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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Posted: #3601

Locked in on Jazz +2.5

-Utah 11-4 S.U. and 10-5 ATS at home

-Utah 7-3 ATS at home vs. above .500 teams

-Heat 0-4 ATS following a S.U. win in last 4 wins

-Heat 0-6 ATS on road against over .500 teams

heat finally covered one on the road on saturday(the only favorite that covered), i think vegas is "inviting" us to bet on the heat again with that in mind!

 
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Posted: #3602
Quote Originally Posted by greengiants:

Locked in on Jazz +2.5

-Utah 11-4 S.U. and 10-5 ATS at home

-Utah 7-3 ATS at home vs. above .500 teams

-Heat 0-4 ATS following a S.U. win in last 4 wins

-Heat 0-6 ATS on road against over .500 teams

heat finally covered one on the road on saturday(the only favorite that covered), i think vegas is "inviting" us to bet on the heat again with that in mind!



Thought about this...maybe more value in Jazz ML versus Jazz +2.5?
 
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Posted: #3603
Has anyone taken into consideration that Chris Paul is out for the game against memphis, contusion on right knee?Is this why the line shot back up to -3?
 
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Posted: #3604
Mavin,
Like your teaser and i already had Memphis a couple of hours ago.
GL
 
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Posted: #3605
2 more for me tonight and that may be it.  Looking at a total as well, but will see.

3 Plays total - I am using $100 for all plays to get my number.

Phoenix +5 -110 Vegas books have move this from 6 to 5 with heavy public backing on the Thunder.  My only hesitation is Phoenix's first game back home, but with Thunder playing last night and the movement I think this is a good spot to play the Suns
Memphis ML -150 Grizz coming off a thumping, but rested playing at home.  Looks like Paul is out and I will buy off the 3 and beileve Memphis holds court at home.

Dallas -6 -120 (have to check earlier post to confirm numbers)

5-4 +30 since tracking

A couple of thoughts on RLM.  Be careful, where you get your information from in terms of money and line moves.  I like to use the Vegas sportsbooks for line moves.  They tend to be less volatile and give me a truer sense for what is going on.  

Also, if you have the ability, try and get information from multiple places for where money is coming in at.  It gives a good cross section and sometimes evens things out more than they may appear on one site.

Finally, sometimes I believe no line movement can be as telling as RLM when other factors start to come in play.  This can work particularly when you follow a line from the beginning.  Sometimes a number standing pat, while money continues in on the other side is just as solid a play.

Great job to ustes to putting that information together.  As we start to see multiple trends in play for certain games we may be able to really capitalize. 

Good Luck
 
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Posted: #3606
I guess this explains the 5 point drop in the total, also Rudy G a y is out for the game, going to his grand-mother's funeral.
 
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Posts: 108
Posted: #3607
January 14, Bet 01
Miami Heat -0.5 1Q - $122 to win $100

January 14, Bet 02
Orlando Magic -0 4Q - $114 to win 96

January 14, Bet 03
Los Angeles Clippers ML - $100 to win $120




 
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Posted: #3608

Quote Originally Posted by playing4mylife:



Thought about this...maybe more value in Jazz ML versus Jazz +2.5?

I won't get too greedy, had portland +4.5 last night and got it by a half point, as small as 2.5 seems i'll keep them on my side!

 

 
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Posts: 1676
Posted: #3609
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

Monday card:

Final:
Parlay with 7 points on totals: MEMPHIS Grizzlies - LA Clippers Under 187 with PHOENIX Suns - OKC Thunder Under 207  (+104)  100$

Final:
MEMPHIS Grizzlies -3  (-110)   110$

Don't you mean teaser? adding 7 points on a parlay? My book does not do that.
 
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Posted: #3610
Marvin.  Can you throw me a bone for today in binary??
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3611
I really like this thread.. but im not with you in Memphis... I have a little system also.. trying to compare to yours! BOL to all... I like Clippers +3
 
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Posted: #3612
Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


Don't you mean teaser? adding 7 points on a parlay? My book does not do that.
When I say teaser - people get confused and tell me there are only X game teasers. No, those are additional game totals (bet365, pinnacle, 5dimes). The names don't matter - what matters is finding a game. GL buddy. I'm probably gonna play those separately as a an Under plays
 
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Posted: #3613
Quote Originally Posted by Heads2134:

Mavin,
Like your teaser and i already had Memphis a couple of hours ago.
GL
 
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Posted: #3614
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

When I say teaser - people get confused and tell me there are only X game teasers. No, those are additional game totals (bet365, pinnacle, 5dimes). The names don't matter - what matters is finding a game. GL buddy. I'm probably gonna play those separately as a an Under plays

Ok, but I think people here should really learn the terms as they are part of the betting process.

