
Quote Originally Posted by Heads2134:
So yesterday i went 2-2 but -2.5 units
YTD my record is 12-9 with -0.5 units
My picks for today are
O 76ers 182.5 1.1 unit
Hornets on the road 11-7 o/u
76ers at home 14-4 o/u record
2 out of 3 ref have a lot more overs than unders in his games.
Pacers -2/Nuggets -2
Pacers are 11-4 ATS after a loss, and against the bobcats they should win the game without a problem.
Nuggets-Blazers series, the home team wins every game in the series, plus the home team have like 70% of ATS wins with 2 ref in this game.
Yesterday 2-0
YTD 14-9 +1.5 units
Todays picks
Heat -2 1.1 unit
I like the Heat after the loss at Utah, and the posibility that Curry won´t play today, I read that he hurts his ankle again this morning.
Nets +3 1.1 unit
Simply two teams in diferent directions
Last 10 games Nets 9-1 SU and Hawks 3-7, plus Hawks without Josh Smith
Nuggets +4.5 1h 1.1 unit
Just because as Mavin said before, Thunder is a bad 1h team, maybe without Ibaka, i dont think they can cover against Denver, Denver should crahs the boards againts the Thunder in the first half.
Heads, Dexter, Zireal, Jimmy, Turbo, m10, Green Giants and everyone who uses in a right way the tools acquired - GL and keep up the good work. No matter what - one look at you and your picks makes me feel great. If I forgot any - please bare with me as I respect and appreciate each one of you here doing your job and getting better.
BigTen Watto - great observation ion Bulls
Heads, Dexter, Zireal, Jimmy, Turbo, m10, Green Giants and everyone who uses in a right way the tools acquired - GL and keep up the good work. No matter what - one look at you and your picks makes me feel great. If I forgot any - please bare with me as I respect and appreciate each one of you here doing your job and getting better.
I just saw that tomorrow the Heat will play in LA, so maybe picking them today was a mistake.
What do you think guys?
You should have checked on that before making a pick. Once you made a pick - stop worrying about it. You can always secure those with half time nets - but I dont think in this game in particular you can do that. By second guessing your pick you're putting under pressure all who tailed you. It is not worth it. Roll with your pick and if you lose - learn a lesson to check the schedule. You will do that I am sure. Good luck buddy. You're a great capper and will do fine
Quote Originally Posted by Heads2134:
I just saw that tomorrow the Heat will play in LA, so maybe picking them today was a mistake.
What do you think guys?
You should have checked on that before making a pick. Once you made a pick - stop worrying about it. You can always secure those with half time nets - but I dont think in this game in particular you can do that. By second guessing your pick you're putting under pressure all who tailed you. It is not worth it. Roll with your pick and if you lose - learn a lesson to check the schedule. You will do that I am sure. Good luck buddy. You're a great capper and will do fine
If I forgot any - please bare with me as I respect and appreciate each one of you here doing your job and getting better. 
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