Games for the week end . For some reason my posting of my college plays disappeared . I had a big write up on them and will not rewrite the reasoning for the picks again since it is time consuming. Perhaps it will show up . I had a lot of really good stuff on that write up.
I have 3 reccomended plays for Saturday's games.
W Virg 10 Fla St 8 California 7
Originally I had Fla Atl for tomorrow (Fri) I am now passing it.
Here were my reccomended plays so far going into this week.
Strong play Wake Forest 15 units won , very good play S. Miss 10 units won ,Color St hot cold method play 5 units won. Unit amount 30-0 3-0
I have a 20 unit play coming up this week. I have about 2 or 3 of those a year. Also most of the next games are playable. I feel very confident about them.
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Games for the week end . For some reason my posting of my college plays disappeared . I had a big write up on them and will not rewrite the reasoning for the picks again since it is time consuming. Perhaps it will show up . I had a lot of really good stuff on that write up.
I have 3 reccomended plays for Saturday's games.
W Virg 10 Fla St 8 California 7
Originally I had Fla Atl for tomorrow (Fri) I am now passing it.
Here were my reccomended plays so far going into this week.
Strong play Wake Forest 15 units won , very good play S. Miss 10 units won ,Color St hot cold method play 5 units won. Unit amount 30-0 3-0
I have a 20 unit play coming up this week. I have about 2 or 3 of those a year. Also most of the next games are playable. I feel very confident about them.
I was asked why I deleted the Fla. Atl. game. I originally had the game as a pick em game . Fla. Atl. was missing their kicker. That is worth -1 to -3 points . Also I gave no points for any home advantage originally but it was fair to give the team from Michigan about 2 -3 points additional points. That moved the game for me from pick em to +4 or + 5. That is only a 2 or 3 point edge. If one of those 2 situations had not been a reality I would have still played the game and moved it to a 5 unit play from a 10 unit play. I play games when I think I have a 4 point edge or more. Coach Snellenberger from Fla. Atl. is now 7-0 in bowl games!! I did not know that . I pride myself in knowing things like that and should have known it. He could never have been played against! A touchdown or more underdog with recent bowl experience has won over 60% of all games in the past several years. Underdogs are the best plays in bowl games as a composite. Tomorrow I have all favorites. I got the California game in at -8 . It is now -10. If you like California and are getting it at -10 I think one has to consider lowering the investment amount . The other teams I like are less than a touchdown favorite. Bowls games , unlike regular season games can find more action on dogs then favorites. Pay very close attention to big line moves . A move of 2 or more is significant in bowl games but not necessarily in regular season games , according to my learned colleague who is an expert on the subject.
The best to all in the the bowl season. I will post more games tomorow or early Sunday.
I was asked why I deleted the Fla. Atl. game. I originally had the game as a pick em game . Fla. Atl. was missing their kicker. That is worth -1 to -3 points . Also I gave no points for any home advantage originally but it was fair to give the team from Michigan about 2 -3 points additional points. That moved the game for me from pick em to +4 or + 5. That is only a 2 or 3 point edge. If one of those 2 situations had not been a reality I would have still played the game and moved it to a 5 unit play from a 10 unit play. I play games when I think I have a 4 point edge or more. Coach Snellenberger from Fla. Atl. is now 7-0 in bowl games!! I did not know that . I pride myself in knowing things like that and should have known it. He could never have been played against! A touchdown or more underdog with recent bowl experience has won over 60% of all games in the past several years. Underdogs are the best plays in bowl games as a composite. Tomorrow I have all favorites. I got the California game in at -8 . It is now -10. If you like California and are getting it at -10 I think one has to consider lowering the investment amount . The other teams I like are less than a touchdown favorite. Bowls games , unlike regular season games can find more action on dogs then favorites. Pay very close attention to big line moves . A move of 2 or more is significant in bowl games but not necessarily in regular season games , according to my learned colleague who is an expert on the subject.
The best to all in the the bowl season. I will post more games tomorow or early Sunday.
I'm sure tommorow you'll take 2 games off the board and lower the remaining game to a 2 unit play because the wind picked up 5 mph more than you anticipated. You are the classic example of an "overanalyst" that's why you can't win.
I'm sure tommorow you'll take 2 games off the board and lower the remaining game to a 2 unit play because the wind picked up 5 mph more than you anticipated. You are the classic example of an "overanalyst" that's why you can't win.
I took that game off as a play 3 days ago for very good reasons. What I do is mechanical and if something comes up in between when I posted a game I either add or subtract to strength of the game. If Central Mich. had lost their kicker instead I would have added to the strength of the game. I seldom change a game and am conservative in nature. I do not gamble, I invest. You gamble and do not invest. You should stay away from doing this as most people should. The definition of insanity is to do the same thing over and over and expect different results. Be honest with yourself. You have lost money and are losing money playing games right now. Of course; you have no knowledge of my winnings or losings. Your statements totally lack logic . Those who think like you are doomed from the start. Stop and think about it. You are suggesting somebody is not a winner because he took a game off the board ? Wow! You are suggesting I am using to much information ? Wow! Do you really think that is logical? Losers complain because they are not in control of their life. If you were winning you would not bother complaining. I have seen 1000's of losers at the poker table, at the track, and at the betting parlors. I stay away from them as much as I can. Less then 3% of all people make money doing this. At the track it was 1%. Losers continued to do the same things they have done for years and years and expected different results. They were practicing insanity. Either learn to handicap for yourself or do something more constructive in your life. What I have said is true. Losers will look at what I just said and be upset with it because they are denial.
If you do not like my material simply go elsewhere.
I took that game off as a play 3 days ago for very good reasons. What I do is mechanical and if something comes up in between when I posted a game I either add or subtract to strength of the game. If Central Mich. had lost their kicker instead I would have added to the strength of the game. I seldom change a game and am conservative in nature. I do not gamble, I invest. You gamble and do not invest. You should stay away from doing this as most people should. The definition of insanity is to do the same thing over and over and expect different results. Be honest with yourself. You have lost money and are losing money playing games right now. Of course; you have no knowledge of my winnings or losings. Your statements totally lack logic . Those who think like you are doomed from the start. Stop and think about it. You are suggesting somebody is not a winner because he took a game off the board ? Wow! You are suggesting I am using to much information ? Wow! Do you really think that is logical? Losers complain because they are not in control of their life. If you were winning you would not bother complaining. I have seen 1000's of losers at the poker table, at the track, and at the betting parlors. I stay away from them as much as I can. Less then 3% of all people make money doing this. At the track it was 1%. Losers continued to do the same things they have done for years and years and expected different results. They were practicing insanity. Either learn to handicap for yourself or do something more constructive in your life. What I have said is true. Losers will look at what I just said and be upset with it because they are denial.
If you do not like my material simply go elsewhere.
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