I like the OKC under but not sold on the Memphis under- def not sold on Memphis as that could be a trap game Paul is great and makes them work together I do have them on a parlay just in case-
 
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Posted: #3615

going to test a theory with the RLM and fatigued teams, two teams that are on back to back games:cleveland and okc

cleveland played last night so for fear that they might be gased in the second half, I will take cleveland +3 1st half against Sacramento.Cleveland averages more points(using home /away stats) in the first half(49.8) than the second(44.8), while sacramento averages less in first half(49.2) and more in the second(50.6)

and I will take phoenix +5.5 for the game for the reverse reasons of above, not very confident on this play, because the trends and stats supporting phoenix are very few, but i want to test this out.I have learned in sports to expect the unexpected.So this would be unexpected to me.

laying off the magic game, i have varied results for the public support, and for reasons that Melosjumper stated earlier(post #3552), i think this game is coin flip.Anyways 4 games is enough for tonight.

 
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Posted: #3616
here are my leans for tonights games

washington -2
boston-11
atl +5
clippers under 181
minnesota+7
utah +3
okc -5

although i dont like memphis -3 i lean clippers but this is a no play,

opinions greatly appreciated

my favorite 3 are

memphis under 181
utah +3 and
atlanta +5

im going to narrow it down to just the 3 or i may play them all for 1 unit

opinions greatly appreciated
SPORTS BETTOR / BOOK / REAL ESTATE INVESTOR / THE DIFFERENCE IS MINDSET
 
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Posted: #3617
twolvs +3.5 1H. i feel like they were able to hang with the spurs last night in the first half so why not the mavs. thoughts?
 
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Posted: #3618
Quote Originally Posted by jgjtrapboss:

here are my leans for tonights games

washington -2
boston-11
atl +5
clippers under 181
minnesota+7
utah +3
okc -5

although i dont like memphis -3 i lean clippers but this is a no play,

opinions greatly appreciated

my favorite 3 are

memphis under 181
utah +3 and
atlanta +5

im going to narrow it down to just the 3 or i may play them all for 1 unit

opinions greatly appreciated

I could be wrong but I think the drop in the MIA/Utah line has a lot to do with people giving up on the Heat because of the recent let downs- Just an opinion I have not checked the stats.
 
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Posted: #3619

 Final Monday Card:

-Charlotte +11 RLM

-Utah +2.5  no line movement with public support on Miami

-Cleveland +3 1st Half RLM+fatigue

-Phoenix +5.5  RLM+ fatigue

record in thread to date 9-4-1

Best of luck to all!  

 

 

 
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Posted: #3620
Quote Originally Posted by keithprochaska:

twolvs +3.5 1H. i feel like they were able to hang with the spurs last night in the first half so why not the mavs. thoughts?

Maybe a little exhaustion should be considered in your play- They have had recent tough games against Spurs, Hornets, Thunder, Hawks and Blazzer to start the year- the first 3 I listed were loses- there could be a contrarian indicator there but I don't know that they show up in the 1H
 
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Posted: #3621
Final:
ORLANDO Magic ML (+100)  100$
 
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Posted: #3622
Quote Originally Posted by greengiants:

 Final Monday Card:

-Charlotte +11 RLM

-Utah +2.5  no line movement with public support on Miami

-Cleveland +3 1st Half RLM+fatigue

-Phoenix +5.5  RLM+ fatigue

record in thread to date 9-4-1

Best of luck to all!  

 

 

 
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Posted: #3623
Final:
BOSTON Celtics - CHARLOTTE Bobcats Over 191  (-110)  110$
 
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Posted: #3624
Monday card:

Final:
Parlay with 7 points on totals: MEMPHIS Grizzlies - LA Clippers Under 187 with PHOENIX Suns - OKC Thunder Under 207  (+104)  100$

Final:
MEMPHIS Grizzlies -3  (-110)   110$

Final:
ORLANDO Magic ML (+100)  100$

Final:
BOSTON Celtics - CHARLOTTE Bobcats Over 191  (-110)  110$
 
 
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Posts: 510
Posted: #3625
Quote Originally Posted by keithprochaska:

twolvs +3.5 1H. i feel like they were able to hang with the spurs last night in the first half so why not the mavs. thoughts?

I'm not playing it, but I agree with you. Their recent trend, including three losses and a win, has been a strong first half and a meltdown after halftime. 
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